Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - September 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 2 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAW POWER Aug21 Aug13 Jul16     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
2  AMALFI LADY Jul31         (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  GUN OF GOLD Aug20 Jul24       (hollendorf)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 3.50 ★    
4  DIVINE ROMANCE         (trombetta mich)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  LA DE PELUCHE         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  MADELINE'S GROGU Aug21 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04   (spina cha)VARGAS A 118 3.00 6% 16.90    
 
MTH-2   09/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOON TIME GEM Sep02 Aug07 Jul02 Jun12 May17 (penaloza migu)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 5% 18.90    
2  NEXT COWBOY UP Sep02 Jul24 Jun05 May22   (marquez)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
3  LUCKY LOVER BOY Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul22 Jan09 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 15.00    
4  CASH KID Sep02 Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun10 (sacco gr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 10.00    
SCR  ONE TIME WILLARD Aug28 Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 May29 (stephens john)RENDON JAIRO 115 1.40 49% 1.00    
6  PAL Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun18 May29 (frangella james )FERRER C 120 10.00    
7  WOLFE 'N HAWKE Aug28 Jul24 Jun18     (milne joan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 15% 5.80    
8  YOUNG GUN Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul01   (frang)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 30.00    
9  HERE COMES BILLY Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04   (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 ★    
10  STEEL PIER Aug12 Jul30 Jul10 Jun11 May22 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 8.00 5% 18.90    
 
MTH-3   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE LARK Aug28         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  TILTED TIARA Aug26 Aug21 Jul28 Jul08 May29 (gonzalez cla)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 2.50 ★    
3  TEKILA Aug06 Jun23 May13     (hennig mark)FERRER C 123 4.00 ★    
4  SONG SAVER Aug12 Jul13 Jun16     (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.20 60% 0.70    
SCR  IMPERIAL JET Aug29         (reardon c)PANAIJO JORGE 116 15.00    
6  DUSTED Aug20 Jul02 Jun12 Apr15 Feb18 (ortega le)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 18.80    
7  ROLIN N CONTROLIN Aug06 Jul02 Jun12 May21   (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00 9% 10.00    
 
MTH-4   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON REBELLION Aug29 Aug01 Jul02 Jun18 Jun05 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 ★    
2  TRADE SECRET Jul31         (antonacci ph)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
3  ABOVE PAR Aug20 Jul29 Jun05 Jan16   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  LIBERATED LADY (IRE) Aug07 Jul02 May30 Apr02   (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 120 2.50 ★    
5  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 May30 May08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
SCR  HONEY MONEY Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May22 May08 (lucas bonnie)CARDENAS LUIS 120 15.00 8% 11.00    
 
MTH-5   09/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE PRICE Aug13 Jun12 May15 Apr15   (morey william )RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00    
2  BRAMBLE BEACH Jul17 Jun11 May29 Apr01 Mar20 (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
3  INAPPROPRIATE Aug14 Jul17       (king clarence)CARDENAS LUIS 123 20.00    
4  DREAM ASTRAY Aug14 Jul29 Jul04 Jun17   (rodriguez dar)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 4.50 9% 10.50    
5  PIVOTAL RUN Aug11 Jun19 May20     (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 6.00    
6  URBAN BEACH Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 May29 Apr29 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
7  PERPETUAL CHANGE Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 May29 Jan15 (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
8  QUESTION MY SANITY Aug04 Jul10 Jun12 Apr14 Mar19 (romer)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
9  NECCO Aug04 Jun11 May01     (camejo m)TORRES JOMAR 123 12.00    
10  COMMITTED Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 May22 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
11  STREAMING TAP Aug14 Jul29 Jun18 Apr16 Apr03 (serpe philip)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  LEOPARDI Aug13 Aug05 Jun19 May12 Apr24 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 ★    
SCR  MAYBE IT'S TIME Aug31 Jul28       (gorham mi)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  WINE TIME Aug19 Jul29 Jun26 May30   (o'connell ka)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 12.00 6% 16.10    
 
MTH-6   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT PASSION Aug28         (milne joan)JUAREZ NIK 119 12.00    
2  LADY TRIXMEISTER Jul30         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00 ★    
3  RANDOM LUCK Aug28 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 Apr20 (marquez ces)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 5.00 ★    
4  SADIE BABY Aug28         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 1.00 45% 1.20    
5  MOB MENTALITY         (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  BIG LEE'S LEGACY Aug28 Aug06 Jul09 Jun19   (frangella james )FERRER C 124 4.50 10% 8.80    
7  TWYLA Jul30 Jun26       (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 10.00    
 
MTH-7   09/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC DREAMS Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun25 Jun10 (mazza joseph )CARDENAS LUIS 120 30.00    
2  SHE FLED THE SCENE Aug21 Jul23 Jul01 Apr22 Mar26 (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 120 15.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  IRISH DREAM GIRL Aug22 Jul23 Apr03 Mar09 Feb19 (bennett gerald)MOYA F 120 12.00 9% 10.80    
4  EMPIRES FIRST LADY Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 Jun10 May21 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
5  AMBLE Jul27 Jun24 Feb13     (motion graha)RENDON JAIRO 115 10.00    
6  BRAVO ZULU Aug13 Jul23 May15 Apr08 Feb11 (brown r)JUAREZ NIK 115 8.00    
7  ENTWINE (IRE) Jun17 Apr09 Mar02 Jan13   (hennig mark)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
8  NO VALLA Aug21 Aug08 Jul23 Jun11 Apr07 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  EVOKING         (thomas jonat)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 9% 10.30    
10  MIDNIGHT DIVA Jul01 Apr23 Mar06     (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
11  FINEST WORK Jul30 Jun24 May14     (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR Aug03 Jul11 Jun25 Jun01 May21 (collazo lui)RAMOS C 113 12.00    
 
MTH-8   09/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUISING DEREK Aug27 Aug12       (mazza w)MOYA F 118 6.00    
SCR  POSSIBLEMENTE         (rodriguez dar)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
3  IN DETAIL Jul21         (camejo m)FERRER C 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  OKLETSGO Aug22         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
5  Z'S SO GOOD         (lucas bonnie)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 12.00 5% 17.50    
6  LYFE IS SIMPLE         (king clarence)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 5% 17.50    
7  LITTLE BANKER MAN Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul08   (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
8  BRODY'S WAR         (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
9  TIEMPO PERFECTO Aug22 Jul23 Jul02     (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00 14% 6.00    
10  A B CHEVY Aug15 Jul31       (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
 
MTH-9   09/10/2022 7920ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEANS MAP Aug24 Jul29 Jun18 May28 Apr23 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 ★    
2  SA'AD (FR) Aug24 Aug08 Jul18     (brion ker)VARGAS A 124 6.00    
3  STRONG EAGLE Aug26 Aug06 Jul02 Jun11 Apr30 (parra hernan)SUAREZ ANTHONY 121 30.00    
4  KINGDOM ON PAWS Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun30 May22 (schistl r)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  PASSPORT (URU) Aug20 Jul27 Jul10 Jun20 May28 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 30.00    
SCR  ALEX JOON Sep08 Aug09 Jul11 Mar24 Jan29 (schultz lindsay)NO RIDER 118 15.00 ★    
7  L'IMPERATOR (FR) Jul31 Jun11 May07 Feb05   (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
8  HIEROGLYPHICS Sep03 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (chatterpaul n)CARDENAS LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  ROYNE Jul27 Jun26 Jun04 May20 Apr29 (dickinson mi)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 9% 10.70    
 
MTH-10   09/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTIGRAVITY Aug14 Jul23 Jun25 May28 Apr16 (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 10% 9.40    
2  THOMAS SHELBY Jul09 May01 Mar19 Feb12 Jan15 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  GOLDEN BROWN Aug28 Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 May15 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
4  NO SALT Aug27 Aug15 Jun16 Jun02 Apr28 (volk scott)FERRER C 124 6.00    
5  KING OF DREAMS Aug08 Jul23 Jun23 May28   (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 ★    
6  PHAT MAN Aug14 Jul09 Jun18 May25 Jan08 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
7  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Aug20 Jul01 Jun10 Apr21 Mar27 (hills timoth)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 10.00    
8  PLOT THE DOTS Aug26 Jul30 Jun19 Jun04 May08 (gonzalez claudio)JUAREZ NIK 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
MTH-11   09/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS MAGIC Aug13 Jul23 Jun04 Apr15 Mar31 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 ★    
2  LAY THE GROUNDWORK Aug13 Jul02 May14 Feb13 Jan09 (brown cha)VARGAS A 115 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  SKYLERVILLE         (thomas jonat)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 6.00 ★    
4  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Aug29 Aug16 Jul16 Jul12 Jun14 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
5  NEON CITY Aug13 Jul27 Jun06     (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 30.00    
6  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Aug18 Jun18 May27 Apr03 Mar12 (zerpa gilberto)CAMACHO SAMY 115 6.00 17% 4.90    
7  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Aug21 Aug01 Jul08 Jun19 May30 (nunn douglas)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00 25% 3.00    
8  SWEET SURPRISE Aug12 Jul10 Jun12 May07 Apr01 (hills timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 20.00    
SCR  LA COSTA Aug08 Jul01 Jun10 Apr21 Mar11 (russo fr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00    
10  CONUNDRUM QUEEN Aug21 Jun25 May06 Apr03 Feb26 (d'angelo jose )RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
11  COCOA ICING Jul01 Jun10 Apr15 Feb26 Feb04 (orseno f)FERRER C 120 12.00    
SCR  SEDUCE Aug13 Jun15 May26     (motion h )VARGAS A 115 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.