Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF AUDREY Aug28 Jul31 Jul08 Apr24 Mar25 (d'angelo fr)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  SALAMINA Sep17 Sep03 Jul30 May30 Apr24 (juarez calixto)ACOSTA D 123 6.00    
SCR  SECRET ARCHANGEL Sep02         (reynolds joan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
SCR  A GIRL NAMED JAC Sep03 Aug03 Jul08 Jun18 May28 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.60 16% 5.30    
5  ROCK ROSE Sep11         (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 112 6.00 ★    
6  LA FAMILIA Sep23 Aug14 Jul28 Jul02 Jun23 (pradena)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  SHYLA GIRL Sep12 Aug15 Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 (udall )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 30.00    
SCR  MY SUPER SALLY Sep16 Aug14 Jul08 Jun11 May26 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 20.00    
9  SENSON Sep18 Aug21 Jul28 Jul17 Jul02 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 2.50 16% 5.40    
 
LRL-2   10/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRASS CUTTER Sep03 Jul23       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00 ★    
2  CARMEL SUNRISE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 70% 0.40    
3  WAVERLEY Sep11 Aug27       (elamri)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  CONCERT HALL (IRE) Sep11 Jul09       (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00 ★    
5  THEOLA FUGGINS Aug30         (bailes ro)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
6  ANATH Aug28 Aug12       (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
7  OBER DARE Sep18 Sep03 Aug27     (feliciano m)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 ★    
8  CAMI RACHELLE Sep02 Aug27 Jul23     (salzman timothy)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50 5% 18.90    
9  LUCIDITY Aug23 Aug03 Jul26     (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
SCR  SWEET FACTOR Sep01 Aug12       (mancilla)RODRIGUEZ A 111 20.00    
SCR  WILDCAT GIRL Jul08         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
 
LRL-3   10/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S ALL COURAGE May05 Mar20 Feb12     (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 119 15.00    
2  ROMANTIC COMEDY Aug21 Jul28 Jul13 Jun24 Jun09 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
3  MISS CHAMITA Jul30 Jul17 Jun23 May22 Apr29 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00 ★    
4  UNADULTERATED Sep23 Aug30 Aug03 Jul02 Jun04 (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  HEARTBURN Sep09 Aug30 Aug21 Aug13 Jul08 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 113 15.00    
SCR  WATCH YOUR TONE Sep23 Aug12 Jun03 May01 Mar18 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  RED QUEEN Sep03 Jul09 Jun22 Jun09 May27 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 7% 13.30    
8  I'M GITTIN THERE Sep03 Aug16 Jun18 Jun03 May01 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-4   10/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY ROOM Sep18 Sep03 Aug25     (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
2  DUKE OF DOOLY Aug17         (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
3  BARB'S PRIDE         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  BONDED (IRE) Sep05         (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
5  DANNY'S WINKSTER         (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00 9% 9.60    
6  DOUBLE BID         (bracciale vince)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 20.00 9% 9.60    
7  BO'S BOURBON Sep05         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
8  ELUSIVE IMAGE         (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 122 10.00 ★    
 
LRL-5   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINCY CAFE Jul31 Jul09 Jun25     (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 122 12.00    
SCR  DATAMAN Aug22 Jul22       (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 6.00    
SCR  DANDY HANDYMAN Sep07         (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  FIRE BARON Sep10 Aug13       (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 117 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Sep04 Jul31       (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
6  CONGRUENT Sep10 Aug13 Jul16     (sano antonio)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 5.00    
SCR  HENDRICKSON Aug22 Jul15       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
8  OTAGO Sep11 Aug22       (danner kelsey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
9  WE DONT NEED ROADS Sep08 Aug11       (pecoraro anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
10  FREEDOM ROAD Aug27 Jul23       (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00 7% 14.20    
11  SPLENDOR BEAUTY Sep17         (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
12  FREE SOUL Sep06 Aug01 Jul18 Jun18 May20 (munoz carlos)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
13  ROAN BURGUNDY Sep16         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00    
 
LRL-6   10/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FACTOR IT IN Aug16 Jul10       (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
2  YODEL E. A. WHO Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jun21 May23 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  AIR TOKEN Sep18 Sep03 Mar19 Feb19 Jan21 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
4  FAMISHED Aug06 Jun25 May13 Apr14 Mar25 (de horacio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TORCH OF TRUTH Mar19 Feb19 Jan21     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 ★    
6  TREASURE TRADITION Mar26 Feb21 Jan16     (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 120 12.00    
SCR  GOLDENIZE Sep11 Jul15 Jun19 May21 Apr14 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00    
8  CROUCHELLI Sep05 Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 May08 (vukelic robert )GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
9  EXCELLORATOR Aug19 Jul29 May20 May01 Apr07 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 122 10.00    
10  BACKNTHEWOODS Sep11 Aug05 Jul09 Jun10 May20 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00    
 
LRL-7   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Sep09 Aug16       (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 ★    
2  THE CLASSY ONE Sep11         (breen kelly)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00    
3  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Sep15 Aug28 Aug07 Jul21 Jul11 (brooks brian)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 20.00    
4  LADY AZTECA Aug17 Jul13 Jun22     (lopez g)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
5  BORN DAPPER Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 May28   (thomas jonathan)NO RIDER 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  PRIVATE CREDIT Sep02 Aug04       (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  CHA CHA TAP Sep05         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 122 20.00    
8  BEE MOUNTAIN Sep07 Aug09 Jul12     (allen ferris)NO RIDER 117 20.00    
9  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Sep02 Jul08       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 15.00    
SCR  DELIGHT Aug27 Aug07 Apr29     (thomas jonath)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
11  WHAT AN HONOR Sep03 Aug14 Jul15     (maker mic)CARRASCO R 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
LRL-8   10/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREVIARY Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00    
2  CLICK TO CONFIRM Sep11 Aug27 Jul02 Jun05 May20 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 20.00    
SCR  HYBRID ECLIPSE Aug27 Jul02 Jun08 Feb21   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
SCR  THE GRASS IS BLUE Aug16 Jul02 May14     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00 ★    
5  COACH Feb12 Jan08       (cox h)LYNCH FEARGAL 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  BATTLE BLING Sep06 Jul09 Jun08 May06 Apr10 (atras rob)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  JILTED BRIDE Sep06 Aug14 Jul08 Jun10 May06 (asmussen st)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  MALIBU BEAUTY Aug27 Aug13 Jul06 Jun10   (capuano a)NO RIDER 120 10.00 ★    
 
LRL-9   10/01/2022 7920ft DIRT RC2 SLOPPY nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMUI SUNSET Sep25 Sep07 Aug29 Aug05 Jul22 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
2  BURNING BRIGHT Aug14         (thomas jonath)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.80 15% 5.70    
SCR  OCEANS MAP Sep10 Aug24 Jul29 Jun18 May28 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
4  WHAT SAY THEE Sep03         (sisterson j)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 15.00    
5  ARMANDO R Sep03 Jun12 May21 Apr22 Apr02 (dilodovico damon)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  CARROTHERS Sep13 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 Apr22 (sweezey j)CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
7  BEACON HILL Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 May21 Apr20 (matz r)BOYCE FOREST 120 4.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  ROYNE Sep10 Jul27 Jun26 Jun04 May20 (dickinson mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  BASSO Sep11 Aug24 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00    
10  BIZZEE CHANNEL Sep10 Aug15 Jul19 Jun25 May28 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.50 ★    
11  VANCE SCHOLARS Sep08 Sep06 Aug06     (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 121 20.00    
 
LRL-10   10/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING GOLD Sep24 Sep05 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 (mcmahon)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 15.00    
2  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Sep10 Sep03 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (barr donald)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
3  INKOSI Jun29         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  CONNECTING Aug18 Aug03 Jun25 May28 Jan16 (pecoraro anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  OBOY Sep10 Jul15 Jul02 May28 Apr30 (gamber e)HESS SARA 108 30.00    
6  NOTION TO TAPIT Aug20 Aug06 Jul20     (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 15.00 ★    
7  BLISS THIS Sep10 Sep03 Aug06 Jul15 May19 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.00 57% 0.70    
8  DYNAMITE DUKE Sep03 May28       (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 ★    
9  NEVERFOLD Sep11 Aug20 Aug06 Jun26 Jun17 (ashby randy)MONTERREY R 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.