Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(8/3/6/4)-(6/8/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-3   WIN (8/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/6/4)-(6/8/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/4)-(6/8/4/2/5)-(1/2/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/8/4/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2/5)-(6/8/4/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2/5)-(6/8/4/2/5)-(6/8/4/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/4/2/5)-(1/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/2/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/5)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/5)-(5/7/4)-(8/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(8/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(8/1/9/5)-(4/6/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/1/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/5)-(8/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/5)-(8/1/9/5)-(8/1/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/9/5)-(4/6/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/5)-(4/6/9/1/3)-(8/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/6/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/1/3)-(4/6/9/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/1/3)-(4/6/9/1/3)-(4/6/9/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/9/1/3)-(8/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/4)-(8/6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/4)-(8/6/5/4)-(8/6/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-2   03/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN AFFAIR Feb10 May04 Apr18 Apr03 Jul22 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 3.00    
COME ON MULITCH Jan28 Dec04 Nov04     (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
CALORESE Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 Dec11 Aug31 (silva-)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 8.00    
GONZAGA Feb25 Feb03 Jan14 Dec16 Dec03 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  CHASIN A DOLLAR Feb18 Feb02 Jan03 Dec07 Aug30 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.00    
PURE CANE SUGAR Feb18 Jan14 Dec26 Jul26 Jul03 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-3   03/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPAGHETTI TREE Feb17 Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 Aug30 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50    
DAME LORRAINE Feb11 Jan21 Dec12 Dec03 Oct27 (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 20.00    
DIVINE GIFT Feb26 Jan29 Jan06 Dec12 Apr30 (christian)JENSEN P 124 4.00 12% 7.20    
DANDY DAY Nov18 Nov10 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL BREEZE Feb17 Jan06 Dec18 Sep12   (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00    
QUEEN POPPY Feb03 Nov29 Nov09     (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 10% 8.80    
NEW WEST Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 Dec12 Oct25 (thompson eliana)GARCIA F 124 12.00    
OOPS (GB) Jan21 Dec28 Dec12 Oct19 Oct12 (o'hagan colleen)MAWING A 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
TUP-4   03/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD STERLING Feb18         (essex charles)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
FREEDOM EMPIRE Jan28 Jan09 Dec04     (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 15.00 5% 18.00    
DARK PASSENGER Feb18 Dec17 Oct27     (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
SAND PAYNTER Jan28         (mcfarlan)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 6.00 17% 4.80    
JUST GOTTA SHINE Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Sep07   (van horne )AMERICANO MANUEL 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOB'S DECISION Jan31 Jan03       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
MIDNIGHT APPROVAL Feb18 Jan02 Dec17 Nov25 Aug11 (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 5.00    
EITHERINORINTHEWAY Feb10 Jan22       (brown )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
HOLLYWOOD IMPACT Feb26 Jan09 Dec18 Apr11   (silva pablo)KRIGGER K 121 15.00    
 
TUP-5   03/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRENGTH OF AUTISM Feb12 Jan30 Jan13 Dec30 Dec04 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
PIRATE RED Jan23 Dec30 Aug09 Jul26 Jun28 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
MEANT FOR ME Jan25 Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Oct04 (barraza ra)VERGARA P 122 2.50    
TOM BOMBADIL Jan30 Jan23 Jan29 Dec31 Dec08 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
MIDNIGHT FURY Jun16 Apr27 Mar17 Feb16 Jan15 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 7% 12.70    
SMILING GOODBYE Feb05 Sep08 Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
LITE RANCHIN KID Feb12 Jan09 Dec26 Nov23 Oct20 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 6.00    
 
TUP-6   03/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Nov20 Sep13 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
WHY BEHAVE Jan19 Nov10 Oct14 Sep29 Aug22 (morfin li)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00    
DRILL BABY DRILL Feb20 Jan24 Dec09 Sep14 Sep06 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
LUVAHAPPYENDING Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec07 Nov17 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ANISETTE (GB) Nov23 Nov02 Oct26 Sep07 Aug10 (jauregui j)CRUZ M 124 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Feb19 Jan13 Jan01 Dec17 Feb05 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 20.00    
BEA MISCHIEF Feb25 Feb06 Jan24 Dec27 Dec19 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Feb13 Jan18 Dec04 Nov16 Oct26 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
MISS ACCELERATE Feb17 Jan24 Jan13 Dec09 Nov21 (betts nancy)KRIGGER K 124 15.00    
 
TUP-7   03/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT LANGLEY Feb18 Jan22 Dec05 Nov26 Oct05 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
HADLEES HONOR Feb27 Feb10 Jan25 Dec19 Dec12 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Feb06 Nov30 Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50    
THE GOLDEN EGG Feb10 Jan15 Dec19 Nov27 Nov11 (essex charles)KRIGGER K 124 8.00    
CAJUN TREASURE Feb18 Jan30 Jan02 Dec12 Nov30 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  CREATIVE BID Feb11 Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 2.50    
REGULATION DAZED Feb18 Jan30 Jan22 Jan13 Dec05 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
POPULIST Jan30 Jan07 Dec16 Dec05 Nov11 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
SUNNY SPOT Feb25 Nov29 Nov10 Oct19 Aug17 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
TUP-8   03/06/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M TELLING MOM Jan22 Dec31 Dec05 Sep15 Sep01 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOOCHING Feb06 Jan16 Nov14 Oct20 Sep29 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
MANHATTAN CHERRY Jan15 Dec28 Nov30 Jul07 Jun16 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Feb13 Jan15 Nov26 Nov08 Oct06 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
SHIN JIDAI (GB) Dec29 Oct26 Sep28 Sep02 Jul20 (powell leo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50    
MAGIC CHROME Jan15 Dec31 Nov09 Oct20 Oct06 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
BANGIE GO Feb19 Jan21 Jan07 Dec16 Nov30 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 10.00    
COASTLINE HOTTIE Feb13 Jan27 Jan16 Apr24 Apr03 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
UNA PALABRA Dec16 Nov26 Sep27 Aug24 Jul05 (silva jr)VERGARA P 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
 
TUP-9   03/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROOVY GRAY GAL Feb13 Jan22 Nov29 Nov12 Oct05 (kemper kasey)BARNES JOSE 124 6.00    
STANFORD HOLIDAY Feb13 Jan23 Dec18 Nov17 Oct13 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 118 6.00    
GRAZED N' CONFUSED Jan30 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun08 (lucarelli )AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00    
CAT ON THE RUN Jan30 Mar28 Mar18 Mar05 Feb15 (ortega je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CALIFORNIA BLING Jun25 May13 Apr21 Mar27 Feb18 (fuente)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.00    
HOT JAMMIES Feb08 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 Aug16 (matt l)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
PRANCING MATILDA Feb22 Feb12 Jan24 Jan02 Dec18 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
LULA BELLA Feb11 Jan23 Dec18 Nov25 May26 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 118 5.00 67% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.