Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Wednesday - August 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (6/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8)-(6/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/8)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/8)-(6/5/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(5/4/6/2/3)-(5/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-3   WIN (5/4/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/2/3)-(5/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/2/3)-(5/1/2)-(2/1/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SAR-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(2/1/4)-(7/5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-6   WIN (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2)-(7/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/2)-(7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/2)-(7/8/5)-(8/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-7   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(8/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(8/6/7)-(6/10/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(6/10/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-9   WIN (6/10/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/5)-(6/10/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/5)-(6/10/4/1/5)-(6/10/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/13/2025 12540ft TURF RC11 FIRM Michael Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVESURAS Jun15 Jul11 Apr06 Aug18   (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 153 6.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of HEART'S SONG by DESERT PARTY)
2  WALK THE WARRIOR (IRE) Nov02 Jul18       (young leslie )BARGARY JAMIE 153 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of WESTERN APPROACHES by WESTERNER)
3  L'AVVOCATO (FR) Jul24 Jul16 Sep05 Aug12   (neilson kathy)DWAN EVAN 150 12.00    
  (by FRANKEL out of AFTER DAWN by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
SCR  EVIE'S PRINCE Jul16 Jun04 Oct19 Sep19 Aug28 (morris r)PORETZ ERIC 156 6.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of OWL MOON by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  LITTLE TRILBY (GB) Jun04 Oct19 Aug28     (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 156 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN HORN out of MIDDLE CREEK by POET'S VOICE)
6  ROJA REDEMPTION Jul17 Jun13 Nov08 Oct17 Sep21 (fisher r)TODD CHARLIE 153 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of DESIRED EFFECT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  CARLOUN (IRE) Jun04 Aug01 Jun14 Nov12 Oct28 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by KINGMAN out of QAWS by DUBAWI (IRE))
8  CLIFTON DOWN (IRE) Oct19 Sep05 Jul11 Apr06 Nov12 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 156 8.00 12% 7.20    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of STAR OF BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  QUICK MASTER Jul16 Mar31 Jan04 Dec06 Sep10 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 153 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PURA CLASSE by GRAND SLAM)
 
SAR-2   08/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILHARMONIC Mar26 Feb19 Jan23 Dec26 Nov11 (zito ni)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 15.00    
2  QUIET WISDOM Jul22 Jun14 May18 Apr05 Jan16 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00    
3  PINEAPPLE MAN Jul11 May23 Apr11 Feb21 Jun16 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR Jul03 Jun15 May18 Apr17 Mar07 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00    
5  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Jun15 Jun07 Apr24 Mar29 Mar14 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 125 1.60 22% 3.50    
6  MY NOBLE KNIGHT Jul16 Jun11 May03 Apr13 Feb07 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 125 1.80 57% 0.80    
 
SAR-3   08/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLISH GEM Jul05         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of BEAUTIFUL STYLE by SILVER TRAIN)
2  ZELENA         (nevin mi)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of MAGIC JOAN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  RYAN ELIZABETH         (green ame)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ABACO by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  SHE'S COUNTRY         (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by COMBATANT out of LUNAR AFFAIR by MALIBU MOON)
5  MY DEVINE ONE Jul31         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 50% 1.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of KATHRYN THE WISE by UNCLE MO)
6  PRINCESS CELINE         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of PRINCESS EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  RIZZ Jul04 Jun18       (rice adam)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FLIRTY by UNCLE MO)
8  MIA SOPHIA Jul24         (delauro edwa)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TRUE CHARM by LANGFUHR)
9  ROCKET ROBIN Jul17         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of ROCK N COZY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  MAGIC IN MY EYES         (green j)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MISS NARCISSIST by FREUD)
 
SAR-4   08/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Jul12 Jun04 May04 Aug03 Jul05 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  SHERIFF BIANCO Jul31 Jun13 Apr06 Feb15 Feb08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ELIMINATE Jul20 Jun07 Apr12 Aug28 Jul20 (abreu fe)SANTANA JR 125 5.00    
4  OLYMPIC DREAMS Jul12 Jun08 Feb07 Jan25 Dec28 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00    
5  GUN PARTY Jun29 Jun06 May10 Apr19 Mar29 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 0.80 37% 1.70    
6  STOWAWAY May27 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 (beckman whi)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/13/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME FAST Aug03 Jul05 Feb16 Dec26 Dec01 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  GUN IT Jul06 Jun14 May24 May18 Apr17 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
2B  BRESLAU Jun26 May01 Mar22 Feb23 Dec27 (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 1.40 39% 1.50    
SCR  STOLEN BASE Jun28 May18 Apr13 Mar09 May17 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 124 1.40    
3  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Jul03 Apr13 Mar22 Feb06 Oct18 (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
4  BIG GAIN Jul13 Jun20 May24 Apr27 Apr12 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CONCORDE SPIRIT Jul22 Jun29 May18 May08 Apr12 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 124 20.00    
SCR  SWAGGISH Aug06 Jul03 Feb28 Feb01 Jan04 (potts wayne)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
7  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Jul16 Jun08 May10 Mar29 Feb23 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
 
SAR-6   08/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT OF THE FOG Jul17 Jun28       (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
2  CADA DIA MEJOR Jun28 Jun14 Apr23 Mar22 Feb23 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAZZ THE SOY SAUCE Jul17 Dec27 Dec08     (morley t)SANTANA JR 119 1.60    
4  KLIMT MASTER Jul23 Jun28 Jun19 May23 May09 (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  PANDEMIC HERO Jul14 Jun14 May08 Apr19 Apr10 (jimenez l)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  ARMENIAN DANCER (GB) Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 Nov18 Nov06 (grusmar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
7  ORIE Jul17 Jun28 May08 Oct31 Aug30 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
8  DEAD AIM Jun28 Jun14 May10 Apr23 Jan17 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 119 30.00    
SCR  VIBRANT EXPRESS         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50    
SCR  LIBERTY RISING Jul23 May26 May04 Oct26 Sep21 (quick j)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
SCR  EIGHTY GOLD Jul17 Jun15 May26 May10 Apr27 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  LET'S GET WEIRD Jul05         (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
 
SAR-7   08/13/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN TO ROCK Jul27 Jun19 May26 May01 Apr11 (antonucci)HARTSMAR CORNELIA 120 30.00    
SCR  OUR LADY PEACE Jul05 Jun13 May24 Apr25 Nov21 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
SCR  RAGTIME SIZZLE Jul27 Jul11 Jul03 May23 Apr25 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
4  TIMIA Aug06 Jul16 Feb09 Jan17 Nov24 (moubar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
5  BROOKLYN DANTZ Jul31 Jul10 May11 May02 Apr18 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 Mar15 Feb08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
7  MELLE MEL Jul20 Jun12 Apr12 Mar16 Feb27 (giddings)SANTANA JR 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
8  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Jul31 Jun12 May24 May01 Nov22 (martin f)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
SAR-8   08/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCO STAR Jul16 Jun14 May10 Apr13 Jan04 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SKY GAZER by SKY MESA)
SCR  QUEEN ATLAS Jun21 May24 Dec14 Nov11 Oct22 (morey e)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENARDINI by BERNARDINI)
3  TRAIL OF GOLD Jul16 Jun12 May17 May02 Oct27 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  LAZY Y LEGACY Jul03 Jun07 Apr18 Mar28   (west m)SAMUELS JAKE 118 30.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of PERFECT LEGACY by TAMAYAZ)
5  BOSTON'S PHINEST Jul16 Jun14 May24 Mar08 Feb08 (brown br)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of ALL IN TIME by CURLIN)
6  HANGOVER HEAVEN Jul06         (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by MR. MONOMOY out of DIANNESTILLWORKS by SCAT DADDY)
7  BLOSSOMING ERUDITE Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 Apr19 Mar26 (david c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of BLOSSOMED IN TIME by FLOWER ALLEY)
8  NONNA LYNNE Jul26 Jun05 Sep13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SLUMBER out of PLAY A SONG FOR ME by GIO PONTI)
SCR  STONE SMUGGLER Dec14 Nov17 Sep23 Aug22   (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
 
SAR-9   08/13/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R P BYRNE (IRE)         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUPREMACY out of HEAVENLY RIVER by HEAVENLY CHORUS)
2  GRAND GALA Jul12         (pletcher)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
  (by DIXIELAND BAND out of FANTASTIC FIND by MR. PROSPECTOR)
SCR  SHARING WISDOM (GB)         (mcpeek ken)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
  (by ARDAD out of ALL OF ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  BINT MISCHIEF         (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.00 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BINT AL ANOOD by DUBAWI)
5  QUIET STREET         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR CHANT out of SERENE by TAPIT)
6  DELIGHTFUL DARLING Jul12 Jun19       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 61% 0.60    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
7  LEXICO         (beckman whitw)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
  (by LEXITONIAN out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
8  NELSON'S PENNY         (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DISGUISING by TAPIT)
9  TWO BITS Jul12         (green j)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SPARE CHANGE by TOSSOFTHECOIN)
10  LIT SHIP         (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 12% 7.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of AD LITEM by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  SO IT BEGINS Jul10         (proctor thomas)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of GLOBAL GOLD by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  KETO DRINK Jul10         (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WONDER BREW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BODACIOUS QUEEN         (moubar)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WITH DIGNITY by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SCR  IN HER GLORY Jul19         (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by MISWAKI out of ZONDA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  CELEBRITY QUEST         (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CELEBRITY GLITTER by TAPIT)
SCR  SANTINA         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 119 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SANTA GUAPA by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.