Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8)-(5/9/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8)-(5/9/7/1)-(1/9/2/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/1)-(5/9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/1)-(5/9/7/1)-(5/9/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/7/1)-(1/9/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/1)-(1/9/2/6)-(4/1/9/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6)-(1/9/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/2/6)-(4/1/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2/6)-(4/1/9/2)-(4/6/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/2)-(4/1/10/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/2)-(4/1/10/9/2)-(4/1/10/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/9/2)-(4/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/2)-(4/6/2/1)-(8/3/7/2/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/1)-(8/3/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/1)-(8/3/7/2/1)-(1/11/4/5/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/3/7/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/2/1)-(8/3/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/2/1)-(8/3/7/2/1)-(8/3/7/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/7/2/1)-(1/11/4/5/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/11/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/4/5/8)-(1/11/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/4/5/8)-(1/11/4/5/8)-(1/11/4/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAT AND FURIOUS Feb19 Jan29 Jan07 Nov30 Nov20 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00    
2  FREYAS CATZ Feb19 Jan29 Jan07 Oct05 Aug29 (baze t)MAWING A 124 10.00    
3  TEAM CONCEPT Feb19 Jan29 Jan21 Dec11 Nov30 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 2.50 44% 1.20    
4  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Feb17 Jan29 Dec16 Dec10 Dec02 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
5  MERINO WOOL Feb17 Jan30 Jan08 Dec12 Nov25 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 124 3.50    
6  GOLD COAST GIRL Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 Dec27 Sep08 (gibson f)MOJICA O 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
7  LUCKY STEPPER Jan24 Jan08 Dec18 Sep16 Sep04 (weaver go)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 10% 9.10    
8  ATHENA THE GODDESS Feb20 Feb06 Jan24 Nov20 May02 (soto antonio)GARCIA F 124 15.00 8% 11.40    
 
TUP-4   03/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDIED JOULE Feb10 Jan14 Dec28 Dec10 Aug18 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Feb06 Jan27 Nov29 Nov12 Sep06 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
3  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Jan08 Dec28 Nov24 Nov10 Oct12 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
4  HAUGHTY KITTY Feb13 Jan27 Jan09 Dec05 Nov15 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 5.00    
5  DADDY'S GIRL Apr02 Mar11 Apr10 Mar26 Mar11 (grissom roberta )MAWING A 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Feb06 Jan14 Sep15 Sep08 Aug16 (lucarelli f)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
7  LUNAR UNIT Feb10 Dec23 Dec05 Nov14 Aug22 (vitali marc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  ONELLA Feb22 Jan30 Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
9  DREWY Feb13 Jan27 Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 (koler steve)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
 
TUP-5   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANDEREL Mar09 Feb10 Jan15 Nov25 Mar31 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00 32% 2.10    
2  TOOL TIME Feb10 Oct19 Sep21 Sep06 Aug27 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 10.00 9% 10.00    
3  HOWBEIT Jan23 Dec26 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
4  MISTER BEAMS Feb13 Jan28 Dec31 Oct11 Sep18 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
5  XTREME MAYHEM Jan23 Jan01 Dec04 Apr30 Apr17 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
6  COWBOY KISSES Feb10 Jan24 Dec08 Nov24 Nov01 (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORT NECESSITY Jan28 Jan13 Dec26 Dec09 Oct24 (thomps)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00    
8  PEPPER JACK Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Dec05 Oct30 (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
9  PACO'S PICO Feb18 Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 Dec17 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-6   03/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORADUS Feb20 Feb12 Dec28 Nov30 Nov16 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 9% 10.00    
2  TOO WILD TO TAME Feb03 Jan24 Dec23 Nov18 Oct16 (dennis cl)JENSEN P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIBERIAN SLEW Nov23 Nov03 Oct05     (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00    
4  VINNIEBOB Jan23 Dec31 Dec12 May04 Apr18 (story cha)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
5  GRAZED BY LOVE Feb12 Jan29 Jan14 Dec12 Aug31 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
6  RALLIFIED Feb03 Jan15 Dec03 Sep08 Aug31 (van debbi)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
7  CRAZY STORM Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Nov30 Nov02 (van debbie)KRIGGER K 124 20.00    
8  PAISLEES PROMISE Feb20 Feb03 Jan15 Dec28 Nov14 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
9  FONTES Feb03 Jan14 Dec23 Nov15 Oct24 (baze t)MAWING A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LETSGOTOTHEBAR Feb03 Jan15 Dec23 May31 Apr12 (nunnally je)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   03/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL WATERS Feb19 Jan30 Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00 9% 9.70    
2  MR NAVIGATOR Jan25 Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 Oct27 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
3  MT. ZEROR Feb13 Feb05 Jan22 Jan09 Dec27 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 8.00    
4  PICAHOUSE Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 Jan07 Dec28 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
5  ROBO Jan24 Jan11 Oct19 Oct04 Sep09 (hodgson bar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
6  WELLSWORT (IRE) Feb11 Dec28 Dec09 Nov19 Nov01 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
7  THREEBROTHERS Feb06 Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Oct06 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
SCR  HEAT N REHEAT Feb18 Jan29 Dec18 Nov10 Oct04 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 124 4.50    
9  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Feb11 Sep05 Aug11 Aug04 Jul03 (silva jr)RAMEY CASH 119 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOBDELL LAKE Feb06 Jan23 Dec30 May02 Apr02 (grissom r)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  IN VRONSKY STYLE Feb10 Dec15 Sep01 Jul07 Aug13 (peery debbie)MONTALVO C 122 12.00 6% 15.70    
3  WEST OF ME Oct12 Sep14       (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 116 6.00 17% 4.70    
4  TRIPLE PASS Feb17 Feb05 Jan27 Dec06 Nov03 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
5  FAST CHAZ Feb06 Jan15 Dec31 Dec11 Nov29 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
6  TENFORTHEBIGGUY Feb10 Dec31 Dec12 Oct06   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 10.00    
7  IT'S TURBO Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Dec05 Sep07 (lucarelli frank)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
8  BEAU'S CHARM Feb03         (owens kory)CORBETT W 122 4.00 41% 1.50    
9  FORTY NINER GOLD Jan25 Dec29 Oct20 Sep29 Sep01 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
 
TUP-9   03/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORMLEY'S KITTEN Jan23         (freeman scott )REYES R 121 6.00 43% 1.30    
2  KAZAMATAZ         (schnell don)MAWING A 121 12.00    
3  REVOCATA Jan27 Nov18 Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 (silva pablo)MOJICA O 121 10.00    
4  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM Jan23 Jan06 Dec18 Oct19   (bratcher ry)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
5  OM SASSY         (brinson clay)MUIR SHAMAREE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ON TIME TAM Feb03 Jan23 Jan06 Dec15 Oct13 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
7  PEPPER N MINT Feb03 Nov13 Sep12 Aug18 Aug03 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00    
8  LOTSA SALITA Feb03         (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  HEARTS FANTASY Jan23 Dec06 Nov15 Oct19 Sep21 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00    
10  FARMERS DAUGHTER Dec07         (alvarez sergio)GARCIA F 121 12.00    
11  GARAVANI         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.