Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - September 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/8/4)-(8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/8/4)-(8/5/3)-(3/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/7/5/3)-(8/7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(3/6/1)-(8/4/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(8/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(8/4/5/2)-(9/10/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (8/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2)-(8/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/2)-(9/10/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/2)-(9/10/1/8)-(9/2/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (9/10/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/1/8)-(9/10/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/1/8)-(9/10/1/8)-(9/10/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/1/8)-(9/2/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/1/8)-(9/2/8/5)-(1/6/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (9/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5)-(9/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/8/5)-(1/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8/5)-(1/6/5/3)-(4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/18/2025 13200ft TURF RC14 FIRM Lonesome Glory Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET WILL (IRE)         (kingsley ar)PROCTER FREDDIE 142 8.00    
  (by DRAGON PULSE out of HALLIE'S COMET by GOLD CREST)
2  SWORE Aug21 Jul17 Oct31 Sep05 Jul28 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 144 8.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of CARA BELLA by EQUATION)
3  ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR) Aug27 Jul23 Aug14     (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 158 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
4  BEE WELL Sep04 Jul24 Sep06 Jul20 Mar10 (kingsley archibal)NEVIN DAN 142 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BERNARDETTE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  EVIE'S PRINCE Jul16 Jun04 Oct19 Sep19 Aug28 (morris neil )DALTON BERNARD 148 4.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  CARAMELISED (GB) Jul16 Aug23 Aug02     (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 146 20.00    
  (by DANSILI out of CASTER SUGAR by COZZENE)
7  HIDDEN PATH Aug27 Jul30 Jul04 Oct19 Sep19 (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 148 3.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
8  WELSHMAN Jul19 Nov05 Oct08 Sep05 Aug22 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 146 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of UNFORGIVING by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  TRAVESURAS Aug13 Jun15 Jul11 Apr06 Aug18 (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 148 10.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of HEART'S SONG by DESERT PARTY)
 
BAQ-2   09/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Aug23 Aug13 Jul31 Jun12 May24 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
2  TOXIC GIRL Jul27 Jul10 Jun21 May24 May02 (jimenez l)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
3  CHA CHA WREN Aug29 Jul31 Nov24 Oct17 Aug21 (shivmangal)RIVERA R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  POLITICAL SPIN Jul16 Jun14 May15 Apr18 Mar07 (rodrigue)VILLA FAVINHO 124 15.00    
5  LUCKY AND GORGEOUS Jun21 May24 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 (shivmangal lol)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Aug31 Jul31 Jul10 Jun12 May11 (schett)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00    
7  SHE'S COMPLICATED Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 Feb08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 ★    
8  YO LEVEN Jun14 May02 Mar23 Mar07 Feb13 (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.60 60% 0.70    
 
BAQ-3   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATIE KING Aug24 Jul19       (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of WY NOT CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  GIULIANA'S DREAM Aug21 Mar08 Jan23 Jan10   (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of BULLISH SENTIMENT by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  RED VELVET CAKE         (giddings mela)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by DIAMOND (GB) out of MADE FROM SCRATCH by WAQUOIT)
4  BODEGAS Jul18 Apr27       (bond ja)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
5  SUNSHINE LILY Jul25 May25 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (diprima gregory)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 ★    
  (by VEKOMA out of SILKEN LILY by GRAND SLAM)
6  SUGAR RIDE         (doyle g)BROWN DALTON 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIPHON (BRZ) out of MISSTORMYWEATHERS by STORM CAT)
7  BROKEALLTHERULES         (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SCADADLE by SCAT DADDY)
8  PATIENCE N GRACE May16 Mar29       (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of COUNTABLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
BAQ-4   09/18/2025 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRY'S HOPE Aug28 Aug05 Jul24 Jul08 Jun07 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 50.00    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ORDER Aug03 Jun08 Apr26 Dec07 Oct05 (bartkows)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FELTRINELLI Jul14 Jun23 May19 May03 Sep22 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
4  INNATE (IRE) Aug10 Jul16 Oct28 Jun11 May28 (antonacci p)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 1.40 29% 2.40    
5  SESAME SEED BAGEL Aug09 Apr19 Mar28 Feb22 Jul12 (green j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MARCUS GIFT Aug02 Jun08 May03 Mar14 Mar01 (devaux adriann)LUZZI J 121 15.00    
7  FLAT TO DA MAT Aug30 Jul30 Jul04 May24 Apr06 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
8  BOSUN Aug27 Jul19 May26 Apr25 Mar19 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  ZIPPY MARK Aug17 Jul23 May03 Apr19 Mar28 (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 2.00    
SCR  V CRUIZER Jul30         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
 
BAQ-5   09/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE JEWELER         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAME PLAN out of BANCHORY JEWEL by GUMBOY)
SCR  PAMPERED Aug08         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by PEAKS AND VALLEYS out of CAROLSAILS by EXPLODENT)
3  ONE MORE GUITAR Aug28 Aug02       (proctor thomas )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TERMINOLOGY by BERNARDINI)
4  GIVE YOUR BEST (IRE) Aug29         (joseph a)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of ZONDAQ by BERNARDINI)
5  BELLE OF GEORGIA (IRE)         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT out of CHICA WHOPA by OASIS DREAM)
SCR  VEKOMA VIEW         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of PERFECT VIEW by ARCH)
SCR  AUTHENTIC CAT         (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HRASKY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  BLUE MADAME Aug01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of FANCY BLUE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  FRAUDSTER Aug08 Jul12       (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by FAVORITE CARTEL out of REMEMBER THE CARTEL by CORONA CARTEL)
10  ISADORA DUNCAN (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by DUBAWI out of SIGNIFICANT FORM by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  TWO BITS Aug13 Jul12       (green j)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SPARE CHANGE by TOSSOFTHECOIN)
SCR  COME ON GET HAPPY Jul26         (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of BARN DANCE GAL by RAHY)
SCR  JADORLINIJA         (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
  (by CURLIN out of CELESTINE by SCAT DADDY)
 
BAQ-6   09/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL TRYST Aug22 Jul31 May18 Apr06 Feb06 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00    
2  BOLD ENDEAVOR Aug22 Jul31 Apr17 Mar29 Feb23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
3  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Aug08 Jul17 Mar15 Jan24 Dec13 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
4  O P FIRECRACKER Aug22 Jul23 Jul06 May23 Apr27 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
5  BOLD VICTORY Aug19 Aug03 Jun22 Jun15 May23 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST Aug08 Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 May25 (potts wayne)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00    
7  LAUGHING BOY Aug22 Jun25 Jun06 May25 Feb28 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50    
8  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Aug23 Aug08 Jul23 Jul06 Jun14 (johnston r)RIVERA R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PEEK Aug22 Jul25 Jul06 May02 Apr03 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 36% 1.70    
 
BAQ-7   09/18/2025 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRICTLY TABOO Aug15 Jul18 Jun20 Sep13 Jul13 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  KERRY Aug15 Jul18 Jun20 Mar15 Jan12 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00    
3  PATRIA Aug14 Jul19 Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 (salazar mar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BLOSSOMING ERUDITE Aug13 Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 Apr19 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
5  LINARITE Jun20 May24 May01 Nov03 Oct03 (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 10% 8.60    
6  SLIGHTLY BUSY Aug06 Jun15 Apr24 Jul31 Jul05 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
7  WEEKEND RAGS Aug15 Jul18 Jun20 May11 Mar15 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
8  LATEST EDITION Aug06 Jul18 Jun20 Feb07 Jan10 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 121 20.00    
SCR  BELLACOSE Aug15 Jun06 Nov17 Aug31 Jul17 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.60    
SCR  ACCELERATED NEWS Aug21 Jul25 May25 Apr05 Feb28 (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 3.50    
SCR  MAJESTIC RETURN Sep11 Jul10 Jun07 May09 Apr25 (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 121 2.50    
 
BAQ-8   09/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSPEIGHTOFCHARLIE Aug15         (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of UNTAKEN by NOONMARK)
2  ASKINGFORAFRIEND Aug20 Jul23 Jun19 Dec08   (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
3  EGYPTIAN Mar22 Dec21       (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 36% 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of TREBLE by MACHO UNO)
4  MOE EIGHTY EIGHT Aug14 Jul17 Jun28 Jun04   (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by SOLOMINI out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
5  BEFORE THE WIND Jul17 Jun28 May11 Apr26 Oct27 (merryman eliz)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 ★    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of MAGGIE NEARY by HURRICANE RUN)
6  OAT COUTOUR Aug20 Jul19 May08 Mar01   (englehart c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
  (by TOURIST out of RES IPSA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  ZEUS LIGHTNING Aug20 Jun04 Mar29     (clark a)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FULL OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  WILLPOWERED Aug20         (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SHEBOYGAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
9  KLIMT MASTER Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 Jun28 Jun19 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 30.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NIGHTENGALE MISS by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  CHRIS'S SONG Jun27 Nov02       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
  (by FLATTER out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.