Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - July 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/4/3)-(1/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/5/2)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(5/2/3)-(3/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/5/2)-(5/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-5   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(5/6/1)-(4/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SAR-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/6/7)-(6/1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-7   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(6/1/3/2)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/2)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-9   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SAR-10   WIN (3/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/6)-(3/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/6)-(3/2/9/6)-(3/2/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS IM PULSIVE Jun04 May17       (green j)DAVIS KATIE 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS MO MENTUM by UNCLE MO)
2  OUR PREFERRED PAL May16 Apr06 Mar16 Feb07 Jan19 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of GIANT STELLA by GIANT SURPRISE)
3  SUNSHINE LILY May25 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08   (diprima gregory)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SILKEN LILY by GRAND SLAM)
4  ACCELERATED NEWS May25 Apr05 Feb28 Jan17   (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 124 4.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of DISTORTED NEWS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  MANHATTAN BEAUTY         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of WITH MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  LADY ANGELINA         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THEATRICAL (IRE) out of GO ZAPPEM by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
SAR-2   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECHO IN ETERNITY Jun06 May02 Apr11 Mar15 Dec12 (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 4.00    
2  KILLY START Jul10 Jun27 May16 Mar29 Jan25 (schauer steve)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
3  ALTERED SHOT Jul13 Jun27 May26 Apr18 Nov09 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPRING MAGIC Jul10 May16 May01 Mar29 Feb07 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 10% 9.10    
5  LADY ARWEN Jun28 May09 Apr26 Mar28 Feb27 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
6  MISS LAO Jun27 Jun19 May01 Apr18 Jan19 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.50    
 
SAR-3   07/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARON HORIZONS (IRE)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  AMELIA Jul06 Dec29 Nov02 Oct05   (green j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEDFORD THE BRAVE Jul05         (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
4  ASHES AND DIAMONDS Jun26 May22 Apr26 Apr09 Sep01 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
5  BOURBON MILK PUNCH Jun21 Jun05 Apr12 Sep19 Aug31 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  ATHALIAH May25 Apr23 Apr07 Feb23   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 ★    
7  BABYSITTER         (pugh pe)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00    
 
SAR-4   07/25/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE STRIKE Jun25 Jun13 May29 Mar02 Feb03 (casse no)SANTANA JR 125 4.00 ★    
2  BOB JOHN RAY Jun22 Sep29 Aug29 Jul31 May25 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  GOTTA GUY May25 Feb09 Nov01 Sep25 Aug31 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUE CONNECTION Jun14 Apr05 Mar02 Feb06 Jan16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50    
5  WHO'S THE KING Jun05 Apr12 Feb16 Jan16 Sep21 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 125 1.60 49% 1.00    
6  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Jul03 Jun26 May24 Apr27 Apr11 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50    
7  BROWN DON'T STOP Jun21 Jun07 May11 May01 Apr06 (noda orlando)LUZZI J 125 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/25/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATERINA RISTOVA Jul13 May16 Apr23 Apr06 Mar09 (chichakl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
2  HIDDEN AGENDA Jul12 Jun15 May11     (johnsto)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PARADE RING (IRE) Apr12 Mar05 Feb05 Jun28 May02 (dutrow anthony)ORTIZ L 124 1.80 69% 0.40    
4  AERIALIST Jul12 May16 Apr17 Apr06 Dec13 (reynolds)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
5  NEW ISSUE Jun26         (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AUNT NONA May24 Dec15 Nov16 Jul27 Jun28 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
7  SILVER PEARLS Jun26 May16 Apr16 Mar23   (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 ★    
8  BENGALESE Jun21 May16       (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
 
SAR-6   07/25/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT THIS Jul03 Jun14 Apr23 Mar02 Feb02 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CATCH THE SMOKE Jul16 May31 May10 Apr25 Apr05 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.50    
3  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jul05 Jun06 May10 Feb13 Nov15 (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 123 4.50    
4  J J'S JOKER Jul17 Jun28 May25 May10 Apr17 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
5  STYNER Jun18 Jun07 May16 May01 Apr04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 4.50 36% 1.80    
6  PEEK Jul06 May02 Apr03 Feb07 Jan03 (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  HERO STATUS Mar09 Jan17 Dec01 Oct20 Jul28 (casse no)SANTANA JR 123 3.50 ★    
 
SAR-7   07/25/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RAGING BLOOM         (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of BEGONIA by TIZNOW)
SCR  SHARING WISDOM (GB)         (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by ARDAD out of ALL OF ME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  FLIGHTTOWN         (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CHOCOLATE SPEIGHTS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2B  TIME TO DREAM         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.50    
  (by TIME FOR A CHANGE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
3  CURLY Q GIRL         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET BLISS by HUNTING HARD)
4  MAIORA Jun12         (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SIXTH STREET by TAPIT)
5  MARKET CHILL         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCARLETT LACE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  RED VIOLET         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of RUBINA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
7  PAN PAN Jul03         (ortiz al)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 14% 6.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of KITTEN TALES by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MS DAREDEVIL Jun19         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of CALINAS SONG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  MAPPY Jul05         (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MYLASTFIRSTKISS by FLATTER)
SCR  SO VAIN         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of BLUE MOONRISE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  STARLIT SKY Jul05 Jun05       (weaver george)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SKY AMERICA by SKY MESA)
 
SAR-8   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE BARRY         (handal raymon)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  LADY GUNNER Jun21 May18 Apr06 Feb27 Jan05 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHEER WILL Jun26 May15 Mar23 Feb08 Jun14 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 6% 16.50    
4  CARA'S CHIANTI Jul12 Jun06 May09     (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50    
5  COTE FLEURIE (ARG) Jun06         (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
6  DARTY TIME Jun26         (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  CIRCUIT COURT May17 Mar26       (bartkowski lis)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
8  TAFAANY Jun26         (schetti)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 15.00    
 
SAR-9   07/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Amsterdam Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO MUSIC Jun07 May03 Mar30 Feb01 Jan04 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SOUTHERN GIRL by WORLD APPEAL)
2  GARAMOND Jun14 Apr27 Mar01 Jan25   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 27% 2.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BLUE WATCH by TAPIT)
3  SMOKEN WICKED Jun29 May03 Apr07 Feb23 Dec29 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of STREET SMOKE by STREET BOSS)
4  T KRAFT Jun07 Mar15 Feb14 Jan11 Nov16 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of MARGARITA FRIDAY by JOHANNESBURG)
5  GATE TO WIRE Jun07 May03 Mar01 Feb01 Jan09 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SANSIBAR JEWEL by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  GUNMETAL Jun07 Apr08 Feb01 Dec26   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSY DANCER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  MATI GOL Jul04 May17 Apr24 Jan23 Dec07 (barboza vic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of FULL FLOWER MOON by PROSPECTIVE)
SCR  UNCAGED Jun07 May10 Apr06 Mar02 Aug03 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DARK NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
SAR-10   07/25/2025 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICE FANTASTIC Jun26 May26 Feb15 Dec07   (lakeman andre)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
2  DIVIDEND RECAP Nov02 Oct12       (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  CATHOLIC EDITION Jun13         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  PROFESSOR GRACE Jun05 May17 Apr13 Dec13   (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
5  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Jun26 Jun13 Dec01 Nov16 Oct12 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 124 4.50    
6  IMMIGRATION LAW Jun14 May15 Apr25 Mar23 Oct17 (levine bruce)LUZZI J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Jun26 Jun13 May26 May03 Dec01 (pregman jr)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00    
8  FORGET TOMORROW Jul13         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
9  PRACTICAL ROMANCE Jun26 Apr24 Mar22     (russell britt)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  ASHDALE Jun26 May24 Oct19     (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.