Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/5)-(6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(6/3/2)-(3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(3/2/6)-(8/1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(8/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(8/1/2/5)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/5)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/5)-(4/6/3)-(4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(4/3)-(6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL ON BIG O Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 Dec17 Nov21 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAVALETTO Mar11 Feb08 Jan13 Dec03 Jul04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  SOCIAL HISTORY Mar25 Mar04 Feb08 Dec10 Nov11 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  GIFT OF OAK Mar19 Mar11 Feb27 Jan27 Dec17 (haehn r)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00    
5  RADIO SILENT Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Dec03 Nov07 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 126 4.00    
 
MVR-2   04/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIZZEN THE POINT Mar18 Feb27 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 (overholt)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00    
2  BIG FACTS Mar10 Feb27 Jan29 Dec04 Nov04 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  NATIONAL DIAMOND Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 Jan29 Dec16 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 1.60    
4  BOSSY LADY Mar10 Jan29 Jan07 Dec19 Jul03 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 3.00    
5  ROCKY CHANNEL Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Aug08 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-3   04/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUP EIGHTEEN Mar22 Mar13 Mar01 Feb01 Jan08 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80    
2  OILER Mar18 Feb27 Feb11 Jan13 Dec09 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00 10% 8.90    
3  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Mar27 Feb27 Feb04 Jan27 Dec16 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  T MONEY Mar10 Feb06 Jan24 Dec05 Nov11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 12.00    
5  SEE SPOT RUN Mar22 Mar01 Feb06 Jan27 Dec12 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00    
6  STAR SHOPPING Mar27 Feb28 Jan30 Jan01 Nov10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
MVR-4   04/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Mar22 Mar13 Mar04 Feb08 Jan08 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 5.00    
2  SPECIAL BEACH Mar04 Jan27 Jan08 Dec27 Sep30 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
3  REMEMBER ME Mar22 Mar06 Feb04 Jan09 Dec18 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 4.00 45% 1.20    
4  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Mar19 Feb06 Dec27 Nov21 Nov04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 3.50    
5  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Mar19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec19 Dec05 (rodriquez re)TAVARES JAVIER 124 2.00    
6  TAMBARELLA Mar24 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 (norris st)HERNANDEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   04/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDEMNATION Feb04 Jan23 Jan13 Dec17 Nov14 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  HOTROD BOBBY Mar22 Mar12 Jan23 Jan08 Dec18 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLAG RAISER Mar22 Mar12 Jan27 Dec17 Dec03 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 5.00    
4  THE PINK Z Mar25 Feb10 Jan25 Jan08 Dec18 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 4.00    
5  SPIRIT OF AKRON Mar19 Mar06 Feb12 Feb04 Jan16 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  GOLDEN MONEY Mar19 Mar06 Feb26 Feb12 Feb04 (higham nicole)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
7  HARTSTEIN Mar19 Mar03 Feb10 Jan27 Jan13 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
8  WILDCAT BILL Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 Nov18 Oct29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
MVR-6   04/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENVELOPE PLEASE Mar03 Feb13 Nov13 Oct05 Sep07 (maker mich)WELLINGTON KYLIE 124 3.50    
2  OBI KENOBI Mar03 Feb13 Nov13 Oct23 Oct05 (barker w)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
3  GRAY TORMENTOR Mar03 Feb08 Nov13 Oct29 Sep23 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Mar03 Jan15 Dec02 Nov14 Oct29 (poole m)BRACHO A 116 2.00 72% 0.40    
5  JUDY'S COMET Mar13 Feb27 Jan24 Dec16 Dec02 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.50    
6  WINDY VALLEY Mar18 Feb06 Jan23 Jan08 Dec27 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   04/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Howard Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTS MALONE Mar18 Nov27 Oct26 Oct10 Aug10 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 1.20    
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  RIGHT ON THE MUNNY Mar18 Mar03 Nov27 Oct10 Sep16 (gorham m)RIVERA R 122 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of THELOVEOFMUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
3  FOURDATESFORHOCO Mar18 Mar03 Jan15 Dec16 Dec02 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00 14% 6.20    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  SUPERWOLF Mar18 Oct26 Oct03 Aug28 Aug10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of SUNSHINEANDSILENCE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LO BUG Mar20 Mar05 Feb06 Dec26 Dec11 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 117 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TURDUCKEN by MARIA'S MON)
 
MVR-8   04/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD ZEE Mar06 Feb06 Jan08 Dec18 Nov20 (szczepan)MARTINEZ A 126 15.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
2  DAH FUH Mar20 Sep12 Aug22     (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of HOLY HAREM by HOLY BULL)
SCR  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Mar20 Mar06 Feb05 Jan24 Dec18 (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 5.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
4  COUNT ON ME Mar20 Feb26 Feb10 Oct23 Oct08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  PIRINOLA Mar20 Feb26       (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
6  BIONIC SAINT Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 Feb05 Dec26 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 1.20 46% 1.20    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.