Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Sunday - November 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/1/6/2)-(8/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2)-(4/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/2)-(8/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/2)-(8/2/7/4)-(5/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (8/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4)-(8/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/4)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/7/4)-(5/2/7)-(6/2/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/10/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1)-(6/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/1)-(6/10/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/1)-(6/10/1/9)-(6/2/8/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/10/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/9)-(6/10/1/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/9)-(6/10/1/3/9)-(6/10/1/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/1/9)-(6/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/10/1/9)-(6/2/8/7)-(6/8/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/8/7)-(6/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/8/7)-(6/2/8/7)-(6/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/8/7)-(6/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/8/7)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/2/1/9/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-8   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(6/2/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (6/2/1/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/9/10)-(6/2/1/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/9/10)-(6/2/1/9/10)-(6/2/1/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   11/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CENTRAL TO SUCCESS Oct14 Aug25 Jul22     (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 15% 5.60    
STRACA Oct19 Sep26 Aug21 Jun29 Feb08 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 4.00    
SCR  MAMBAGIGI Sep17 Sep03 Jul08 Jun11 May21 (englehart chr)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
MUNNINGS EXPRESS Jun06 May17 Apr27     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.00 63% 0.60    
SUNSHINE LILY Oct26 Sep18 Jul25 May25 Apr27 (diprima gregory)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
HOWLING WIND Jun22 Jun04 Apr13 Mar08 Feb01 (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
CAROL T Jul14 Apr26 Mar29 Feb08 Dec15 (jimenez jos)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00    
 
AQU-2   11/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOPPIN BROCKLEY Oct17 Sep21 Aug21 Jul31   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
HUDSON RIVER LINE Nov02         (potts wayne)RIVERA A 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP LIZZY Oct17 Sep12       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50    
SALUTE TO SERVICE         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  WAYWARD QUEEN Nov13 Oct05       (ronen assaf)SIMPSON W 119 10.00    
TAPAROO Oct17         (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN MIRACLE Nov07 Oct17 Sep12     (jimenez l)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
PENCIMA Oct06         (ronen as)VILLA FAVINHO 119 15.00    
 
AQU-3   11/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SPIN Oct19 Oct05 Aug28 Jul13 May08 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
FATEFUL LIGHTNING Sep20 Jul26 Jun20 May26 Apr08 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  FIDDLING FELIX Oct22 Oct03 Aug27 Jul30 Jul17 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00    
INTO INSPIRATION Oct19 Aug31 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 (jimenez)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAGNANIMOUS MAX Jan25         (cox h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
MR R T Jun07         (jimenez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
CAT FAST Oct24 Aug22 Jun20 Feb15 Jan16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
NEW YORK SCRAPPY Oct25 Oct27 Sep26 Aug30 Aug15 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-4   11/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Forever Together Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACING COLORS Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 Sep01 Jul30 (follett norman)SIMPSON W 121 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of RHETORICAL COLORS by AFLEET ALEX)
NICE AS PIE Oct06 Sep10 Aug02 Jul05 Mar15 (danner k)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
MISS BONNIE T Oct18 Nov01 Oct03 Sep22 Aug04 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 50.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of RADIANT CUT by SHARP HUMOR)
SPINNING COLORS Oct25 Sep14 Aug22 Jul10 Jun04 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
OVERSUBSCRIBED (GB) Nov08 Oct12 Jul20 Jun22 May05 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 0.80 47% 1.10    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZURIGHA by CAPE CROSS)
MALLEYMOO Oct09 Sep04 Jul24 Sep08 Aug16 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TANGAROO by LONHRO (AUS))
FLOWERS FOR ME Oct19 Sep14 Aug17 Jul23 Nov17 (ryerson jame)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of I DO DECLARE by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SCR  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Nov22 Nov08 Sep06 Jul20 Jun28 (rice linda)VELAZQUEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
SCR  BERNIETAKESCHARGE Oct25 Aug23 Jun04 Apr06 Feb22 (schettino dom)SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.40    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
SCR  TIPPLE Nov02 Sep06 Aug01 Jun26 Apr12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE HENNESSY by HENNESSY)
 
AQU-5   11/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP YONDER         (brown ch)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MOONLIGHT SKY by SKY MESA)
CREDIT HISTORY Oct17 Sep13       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALTAMURA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
BALTIMORE         (summers ch)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WIN THE WAR by WAR FRONT)
FIGHTFORALLEGIANCE Oct26         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of STARTWITHSILVER by JUMP START)
ENFORCED AGENDA         (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HEART AND HOPE by TAPIT)
OTTINHO         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of QUIET GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GULFY Oct26 Sep13       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GULF COAST by UNION RAGS)
FELONIOUS Oct16         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 24% 3.10    
  (by CHARLATAN out of CRIMINAL MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
AQU-6   11/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH MORTAL Sep25         (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAGING SEA CAPTAIN Oct23         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
TIGER ROCKET Aug16         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50    
MO SPICE Aug29         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
TREADSTONE         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
THE OBLITERATOR Nov09 Sep25 Sep13 Jul31 Jul06 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 69% 0.50    
CLASSIC COMMANDER Oct24         (sciacca gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 15.00    
GRUMBLYRUMHOGAN Oct23 Sep28       (barker edward)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
LUCKY LARRY Nov01 Oct07       (velazquez dani)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  WHERE'S YOUR BOOM Nov01         (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 8% 11.90    
 
AQU-7   11/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REDACTED Oct22 Sep18 Aug24 Jul26 Jun27 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SALMING Sep19 Aug23 Jul31 Nov22 Oct14 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
HOT SPUN Nov01 Oct05 Sep12 Jun19 Jun07 (bhigroog c)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
GAMEBRED Nov01 Sep26 Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
PLATFORM Oct01 Aug27 Aug08 Jul18   (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SHADOW SURGE Nov01 Oct11 Apr13     (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
MIDDLE MARKET Nov07 Oct18 Oct04 Sep01 Aug16 (arenas marcelo)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COCKTAILSNKRINGLE Nov12 Oct10 Sep01 Aug17 Jul03 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 7% 13.90    
MIKE'S MAGIC Nov03 Sep14 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 (cibelli jan)RIVERA A 113 15.00    
 
AQU-8   11/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pebbles Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST MARKET Oct18 Sep21 Aug21 Jul20 Jun15 (terranova john)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
CORRETO Oct24 Feb01 Jan04 Nov01 Oct06 (motion gr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPOOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
STARSHIP PEGASUS Oct24 Aug24 Jul26     (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  IT AIN'T TWO (GB) Oct11 Sep06 Jul26 Jun21 May10 (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
  (by CALYX out of USRA by REQUINTO)
PARADISE CITY Oct18 Sep20 Aug22 Jul05 Apr26 (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of WASHINGTON BRIDGE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
SWEET TREASURE Oct31 Sep27 Nov07 Aug17   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STELLIUM by EMPIRE MAKER)
LOVE YOU ANYWAY Oct24 Sep06 Jun28 Apr17 Mar08 (arnold george )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 6% 14.80    
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
PEAK HYPE Oct04 Aug31 Aug02 Jul03   (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOYGER by NYQUIST)
SCR  WITH THE ANGELS Oct16 Nov17 Oct27 Sep22 Aug22 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.60    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
 
AQU-9   11/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THORSNESS Oct24 Sep19 Feb27 Jan25   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 9% 9.90    
NOGUCHI Oct11 Aug27 Jul30 Jun20   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  GRAND COMMANDER Nov06 May04 Mar22 Mar01 Feb07 (brown r)LUZZI J 121 10.00    
DOWN THE LINE Nov06 Oct24 Sep28 Aug07 Jun14 (quick patri)RIVERA A 114 30.00    
UNCLE BARRIE Nov16 Oct17 Sep21 Aug31 Aug14 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 50.00    
APALTA Oct22 Oct03 Aug08 Jul04   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 45% 1.20    
ENDURING ANGEL Oct24         (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 121 15.00    
DAYTONA MOONSHINE Nov06 Oct24 Oct17 Sep28 Jul13 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 50.00    
THE HERO CODE Nov16 Oct26 Sep20 Aug27 Aug08 (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  DR. INSEL Oct24 Sep12 Oct12     (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.