Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6)-(5/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/6)-(7/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/6)-(7/2/6/1)-(8/7/6/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1)-(8/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/1)-(8/7/6/3)-(5/1/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/3)-(5/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/3)-(5/1/6/4)-(2/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/4)-(2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/4)-(2/8/6)-(8/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(8/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6)-(8/7/4/2)-(1/9/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/2)-(1/9/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/2)-(1/9/7/2/8)-(2/8/7/5/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/9/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/2/8)-(1/9/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/2/8)-(1/9/7/2/8)-(1/9/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/7/2/8)-(2/8/7/5/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-10   WIN (2/8/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/5/6)-(2/8/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/5/6)-(2/8/7/5/6)-(2/8/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GO SADIE Mar22 Feb22 Jan29 Jan16 Jan01 (guerra jacq)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
2  ASENA Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50    
3  GREASE MISSLE Feb22 Jan22 Aug04 Jun23 Apr27 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
4  BLUE SPIRIT Mar24 Feb24 Jan19 Dec01 Nov09 (gibson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
5  BLESSED ANGEL Mar22 Feb20 Jan29 Nov30 Mar20 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
6  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Feb20 Jan22 Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LETS DECLARE PEACE Mar22 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Oct25 (gibson f)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
 
TUP-4   04/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIGHT GREY Mar25 Mar04 Sep06 Aug18 Aug09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  KAZAMATAZ Apr01 Mar03       (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 1.60 21% 3.90    
SCR  Z'S WARDROBE Feb22 Jan23 Dec08 Nov22   (freeman edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
4  CASHOUT CAROL Apr01 Mar19 Feb24     (stevens sat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00    
SCR  TAKE THE HEAT Apr02 Nov13 Sep02     (gray christopher )KRIGGER K 121 15.00    
6  C'S LILLY DANCER Apr01 Mar04       (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLATTERMEINCOURT Apr01 Jan28 Jan06 Nov13   (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
TUP-5   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Jan23 Jan01 Dec10 Nov23 Nov06 (valerio g)GARCIA F 122 20.00    
2  HIDDEN PROFIT Sep25 Sep05 Aug25 Jul28 Jul07 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
3  MACCHIATO D'ORO Mar31 Apr11 Apr04 Mar14 Feb08 (mendoza eloy)VERGARA P 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
4  PICKING IT UP Apr02 Jan27 Jan05 Nov16 Oct05 (gleason tim)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
5  PASSION OF JOE'S Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
6  BRAVO KOLT Apr29 Apr03 Oct28 Oct22 Oct07 (johnson duane)BARNES JOSE 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
7  PEDAL TO THE METAL Mar18 Feb27 Feb10 Jan21 Nov26 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  DON'T HIT ME BASH Dec15 Dec08 Nov09 Oct04 Sep22 (freeman edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
TUP-6   04/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE DON LOONEY Mar31 Feb04 Jan23 Jan01 Dec08 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 3.50 7% 12.90    
2  GOLDEN ALE Mar12 Feb06 Jan16 Dec16 Nov19 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
3  JIN TONG Mar22 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 4.50    
4  JAIME'S COMMITMENT Mar22 Feb27 Apr10 Feb29 Feb20 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  PLANE TALK Mar22 Feb11 Jan23 Dec16 Nov19 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  POVERTY BAY Feb11 Jan13 Dec23 Sep07 Aug17 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00 7% 14.10    
7  SAWASDEE Mar27 May25 May05 Apr21 Mar22 (ortiz isaia)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   04/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARNEY LANE Mar08 Feb08 Jan20 Dec18 Dec01 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50    
2  MOVINGLIKEAWINNER Mar26 Mar17 Feb20 Feb12 Jan24 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 3.50 68% 0.50    
3  HOODWINKED KATE Jan16 Dec17 Dec04 Nov11 Sep07 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 10.00    
4  PINK ACE Mar05 Feb12 Jun13 May10 Sep02 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 ★    
SCR  BROOKYS GAL Apr10 Mar08 Feb12 Jan24 Dec30 (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
6  FOREST ACCLAMATION Apr09 Mar25 Feb24 Feb10 Jan24 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SMOOCHING Mar19 Mar06 Feb06 Jan16 Nov14 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00    
8  TEXAS WENDY Mar24 Feb17 Dec26 Sep10 Aug20 (denny tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINSITWELL Mar24 Mar10 Feb24 Jan23 Jan01 (kereluk edward)GARCIA F 122 10.00    
2  SUNNY SPOT Mar27 Mar18 Mar06 Feb25 Nov29 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  EARTHLY TIGER Mar25 Mar12 Feb05 Jan16 Dec19 (gibson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00    
4  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Mar03 Feb11 Sep05 Aug11 Aug04 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  WESTPHAL Mar17 Mar04 Feb10 Jan13 Dec27 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 122 12.00    
SCR  STORMIN GALILEO Apr08 Mar10 Feb18 Dec07 Dec01 (villamar)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 20.00    
7  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Mar17 Jan22 Jan06 Dec05 Nov26 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
8  GOLD MAGIC Feb27 Jan08 Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.00 35% 1.80    
9  OUTOFQUEMADO Mar26 Mar10 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 (rollins michael)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
10  THE GOLDEN EGG Mar06 Feb10 Jan15 Dec19 Nov27 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 122 6.00    
 
TUP-9   04/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY'S WILD BOY Mar19 Mar04 Aug22 Apr17 Feb07 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
2  BIG SWAG Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 Feb03 Aug17 (schnell do)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DINERO DE LA CASA Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 Jan29 Jan14 (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 8.00    
4  LUKA GRAZIE Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan22 Jan02 (homer j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
5  CAPIAT Apr03 Mar11 Feb06 Jan22 Feb15 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
6  RAIL TOWN Apr03 Feb28 Jan04 Jan19 Oct21 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 6.00    
7  MONGOLIAN FROST Apr03 Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
8  THOMPSON Mar11 Feb24 Feb06 Jan22 Dec23 (betts nancy)KRIGGER K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  VINNIEBOB Mar19 Mar03 Jan23 Dec31 Dec12 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
10  WELL IMAGINE THAT Feb26 Feb06 Jan07 Aug11 Jul28 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
SCR  RUN BRYCE RUN Apr03 Mar11 Feb10 Jan07 Dec26 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-10   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO STORM Mar20 Feb24 Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
2  LOVE MY JIMMY Jan30 Dec23 Nov19 Jun21 May27 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  GROOVY HUEY Mar20 Feb24 Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 (kemper kasey)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
4  HEY BATMAN Mar11 Feb12 Dec13 Nov24 Nov16 (perez s)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
5  BEDROCK (GB) Feb20 Feb04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec09 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00 6% 15.90    
6  KANDEREL Mar03 Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 Nov25 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  STAR ENTRY Feb24 Feb04 Jan25 Jan13 Dec18 (crotts jame)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
8  DEFENSE WINS Mar20 Feb19 Jan13 Dec18 Nov16 (mckinney d)KRIGGER K 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
9  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Dec23 (christian)JENSEN P 124 12.00    
10  SMILING GOODBYE Mar20 Mar06 Feb05 Sep08 Jul28 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.