Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - August 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/2/4)-(1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/5/6)-(8/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(8/3/6/7)-(4/8/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7)-(8/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1)-(4/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/1)-(8/2/5/1/4)-(7/5/4/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (8/2/5/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/1/4)-(8/2/5/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/1/4)-(8/2/5/1/4)-(8/2/5/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/5/1/4)-(7/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8)-(7/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO ICE FORTHE LADY Aug07 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 May23 (fletcher ke)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
OLE RED WING Aug20 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun14 (pinzon mari)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 3.50    
MIRO MOGO Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  CHAR Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00    
SATIS Jul30 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
TAP THE LINE Aug16 Jun19 May03 Mar12 Feb15 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 123 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
BTP-2   08/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTICED BY CHANCE Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun06 May14 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50    
ROCKET LAUNCHER Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jul03 Jun21 (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
SHOWTIME BOY Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 Jun24 May21 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 2.50    
DOUBLE AGENT Aug13 Aug02 Jul03 Jun07 May12 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 1.60    
GOT ZIP Aug13 Jul23 Jun19 Sep26 Aug16 (bates l)MOJICA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
C V JERSEY BEE Jul23 Jul03 Jan25 Dec28 Nov27 (gonzalez agusti)BOCACHICA O 123 10.00 63% 0.60    
 
BTP-3   08/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH PROBABILITY Jul26 Jun18 Jun07 May18 Apr20 (miller kenny)MCKEE J 119 3.00    
AHUMADO Aug16 Jul11 Jun25 Feb15 Jan29 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
DEVILISH DESIRE Jul26 Jun18 May22 May01 Apr06 (west w)PARKER L 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Aug15 Oct22 Oct14 Sep24 Aug08 (chain pearl)SOSA LAUREANO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN GOAL Aug14 Sep26       (sims matth)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 4.00    
SCR  CUE COUNTRY ROADS Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (meredith charles)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
 
BTP-4   08/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPUTADORA (ARG) Aug09 Jul24 Jul01 May28 May10 (brownfield clau)MOJICA JR 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Aug15 Jul24 Jul05 Sep27 Sep12 (ocasio os)CORREA L 123 5.00    
LONIE MO Aug15 Jun27 Jun12 May23 May15 (danner doug)MURGIA A 123 1.60    
READY SET ADIOS Aug15 Jul24 Jun19 May28 Feb27 (bush s)OUZTS W 123 3.50    
LONG BLACK VEIL Aug13 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 Jan15 (jarvis kathy)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
CANA GRIS Aug13 Jul27 Dec01 Aug01 May31 (rodak geral)NUNEZ Y 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   08/30/2025 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR WAGER Jul02 Jun21 Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 (grubbs l)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
EL GAVILAN Aug08 Jun21 May31 Nov05 Oct22 (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 118 6.00    
OVERBORE Jan25 Jan10 Nov05 Sep24 Sep04 (fletcher k)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
ENGLISH TIDE Jul14 Jun21 Jun04 Mar19 Mar08 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00    
SCR  ROGER MCQUEEN Aug23 Jul26 Oct07 Sep12 Aug15 (manning joh)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 15.00    
SCIENCE (IRE) Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 Jun13 May30 (adams l)SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
MITHRIDATES Aug23 Aug13 Jul26 Jul03 Jun18 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
MCVICKER Aug14 Jul31 Jul16 May29 May16 (livers c)RODRIGUEZ A 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
BTP-6   08/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL OF PARADIS Aug21 May03 Mar07 Feb06 Oct16 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CENTENARY Jun26 May17 Feb13 Jan02 Aug03 (corrigan )CORREA L 122 4.00    
CASTAGNA Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May08 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 117 12.00    
ELEGANT ECHO May03 Apr07 Mar17 Dec13 Nov08 (adams nancy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
CAUMSETT Aug16 Jul17 Jul04 Jun14 May29 (paye jose)ULLOA P 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
AADYA Aug21 Jul12 Jun26 Sep07 Jul24 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 122 6.00    
PISTOL Aug09 Jun27 May01 Feb23 Jan25 (van thomas)MCKEE J 122 2.50    
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Jul12 Jun11 May20 Oct01 Aug15 (cowans wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
 
BTP-7   08/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T YOU SEE Jul31 Jul17 Jun28 Jul11 Jun12 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
PAVED IN GOLD Jun05 May15 Apr30 Apr06 Mar12 (hamm timothy)MURGIA A 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
GREATDAYFORHOCKEY Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Jun22 May09 (salas marce)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00    
PAIRED EXCHANGE Aug02 Jul10 Jun20 Sep18   (albright raqu)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
PROMISSIONE Aug09 Jun27 May26 Apr29 Apr06 (howard anne)MCKEE J 119 4.50 9% 10.30    
UNCLE TUFFY Aug21 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 Jan23 (pinzon mari)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 10.00    
ONE DESTINATION Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 Jun28 Jun18 (torres con)HERNANDEZ N 119 5.00    
PEACE CLOUD Aug02 Jun17 Apr09 Mar08 Feb21 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
EL CORDOBES (IRE) Aug09 Jul26 Jul09 Jun17 May17 (calleja gust)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 10.00    
 
BTP-8   08/30/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRAVAGANT PRINCE Jul23 Jun29 May24 Apr27 Mar14 (mccall wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PRETTY EXTRAVAGANT by WITH DISTINCTION)
NICO'S DERBY RUN Jul26 May25 Feb21 Jan25 Dec27 (pasley alvi)PETERSON FERRIN 121 5.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SAM'S STONE by DISCREET CAT)
WHERE'S JACK Jun07 May28 Apr13 Aug26 Aug17 (alessi james)MURGIA A 125 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MARILYZE L' TIETA by GRINDSTONE)
PALAGIO Sep01 Jul28 Jun07 Apr05 Mar04 (riefenberg eri)DOYLE SOPHIE 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOT ROOTS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
THUBOOT Aug20 Aug01 Jun20 Aug05 Jul07 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HAAFILAH by BERNARDINI)
BEE CAT Aug04 Jul03 May01 Mar22 Jan26 (arnold george)SOSA LAUREANO 116 2.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EVIL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
RANCHO Aug15         (hernandez)CORREA L 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of TAKING THE EDGE by ROAR)
LINARES CHILD (FR) Dec06         (ramos rafael)MOJICA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAXON WARRIOR out of ANAS DREAM by DREAM AHEAD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.