Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/5/2/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/6/1)-(4/5/2/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/6/1)-(4/5/2/6/1)-(4/5/2/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/2/6/1)-(7/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/6/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(10/7/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/1)-(10/7/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/1)-(10/7/6/3)-(8/3/4/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (10/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/3)-(10/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/3)-(10/7/6/3)-(10/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/7/6/3)-(8/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6/3)-(8/3/4/1)-(9/2/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1)-(8/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/1)-(9/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/4/1)-(9/2/3/5)-(3/6/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/5)-(9/2/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/5)-(9/2/3/6/5)-(9/2/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/3/5)-(3/6/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3/5)-(3/6/1/8)-(2/4/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/8)-(2/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/8)-(2/4/1/3)-(6/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3/9)-(2/4/1/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/3)-(6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/3)-(6/1/8)-(8/11/2/10/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/1/8)-(6/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(8/11/2/10/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/11/2/10/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/2/10/12)-(8/11/2/10/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/2/10/12)-(8/11/2/10/12)-(8/11/2/10/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/29/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TOBY Feb23 Feb09 Jan17 Dec20 Nov30 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PICCATA PRINCE Mar14 Feb26 Feb05 Jan12 Dec29 (spanab)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 10.00 9% 10.30    
3  SHIPWRECK Jan01 Oct25 Sep15 Jun30 May26 (knoll pet)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
4  MIDNIGHT ONYX Mar19 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 Jan08 (moysey chelsey)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  STARSHIP TANGO Mar16 Feb09 Jan17 Dec20 Nov12 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  COLORS Mar14 Aug25 Apr30 Apr16 Apr01 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ETERNAL GLORY Mar16 Mar09 Feb23 Feb14 Feb07 (contessa c)HESS SARA 115 3.50    
8  KOHAKU Mar15 Feb23 Jan25 Jan08 Oct28 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 118 30.00    
9  MAMA BANNED ME Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Feb09 Dec14 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 118 2.50    
 
TAM-2   03/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEST PILOT Feb14 Apr05 Mar08 Jan24 May25 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIEUTENANT STAN Mar01 Jan22 Dec28 Dec11 Nov29 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 6.00 10% 9.30    
3  KING MIANO Mar08 Jan29 Dec20 Aug09 Jul05 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 4.00    
4  CALL ME ICE MAN Mar19 Feb22 Jan22 Dec24 Nov20 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
5  PAYNTED WARRIOR Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 Dec24 Oct14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALL THE RAGE Mar21 Feb02 Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 12.00    
7  BALTASAR Mar14 Feb22 Jan05 Dec28 Oct12 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 57% 0.70    
SCR  ARAK Dec06 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 4.00    
 
TAM-3   03/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BINGO BABY Feb16 Dec28 Nov15     (baxter georg)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
SCR  WHIRLWIND Mar16 Dec26 Nov30 Oct20 Sep08 (hendriks richar)CENTENO E 122 4.00    
3  CLASSICALS FINALE Mar09 Feb28 Jan31 Jan24 Dec28 (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  KANJENG Mar09 Dec13 Sep28 Sep07 Jul27 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 12.00    
5  O K TO DANCE Mar09 Jan12 Dec22 Nov09 Oct10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 30.00    
6  ALIEN PRINCESS Mar09 Feb19 Jan15     (rodriguez dari)CASTANON L 120 15.00 15% 5.60    
7  SPARKLING RUBY Mar09 Feb28 Dec07 Oct03 Sep14 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT Mar12 Feb26 Jan22 Nov28 Oct18 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 122 3.50    
9  STEP LIGHTLY Mar09 Feb05 Jan11     (he)LUNA PAUL 122 30.00    
10  MIA VITA Feb07 Jan09 Dec13 Nov01 Sep15 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  ARANCIATA Mar15 Feb05 Dec28 Nov15 Sep21 (d'angelo jose )GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00    
 
TAM-4   03/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSET EXPRESS Mar13 Feb14 Jan11     (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of JELLY CABLE by SKY MESA)
2  SMOOTHLY Feb14         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of VIA STRATA by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  CUE THE DUCKBOATS         (mott i)CENTENO E 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CONQUEST CITY GIRL by CITY ZIP)
4  PASS FAILED         (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 8% 10.90    
  (by BLAME out of ROMANTIC MOMENT by FLATTER)
5  LA VECCHIA SIGNORA         (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
  (by CARACARO out of I'LL TAKE NOTES by BELGRAVIA (GB))
6  REALITY STAR         (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of DAILY CAST by CURLIN)
7  TAPIT SMILES Mar14         (donaldson debra)BUSH V 120 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of TAP IT OUT by PLEASANT TAP)
8  NAKED EYE Mar08 Feb08       (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROLL YOUR EYES by POPULAR (SAF))
 
TAM-5   03/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUDDING LANE Aug21         (oliver victor)MORALES PABLO 119 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  THE NOMINEES ARE         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FASHION INSIDER by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  RED SKY MORNING Mar09         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 12.00 5% 18.30    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CELTIC SUNRISE by FREUD)
4  TIZ FERVOR Mar02         (mott i)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ SO SWEET by TIZNOW)
5  ZEUS LIGHTNING         (clark a)FERRER C 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FULL OF JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  GRAFFITI WRITER Jan17 Oct26       (brown ch)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAID UP SUBSCRIBER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  MR. FUNTASTICO Mar07 Feb12       (aguayo ramon)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of KALANI by AFLEET ALEX)
8  MADCAP Mar08 Feb19       (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 119 30.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MOVIEMAKER by CURLIN)
9  TWELVE TREASURES Feb21 Jan18       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of VALENCIA by TAPIT)
10  DAVID H Sep04         (rountree cat)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SWEET STORY by MASS MEDIA)
 
TAM-6   03/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSPREY Feb09 Jan19 Dec11 Nov20 Oct12 (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 8% 10.90    
2  CRUISING DEREK Jan29 Jan03 Dec11 Sep01 Aug09 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00    
3  SECRET EMPIRE Mar14 Feb21       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 122 6.00 39% 1.60    
4  KITTY HAWK (GB) Sep10 Aug06 Jul06 May10 Apr10 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
5  DIVINE LEADER Feb09 Jan11 Dec14 Oct13 Sep21 (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 8.00    
6  CONSPIRACY FACT Feb22 Jan31 Jan12 Dec28 Dec04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
7  SAN COSTANTINO Feb22 Feb09 Jan15 Jan03 Dec11 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
8  CANTARO Mar08 Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 Nov28 (rodriguez juan)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   03/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. KATZ Mar05 Feb22 Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CATALYZED (FR) Dec28 Oct17 Aug23 Jun30 Jun01 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 118 1.80 62% 0.60    
3  SINGALONG KAYLA Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 Sep15 (wilson tony)HESS SARA 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MISS MOTTLEY Apr28 Mar15       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
5  VICTORY GIRL Mar05 Feb05 Jan19 Dec22 Sep15 (pimental john )CASTANON L 118 30.00    
6  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Feb28 Feb02 Jan18 Nov03 Sep18 (orantes y)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  MADAME MISCHIEF Feb22 Jan26 Nov30 Sep20 Aug04 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 3.00    
8  HOLDER CLOSE Mar09 Feb15 Jan29 Jan01 Dec15 (cascallare)URDANETA J 118 30.00    
9  VERIFIABLE Jan01 Dec11 Nov03 Mar22 Feb11 (manning j)BRACHO A 118 15.00 ★    
10  CAMILA T (IRE) Feb28 Nov28 Jul07 Feb10 Nov04 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00    
11  COME TO MAMA Mar14 Jan16 Dec13 Nov11 Oct14 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
 
TAM-8   03/29/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATATUMBO Mar14 Mar05 Feb15 Jan31 Jan25 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  LEAD OFF Feb26 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec27 (morales guil)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
SCR  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Mar02 Feb23 Feb07 Dec28 Nov23 (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 118 20.00    
4  THE DOORMAN Mar14 Feb26 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 (barron r)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
SCR  MAKIZAN Mar19 Mar07 Feb02 Jan19 Dec20 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00    
6  GOLDEN JUAN Mar21 Feb01 Jan10 Dec20 Sep14 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 122 0.60 61% 0.60    
SCR  POST FACTO Mar09 Feb01 Jan12 Sep15 Aug25 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 10.00    
8  GHOST STALKER Mar15 Feb26 Feb12 Jan19 Dec20 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAKKIMI (CHI) Mar08 Feb23 Jan16 Dec26 Dec01 (romero raf)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Feb08 Jan19 Dec29 Oct05 Sep14 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00    
 
TAM-9   03/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENYING Mar07 Feb19 Jan22 Jan11 Dec24 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
2  MONGOLIAN APPLE Mar16 Feb26 Feb05 Mar20 Feb23 (richards renaldo)FERRER C 122 4.50 6% 15.90    
3  INDY LYON Feb12 Jan04 Nov30 Oct11 Aug17 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
4  IT'S A FACT Mar16 Feb23 Feb12 Jan01 Oct27 (smith ro)GIL CIPRIANO 122 10.00    
SCR  LOOKIN TO EXCEL Feb01 Dec22 Oct15 Sep30 Sep09 (bowersock ma)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
6  LEO MONTE Nov30 Oct04 Sep21 Aug25 Jun21 (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 20.00    
7  THE BEST DISTANCE Mar16 Feb23 Jul05 May04 Apr27 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 30.00    
8  BURNIN TURF Mar07 Feb14 Dec20 Aug23 Jun23 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
9  SKIPPERINI Jan01 Nov29 Sep21 Aug29 Jul27 (posadas pedro)CENTENO E 118 10.00    
10  DEAR SANTA Feb23 Feb12 Jan01 Nov23 Oct16 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  MORE THAN WORK Feb22 Dec28 Nov30 Oct11 Sep17 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 7% 12.40    
12  EDDIE THE GREAT Mar14 Feb08 Jan18 Jan11 Dec28 (hunt donald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENGLISH PAINTER Aug23 Aug02 Dec28 Nov10 Aug13 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
SCR  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jan11 Nov03 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 (joseph saffie )MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.