Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/5)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/1/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/1/5/4)-(6/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(6/4)-(2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/7/5)-(4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(4/5)-(2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/4/3)-(2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIONAL STORY Dec12 Nov26 Nov11 Oct09 Aug31 (jensen p)STOKES J 124 1.60    
2  MY HOMBRE Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 Jan07 Aug19 (juarez-mendoza re)PEREZ A 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  GLOBAL HYSTERIA Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 Jan07 Nov26 (miller arizon)SIMPSON JASON 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
4  PLAYFULASITGETS Mar19 Jan07 Dec10 Nov11 Oct04 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
5  MOR CRAFTY Mar19 Feb08 Jan09 Oct23 Jul03 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-2   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIP HIP HOORAY Oct26 Oct08 Aug10 Jul16 Jun07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
SCR  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Mar10 Feb12 Jan04 Dec14 Oct30 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 2.50    
3  EDDIE M Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan16 Dec28 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  P H FACTOR Mar29 Mar13 Feb28 Feb15 Jan04 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS Mar19 Mar04 Dec18 Nov26 Oct30 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 3.00 21% 3.90    
 
MVR-3   04/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DEVIL'S DREAM Mar18 Mar05 Dec03 Oct26 Aug01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00 22% 3.60    
2  LADY JASPER Mar10 Jan23 Jan07 Dec04 Oct26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00    
3  MOBIL LADY Mar17 Jan07 Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  HIGH FIRE Mar10 Jan23 Jan13 Nov04 Sep09 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUSHI Q Mar18 Mar05 Jan29 Jan13 Nov18 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CROSSED UP Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan23 Jan13 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
7  THE MIRACLE KIUT Mar27 Mar10 Feb08 Jan07 Dec11 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00    
 
MVR-4   04/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORTLY Mar05 Feb08 Jun08 May06 Mar07 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.00    
2  MINDSHIP Q Apr24 Apr08 Feb22 Jan11 Dec19 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
3  BANG A RANG Mar20 Feb23 Jan25 Jan11 Sep23 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 2.50 ★    
4  GRAND BEY Mar10 Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 Oct09 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUCKEYE MIKE Mar19 Nov26 Oct21 Oct11 Jul01 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
6  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Mar05 Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 124 1.20 75% 0.30    
 
MVR-5   04/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAMBY BOOM Mar22 Feb06 Jan23 Nov06 Oct02 (short travis )CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00    
2  JEDI'S WAY Mar27 Mar04 Feb04 Jan16 Dec23 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  PHOTO HOP Mar27 Feb28 Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 (farrio)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
4  THIRD DEGREE Mar20 Jan25 Jan01 Dec11 Sep06 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50    
5  CONVERT Mar11 Feb04 Jan06 Nov18 Oct28 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG ELM Mar20 Mar01 Feb03 Jan07 Dec06 (donjuan serg)HALDAR J 124 4.00    
7  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Mar27 Mar20 Mar11 Feb03 Jan25 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-6   04/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE THE GOAT Mar23 Mar08 Dec29 Dec14 Dec07 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.80    
SCR  NO BODY LIKES ME Mar10 Feb13 Jan29 Jan18 Dec14 (haynes ernest )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
3  MOBIL CHIC Mar10 Jan29 Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 10.00    
4  MISS FUSSY PANTS Mar27 Mar13 Jan24 Jan03 Dec27 (rivera r)RIVERA R 126 2.00 67% 0.50    
5  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Mar19 Feb05 Nov08 Oct07 Sep09 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 6% 15.60    
 
MVR-7   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKEMEISTER Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 Nov05 Oct22 (sondej amy)STOKES J 124 3.50    
2  INSIDE STUNT Mar20 Mar10 Feb28 Feb11 Jan16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM Feb11 Jan16 Dec28 Mar29 Mar08 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LORD OF MISCHIEF Mar10 Feb11 Dec12 Nov27 Nov04 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  SAINT GOAR Mar10 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 Oct10 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 126 2.00    
6  TIMESATAPPIN Mar05 Feb08 Dec09 Nov04 Oct22 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY MO Mar15 Feb06 Jan25 Oct22 Sep11 (evans michael)CEDILLO MAURO 120 4.00    
2  COOL COUPLE Mar19         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 3.50 41% 1.40    
3  BRIGHT CHARGER Feb27 Jan13 Dec20 Dec01 Nov15 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BIGTONTEN Mar20 Mar05 Nov27 Nov11   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
5  ACTION MAN Mar22 Feb28 Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 120 10.00    
6  MISTER ROSSO Mar22 Mar01 Feb12 Jan25 Dec12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 2.50    
7  STREETS OF WAR Mar22 Mar14 Feb28 Feb08 Dec11 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 120 12.00 7% 12.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.