Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/4/5)-(3/5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/5/4/1)-(8/9/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(8/9/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1)-(8/9/4/5)-(5/1/10/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (8/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/5)-(8/9/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/5)-(8/9/1/4/5)-(8/9/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/4/5)-(5/1/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/5)-(5/1/10/8/6)-(4/1/5/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (5/1/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/10/8/6)-(5/1/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/10/8/6)-(5/1/10/8/6)-(5/1/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/10/8/6)-(4/1/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/10/8/6)-(4/1/5/10)-(7/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (4/1/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/10)-(4/1/3/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/10)-(4/1/3/5/10)-(4/1/3/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/5/10)-(7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/10)-(7/1/5)-(3/1/9/5/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(3/1/9/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(3/1/9/5/6)-(10/5/3/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/1/9/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/5/6)-(3/1/9/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/5/6)-(3/1/9/5/6)-(3/1/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/9/5/6)-(10/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (10/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/8)-(10/5/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/8)-(10/5/1/3/8)-(10/5/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARTY TIME Aug20 Jul25 Jun26     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
2  KATE BARRY Aug20 Jul25       (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  SNIDE Jun21         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHOCOLATECHOCOLATE Jul30 Jul03 May17 Apr12 Mar16 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 49% 1.00    
5  SHEER WILL Aug15 Jul25 Jun26 May15 Mar23 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50    
6  GOULDIAN Mar07 Feb13 Jan24 Jan03 Oct25 (barrera os)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOD GIVEN Aug15 Jul17       (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00    
2  SMALLCHANGEGEEP Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 May26 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
3  DOMINICAN THUNDER Aug25 Jul18 Jun14 Feb08 Nov17 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
4  COCO SUN Jul17 Jun13 Apr25 Feb27   (pringle ed)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNCLE BARRIE Aug31 Aug14 Aug01 Jul13 Jul05 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KAZ ICE CHANGER         (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 48% 1.10    
7  CARLIN CONTENTION Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 May23 May04 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 ★    
 
BAQ-3   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHALI MAGIC Aug30 Aug21 Jun26 May01 Apr06 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAGGY'S PALACE Aug22 Jun07 Apr19 Feb09 Jan10 (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 6.00    
3  LAVENDER DISASTER Jul26 Jul03 May25 Oct06 Sep15 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  THE BIG CALHOUNA Jul23 Jun26 Apr19 Mar23 Feb15 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  ROSWELL Aug24 Jul19 Jun07 Nov07 Oct04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 19% 4.40    
6  LUNA MOTH Jun29 Jun05 May26 Mar28 Feb23 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00    
7  GOLDEN DEGREE Aug07 Jun26 May01 Feb01 Dec01 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LAO Aug29 Jul25 Jun27 Jun19 May01 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 ★    
2  FLOGE Aug06 Jul13 May26 May09 Feb21 (romero j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
3  MAGGIE T Jul13 Jun21 May25 May16 Apr10 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
4  GHOSTLY GIRL Jul13 Mar28 Mar07 Jan12 Oct20 (charlerie )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPEAK SOFTLY Sep14 Aug01 May02 Mar29 Jan25 (sharp joe)LUZZI J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOOK OF WISDOM Aug29 Jul10 Jun08 May01 Apr11 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00    
7  APRIL ANTICS Aug29 Aug01 Jul23 Jun13 Apr04 (barker edw)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
8  KILLY START Aug29 Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 May16 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 56% 0.80    
9  MURSAL Aug06 Jun29 Jun05 Apr19 Mar28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
BAQ-5   09/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINT AL DANDY (IRE) Aug03 Jul03 Sep01     (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by DANDY MAN out of SUMMARISE by SHAMARDAL)
2  BIG MAGIC (IRE) Apr23         (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
  (by EARTHLIGHT out of BLANCHE NEIGE by HALLING)
3  MARITAL TRUST Aug21 Jul20 Jul28     (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PHILANTHROPIC by MALIBU MOON)
4  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Aug24 Jul24 Jun05 Apr23 Dec01 (metivier)VILLA FAVINHO 124 50.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of AVOCATE by LAWMAN)
5  JUST SO PRETTY Aug02 Jun05 Apr23 Feb28 Jan05 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BATTLE GIRL by BATTLE CRY)
6  PRIVATE PROPERTY (IRE) Jun16 May02       (nevin mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TERRITORIES out of ROSEISAROSE by ACCLAMATION)
7  MYSTIC SEA Aug17 Jul03 May30     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of PART THE SEAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  FAST MARKET Aug21 Jul20 Jun15 Apr08 Mar08 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
9  BLACKFIN (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
  (by RIVER FLYER out of TRULY GOLDEN by SLEW O' GOLD)
10  TIME STONE Jun05 May10 Feb22 Nov02 Sep15 (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
SCR  BOURBON MILK PUNCH Aug29 Jul25 Jun21 Jun05 Apr12 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COMPELLED by WAR FRONT)
SCR  ELLESMERE ISLAND         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ISLAND REWARD by STREET BOSS)
SCR  TRADING STRATEGY Oct10 Aug11       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
 
BAQ-6   09/21/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAISY DOO Aug31 Aug08       (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 32% 2.20    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BIRTHDAY GIFT by HAT TRICK)
2  GENIE Aug15 Jun12       (delgado jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 20.00    
  (by WAITING out of GIVEN TIME by MORE THAN READY)
3  SIR WALTA Aug29         (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by REDESDALE out of CLASSIC MELODY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
4  TRUE LEGEND         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by GOLD LEGEND out of STRUCKBYLIGHTNING by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
5  SUNDAY BOY Aug15 Jul18       (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  THREE THIRTEEN Aug22 Jul16       (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of CLOUDKISSED by NYQUIST)
7  MAKE A PREDICTION Aug22 Aug08       (ferraro )SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  SNICKERY         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of SPRING ELUSION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  TAQUEETO JONES         (monserra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MODERN GIRL by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
10  B PROVOCATEUR         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of BARREL OF JOY by DISCO RICO)
SCR  DIAMOND LIFE Aug15         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by SEVEN RIVERS out of DIAMOND FAVOR by DON B.)
 
BAQ-7   09/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL LOV Aug09 Jul05 Jun15 Apr16 Mar16 (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  MAZAYAAT Jun22 May15 Apr17 Mar01   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
SCR  SARIR Aug24 Jul19 Jun26 Jun07 May09 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 121 15.00    
SCR  NAKED EYE Aug08 Jul26 Jul06 Jun07 Jun01 (ryan s)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
5  GRAMMY GIRL Aug08 Jul04 Apr19 Mar15 Feb15 (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SENZA PAROLE Aug24 Aug23       (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60    
7  ALYESKA Aug09 Jul05 Sep20     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
8  RACING COLORS Sep01 Jul30 Jun26 Jun04 May16 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONGUE TWISTER Aug23 Jul26 Jun22 May02 Feb13 (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
2  GRACE AND GRIT Aug21 Jul16 Jun12 May17 Nov24 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
3  NONNA LYNNE Aug13 Jul26 Jun05 Sep13   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
4  BACKCHECK Aug23 Jul05 Jun13 May03 Oct10 (clement )SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
5  HONORABLE BECKY Jun08 May01 Apr24 Mar28 Feb28 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLEARWATER BEACH Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 May18 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BUNNY HONEY Aug15 Jul26 Sep22 Jul21 Jun14 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00    
8  BERTRILLE Sep01 Jul26 Jun22 May02 Nov17 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 122 15.00    
9  SAIL WITH THE WIND Jul26 Jun22 May17 Dec15 Mar28 (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Aug10 Jul10 Jun21 May26 Apr24 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.50    
SCR  HIGHER FORCE Aug29 Jul16 May24 Apr26 Mar15 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 2.00    
SCR  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Aug29 Aug06 Jun29 Jun12 May17 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00    
SCR  CAPITAL GAL Aug06 Jul09 Nov01 Jul22 Jul07 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/21/2025 3960ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH PHILLY SLIDE Aug21         (green am)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 ★    
2  LUCIANA'S HONOR Aug06         (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
3  ONE BAD HABIT         (keith)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BESIDE YOU Aug21         (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
5  VELCAMP Aug24         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
6  KEF May23         (barrera os)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 30.00    
7  CHOPPIN BROCKLEY Aug21 Jul31       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
8  GREYJOY         (terranova )RIVERA R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  MARIPOSA MOON         (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
10  CAROLANNIE Aug24         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  SCORCH Aug27 Jul31       (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  CATHOLIC VICE Aug27         (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
SCR  GIGI CAKE'S Aug27 Jul31       (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 15.00    
SCR  WINROOSKI Sep05 Aug06 Jul03 Jun06   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  ALMA'S LAW Sep06 Aug16       (jimenez j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 20.00    
SCR  ZUBY         (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.