Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 15, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/6/1/3)-(6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-2   WIN (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/3)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/3)-(6/7)-(7/9/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-3   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(7/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(7/9/5)-(4/2/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-4   WIN (7/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/5)-(7/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/9/5)-(7/9/5)-(7/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/9/5)-(4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5)-(4/2/5/1)-(5/7/10/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-5   WIN (4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/1)-(5/7/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/1)-(5/7/10/6)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-6   WIN (5/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/6)-(5/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/12/8/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
KEE-8   WIN (3/12/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/12/8/6/4)-(3/12/8/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/12/8/6/4)-(3/12/8/6/4)-(3/12/8/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/15/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($77K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOT AT PERFECTION Mar21 Jan30 Dec13 Nov01 Sep27 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 1.80    
2  GETTING CLOSER Mar01 Jan31 Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  POPPY WOPPY Nov21         (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00    
4  TWIRLAWAY         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  NIGHTMARE FUEL Jun25         (eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 118 3.50    
6  IN FOR A SPIN Mar18 Feb14 Oct18 Sep20   (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   04/15/2026 2970ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM HONOR G         (acevedo israe)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHLY MOTIVATED out of NUTMEG by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR  RUSH HOUR         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
  (by SPLENDID HOUR out of ATLANTA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  LACK OF RIESLING         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NO RESPECT by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  BAYTOWN ONA         (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 119 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of VALENTINE WISH by LEMON DROP KID)
5  JOKER'S CHIC         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHICALELEE by CHEROKEE RUN)
6  ZAMINA         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by HIGHLY MOTIVATED out of SENSES OF EMIRATES by BERNARDINI)
7  VASHA         (wojczynski jus)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SOCIAL ASSASSIN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  PEAK PERSPECTIVE         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of JUST A LOOK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
9  POT'S RIGHT         (antonacci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BUNSKIE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
KEE-3   04/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($50K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE WITNESS Mar04 Feb18 Oct08 Aug28 Jul31 (caramori caio)MACHADO DYLAN 118 8.00    
2  INEXORABLE Feb07 Dec20 Nov14 Oct08 Jul20 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00    
SCR  SMOKEN BOY Mar25 Mar04 Nov08 Oct05 Sep19 (winebaug)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
4  TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Mar14 Feb11 Dec09 Oct27 Sep21 (summers ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 ★    
5  HONKY TONK HIGHWAY Mar15 Feb14 Jan15 Dec18 Nov12 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.50    
6  KAVOD Mar08 Dec06 Nov20 Sep20 Jul26 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 71% 0.40    
7  SCAT FREE Mar15 Feb14 Aug14 Jun20 May23 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-4   04/15/2026 3630ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARAGOGO Feb22         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CHANNEL LADY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
2  BIG BLUE NOTION Mar13         (miller darri)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MIZ SHELTON by GRAYDAR)
SCR  I'M TROUBLE Jan02 Nov12 Sep07     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by BLACK MACKEE out of ACCOUNTABLE MISS by PRIVATE ACCOUNT)
4  ZAP D'ETAT Mar18 Feb13 Jan02 Dec06 Nov12 (house gary)ACHARD ALEX 125 10.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  DISMISS Jan16 Dec21 Nov12 Oct20 Sep18 (matejka pav)GUTIERREZ MARIO 125 12.00 11% 8.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHILAH BABY by GRAYDAR)
SCR  SEDONA SPIRIT Feb21 Jan10       (catalano wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of CHARLENE'S PAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  ROSE RULER Feb13 Jan16 Dec21     (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 125 5.00 40% 1.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MEADOW ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  INK LIES May09 Aug29       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 125 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of SUPERQUINN by STREET HERO)
9  MCCANN         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MITOLE out of TASTE LIKE CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
KEE-5   04/15/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMBAYLA Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 Jan09 Dec26 (bahena ismael)PAULY SUMMER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLACK GINGER Mar11 Feb05 Dec23 Dec11 Oct16 (lopez elias)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 13% 7.00    
SCR  WILD ACCLAIM Mar04 Feb14 Dec19 Nov16 Oct22 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00    
4  COULDYOUBELOVED Mar20 Feb26 Jan09 Dec26 Oct03 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 126 6.00 50% 1.00    
5  SPOTAWAY Feb25 Jan14 Nov19 Oct30 Oct07 (rouck mar)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50 10% 9.50    
6  BROOKLYN CAN DANCE Jan14 Dec19 Dec03 Apr11 Mar20 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 15.00    
7  FOOTNOTE Mar12 Feb25 Aug30 Aug15 Jul13 (torres ma)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 12.00    
8  SHE'S NO ANGEL Mar11 Feb21 Jan14 Nov13 Oct16 (esquivel gust)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.00    
 
KEE-6   04/15/2026 3630ft TURF RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIMOTHY Mar15 Dec13 Nov07     (moquett ronald)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
  (by YAUPON out of DANCE FOR DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
2  CATCH HOUND         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ISOCLONE by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  FELINE CURIOUS Mar25         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AGOG by MORE THAN READY)
4  TATERPIE Mar21 Feb17 Jan19 Dec27   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DELIGHTFUL MELODY by TAPIT)
5  GYPSY ART Nov14 Oct05 Sep06     (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of THE GIRL HERSELF by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
6  INORDINARY Oct04 Sep26 Aug23 Aug05 Jun13 (sister)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of TAPTAM by PLEASANT TAP)
7  JUBILEE PARADE Mar19 Feb15 Oct02     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 10% 8.90    
  (by KINGMAN out of SIGNATURE SONG by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  OUTOFPI Nov23 Oct22 Sep07 Aug30 Aug01 (gonz)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 30.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of PAHIATUA by TRIBAL RULE)
9  TRIPLE MAX Feb21         (wojczynsk)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of COEXISTENCE by VIOLENCE)
10  FUZZY STARE Mar06         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 10% 9.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of BISTRO MONCUR by LONHRO (AUS))
 
KEE-7   04/15/2026 5610ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALSTON Jun15 Nov04       (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
2  ROTHKO Mar19 Jan11 Nov08 Jul20   (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 28% 2.60    
3  ROGER ROGER Mar08 Feb12 Jan02 Dec04 Oct03 (green j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
4  SWEETALKINGBOURBON Feb16 Nov20 Oct23 Aug16 May26 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
5  FACT Mar14 Aug19 Jul03 May24 Apr12 (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.80 33% 2.10    
6  COALMOON Mar21 Feb26 Dec20 Nov13 Sep25 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
KEE-8   04/15/2026 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($140K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZADORSKY Mar14 Feb06 Dec13 Nov15 Oct11 (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
2  SANCTIFY Aug03 Jul06 Jun11 May11 Apr18 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
3  CHILD OF THE MOON (FR) Mar07 Feb06 Dec01 Oct19 Sep02 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  SMILING ELLIE Feb25 Oct16 Aug28 Aug02 Jun14 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  DISTANT WINTER (SAF) Oct04 Sep13 Aug22 Jun19   (motion graha)MORAN PIETRO 118 15.00    
6  AUSTERE Aug03 Jun28 May17 Mar22 Mar01 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 9% 10.50    
7  SHE'S ALL CHARM Jun26 May26 Apr11 Feb21 Jan01 (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
8  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Mar21 Dec21 Oct16 Sep07 Aug03 (shirer a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
9  SETTLING STORM Feb28 Jan21 Dec20 Nov15 Oct06 (matejka pavel)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
SCR  PEAK POPULARITY Feb25 Dec20 Nov05 Sep18 Feb14 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
11  LA MARINERA Mar14 Feb06 Jan03 Nov30 Nov13 (fernandez )HERNANDEZ N 118 20.00    
12  SWEET TREASURE Feb14 Jan17 Nov23 Oct31 Sep27 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.