Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(1/5/2)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/4)-(6/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(6/7)-(2/3/6/8) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/7)-(2/3/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(2/3/6/8)-(7/8/1/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/8)-(7/8/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/8)-(7/8/1/5)-(5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/5)-(5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY SKY Jun17 May27 Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
2  SMASH Jun17 May27 Apr11 Mar26 Mar12 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 4.50 34% 1.90    
3  EL BAMBINO Jun18 Jun02 Sep05 Aug19 Jul29 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
4  BIG POPPER Jun21 Jun02 May17 May03 Apr11 (romero jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.50    
5  FOOD FOODIE Jun12 May29 May17 Apr24 Apr07 (sondej amy)VIGIL NOEL 121 3.00    
6  HURRY ON OUT Jun12 May27 May06 Mar29 Feb13 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  DARK BARON May22 May05 Mar01 Jan23 Jan06 (tumblin and)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPING GIANT Jun21 Jun02 May08 Apr21 Mar09 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 1.80 62% 0.60    
2  WE NEED A FAVOR Jun09 May08 Apr19 Apr06 Feb16 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  WETZEL Jun25 Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 Sep17 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
4  THUNDERIAN Jun09 May17 Apr07 Mar05 Feb15 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00    
5  PANTHERA'S FATE Jun21 Jun02 May20 Apr21 Mar18 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
6  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jun24 Jun02 May17 May03 Mar19 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG FACTS May27 Apr03 Mar10 Feb27 Jan29 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
2  BOOGIE BOOGEE Jun16 May19 Apr23 Mar30 Mar17 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIZZEN THE POINT May27 Apr29 Mar18 Feb27 Jan28 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
4  SHEZ SHACKED UP Mar18 Mar05 Feb08 Dec03 Nov04 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  PRETTY PATTY Jun16 May27 Apr21 Mar18 Mar05 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  SUSHI Q Jun16 May27 May13 Apr21 Apr05 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
 
TDN-4   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jun10 May28 May07 Apr23 Apr07 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
SCR  WILD MARIAH Jun30 Jun09 Jan23 Jan06 Dec09 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 12.00    
3  TALE OF THE LYON Jun16 May19 May03 Mar24 Mar10 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
4  GATHA'S SONG May19 Nov25 Oct29 Oct07   (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADY FORTUNE Jun02 May03 Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF WAR Mar20 Feb26 Jan24 Oct09 Sep09 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 115 3.50    
 
TDN-5   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY'S TREASURE Jun18 May28 Apr07 Mar20 Mar03 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00    
SCR  MARGARITA CINCO Jun18 May28 May07 Apr23 Jan28 (castro raque)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00    
SCR  WINDY VALLEY Jun18 May19 May06 Apr12 Apr03 (winters miche)CEDILLO MAURO 119 12.00    
4  THELMA LUCILLE Jul01 Jun10 May26 May07 Apr07 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
SCR  WINGS OF HEAVEN Jun16 May06 Sep05 Aug26 Jul01 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 6.00    
6  DANCE DRAMA Jun18 May28 Apr23 Mar03 Jan28 (flores ch)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
7  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE May28 May08 Apr10 Mar27 Feb26 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
TDN-6   07/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIER ONE Jun06 May17 Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
2  WHO DA BOSS May26 Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 Sep03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  BRICK AMBUSH Jun09 May03 Apr05 Jan17 Dec01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  ICE BLAST Jun21 Jun04 Mar12 Mar01 Feb06 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
5  MY BROTHER CAM Jun16 Oct03 Sep11 Jun03 May09 (ra)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
6  ONLY GET'N BETTER Jun16 Jun02 Apr28 Apr10 Mar18 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 6% 16.50    
7  MISSION CONTROL Jun16 May16 Oct08 Sep21 Aug30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
8  CASUAL ATTIRE Jun16 Feb27 Feb04 Jan09 Nov25 (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   07/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELINGNDEALING Jun15 May22 Apr30 Apr05 Mar15 (mendieta aleja)DIAZ I 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  KEY TO SUCCESS Apr06 Mar14 Jan31 Dec27 Dec07 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
3  SHARP HERO May18 Apr22 Nov13 Oct19 Sep12 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 119 2.50    
4  LUCKY COUGAR Jun21 Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr08 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
5  LADY WELLINGTON Jun18 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan25 (madrigal rodrigo)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RED HOT LASS Jun21 May22 Apr30 Apr08 Mar27 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
7  CITY SCENE Jun09 May22 Apr30 Nov25 Oct26 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
8  MISS BETTY Jun18 Nov23 Nov05 Oct01 Sep09 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 6.00 33% 2.00    
 
TDN-8   07/08/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL BLITZ Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  ROSETTA Jun16 May14 Apr28 Apr09 Mar20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
SCR  BOLD RUBY Jun24 May29 May12 Dec05 Nov06 (tumblin andr)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
4  LOTS OF SASS Jun16 May19 May07 Oct19 Oct02 (juarez-mendoz)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.50    
5  COMMISSIONER D Jun16 May26 Apr28 Sep18 Sep02 (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
6  C MORE PRIDE May26 May07 Apr23 Apr07 Mar20 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
7  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jun16 May26 Dec18 Dec02 Nov06 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRIEF ENCOUNTER May27 May06 Sep20 Aug15 Jul27 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.