Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (8/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/3)-(7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/3)-(7/3/2)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/2/5)-(7/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2)-(1/2/3)-(5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/4)-(6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/1/5)-(3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/2/6)-(4/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/6/2)-(6/3/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/1/2)-(4/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/2/5)-(6/3/7/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYHEM Jun21 May28 May03 Sep26 Aug30 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  ORVILLE B Jun26 Nov21 Oct29 Oct03 Sep12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
3  AINT NO BANDLEADER Jun12 May29 May21 Oct02 Sep21 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHECK THE FACTS Jul05 Jun20 Jun07 Sep21 Aug30 (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 119 10.00    
5  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Jan29 Dec30 Dec19 Dec04 Oct29 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7% 14.20    
6  COLOR BEARER Jun26 Jun17 May28 May06 Apr23 (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
7  ZAKARIA Jun26 Jun07 May07 Mar31 Mar03 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 5.00    
8  RED CHILI PEPPER Jun10 Jan16 Dec02 Nov14 Oct01 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
TDN-2   07/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTACK ANGLE Jul01 Jun11 Jun04 Oct11 Oct02 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00    
2  SHOW SLIDING HOME Apr21 Mar22 Mar10 Feb11 Jan25 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 10.00 7% 13.80    
3  SPIN DOCTOR Jun25 Jun04 May21 May13 Apr22 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 10% 9.20    
4  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jun17 Apr22 Mar12 Feb10 Jan23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
5  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr21 Mar22 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 ★    
6  RUN ROCKY Jun25 Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 Jun17 (brown t)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
7  OVERLOAD Jun26 Jun04 Oct03 Jul10 May15 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
TDN-3   07/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT ANGEL Jul03         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by CISCO ROAD out of ABSOLUTE DELIGHT by BABY SLEWY)
2  DUNN'S RIVER Jun17         (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
3  SEEKING THE BANK         (faulkner c)PEREZ A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
4  STRIKING LADY Jun17         (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 118 5.00    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  FOREVER FLOWING         (bourke john)GARCIA F 118 8.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERPETUITY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  RIVERS ANGEL         (corriveau j)NUNEZ Y 118 4.50    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGELSMADISONGRACE by GRAEME HALL)
7  BOBBER'S ROCKET         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
 
TDN-4   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PALACE Jul02 Jun16 May22 May03 Apr01 (castro a)ROSENDO J 123 8.00    
2  ELODINE Jun12 May08 Apr17 Mar27 Feb14 (lo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 ★    
3  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Jun24 May22 May03 Apr05 Mar19 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
4  GRAY ROYALITY Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 Dec03 Nov05 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 8% 11.50    
5  SADIE THE GOAT Jun24 May22 May07 Apr22 Apr05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.80 54% 0.80    
SCR  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 Apr11 Apr03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK COVE Jun30 Jun12 May26 Apr24 Apr12 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 8.00 6% 16.60    
2  MARKHAMIAN Jun30 Jun12 May26 Apr24 Apr12 (castillo j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
3  MONTEREY PENINSULA Jun12 May13 Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
4  MAJESTIC FLAG Jun26 Jun04 May08 Oct22 Oct11 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 5.00    
5  MSHINDI Jun26 Jun12 May26 May03 Apr10 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOGICO Jul02 May08 Apr22 Apr01 Mar13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 65% 0.50    
SCR  THANKS FRANK Jun24 Jun04 May17 Apr18 Jan24 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.00    
 
TDN-6   07/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART OF AN ANGEL Jul02 Jun12 May17 Nov14 Oct21 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
2  GUNNER'S GOLD Jun25 Jun11 May22 Nov25 Oct19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  QUARANTINO Nov30 Nov09 Oct06 Sep25 Sep06 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 72% 0.40    
4  GOLDEN AL Jul02 May13 Jan02 Dec20 Dec07 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 3.50    
5  LIBERTANGO May17 Mar05 Dec28 Nov21 Oct22 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
6  VIVA VICTORY Jul02 Jun07 Jan11 Dec28 Aug23 (reust megan)JIMENEZ S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUAVIT Jul01 Jun03 May14 Apr29 Jul22 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 ★    
2  SEEKING FREEDOM May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIDDEN HEART Jul07 Jun12 May26 Apr29 Apr10 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 3.50    
4  GUESS AGAIN Jul01 May28 May16 Mar13 Feb26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50 69% 0.50    
5  SOL OF VAQUERO Jun16 May19 Apr30 Apr10 Mar13 (campbell anthony )JIMENEZ S 119 8.00    
6  WEEKEND RETREAT Jun17 May29 May19 Apr10 Feb26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 10% 9.00    
7  WHO CAN'T WAIT Jul07 May19 Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
TDN-8   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARLINTHEROUGH Jun30 May29 May19 Apr29 Apr07 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 123 15.00    
2  TIZZY JOJO Jun03 May05 Apr22 Mar27 Mar08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 ★    
3  MAGICGIRL Jun30 Jun09 May20 Aug14 Jul29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.00 19% 4.40    
4  JEN'S BATTLE Jun30 Jun09 May21 May03 Mar12 (casalinova t)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 6.00    
5  BLAZING ZENNA May03 Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 Feb03 (mahan p)AVILES YAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SASSY CHARLEE Jun03 May05 Apr02 Mar19 Feb28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 4.50 33% 2.00    
7  TRITONE GAL Jun09 May21 Jun03 May09 Apr10 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 9% 9.60    
8  OPULENT WAYS Jun30 Jun17 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00    
9  THEODOROPOULOS Jun30 May28 May13 May05 Apr23 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.