Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 25, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(7/4/5/6)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(4/6/3)-(7/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(7/4/3/1)-(3/7/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/1)-(3/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/1)-(3/7/2/6)-(11/6/2/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(11/6/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(11/6/2/1/9)-(10/4/3/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (11/6/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/2/1/9)-(11/6/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/2/1/9)-(11/6/2/1/9)-(11/6/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/2/1/9)-(10/4/3/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/6/2/1/9)-(10/4/3/8/7)-(8/3/2/9/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-7   WIN (10/4/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/3/8/7)-(10/4/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/3/8/7)-(10/4/3/8/7)-(10/4/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/3/8/7)-(8/3/2/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/3/8/7)-(8/3/2/9/5)-(8/1/14/7/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
TAM-8   WIN (8/3/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/9/5)-(8/3/2/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/9/5)-(8/3/2/9/5)-(8/3/2/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/2/9/5)-(8/1/14/7/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/1/14/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/14/7/5)-(8/1/14/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/14/7/5)-(8/1/14/7/5)-(8/1/14/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-12:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTURED DARLING Dec24 Dec04 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 (mcburney p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 8.00    
2  BROOKMESA Dec24 Dec04 Sep22 Sep08 Aug28 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  GO GO STAR Jan01 Dec13 Oct05 Sep07 Aug07 (ashmore co)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Dec19 Sep13 Aug23 Jul28 Jul07 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 3.00    
5  MO'S VINO MESA Dec28 Dec04 Nov20 Oct22 Sep14 (wilson tony)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50    
6  THREE TIMES Nov27 Oct20 Sep27 Aug24 Aug10 (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
TAM-2   01/25/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT-12:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRYTHETHIRD Dec18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep30 Sep17 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 20.00    
2  FALCONS FURY Jan12 Dec21 Nov27 Oct21 Oct02 (ocasio osva)CLEMENTE ALFRED 118 30.00    
3  FUNKENSTEIN Jan12 Dec21 Nov23 Sep08 Aug17 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
4  NAMESAKE Jan03 Jun28 Jun08 May04 Apr06 (smith crai)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 1.60 13% 6.60    
5  CATATUMBO Jan03 Dec24 Nov23 Oct21 Oct08 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  SCENIC JUSTICE Jan01 Oct22 Sep16 Sep05 Aug15 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  KARTANO Jan03 Aug10 Jun29 Apr20 Feb28 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
 
TAM-3   01/25/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGICAL WARRIOR Aug18 Jul28 Jun01 May01 Apr14 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60    
2  ACAMAR Jan15 Nov27 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 (mcgoey mon)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 30.00    
3  ASTRONAUT OSCAR Jan08 Dec22 Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 (padilla ti)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 8.00 10% 9.20    
4  VOLKERT Jan05 Dec18 Dec01 Nov10 Oct04 (simone v)FERRER C 122 2.00 54% 0.80    
5  SOVEREIGN OF SPEED Jan15 Jan08 Dec22 Dec14 Nov20 (lopez ro)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00    
6  NICHIREN Jan15 Dec01 Nov15 Sep13 Aug17 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
7  MONEY SONG Jan08 Oct12 Sep20 Jun27 May04 (ochoa gerar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
SCR  NINTH OF APRIL Dec22 Nov15 Oct16 Sep21 Aug30 (simone mic)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/25/2025 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN'S TURN Dec06 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 Sep15 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
2  KOZAK SPIRIT Dec13         (sherman a)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 113 30.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BROWN EYED MARY by PULPIT)
3  GIOIOSO May09 Apr04       (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by CURLIN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  ANNULLED Jan09 Dec11       (pletcher)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by TAPIT out of SINDY WITH AN S by BROKEN VOW)
5  SHOUT TO THE LORD         (mott i)CENTENO E 120 4.00    
  (by CURLIN out of INTENTIONAL CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  LADY MARLEEN Dec29 Nov20 Oct11 Aug25 Aug09 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
7  SUDDEN SWITCH         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SWITCHED UP by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
 
TAM-5   01/25/2025 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANT FAKE THE HATE Dec06 Nov12 Oct21 Sep06   (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
2  NEOPRENE Dec26 Nov01 Sep08 Jul05   (manning j)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHEM MAJOR Dec27 Dec18 Oct15 Apr24 Mar13 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 3.50 57% 0.80    
4  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Dec27 Aug04 Jul12 Jun16 Apr28 (crook-de)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
5  CITATIONAL Dec06 Oct31 Sep27     (mcgaughey clau)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.20    
6  LADY LALA Dec27 Aug11 Jul27 Jun21 Apr27 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  INTO AMORE Dec11         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-6   01/25/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUSCAN RULER Dec04 Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIVEMASTER Jan04 Dec21 Nov27 Jul21 Jun26 (lightner)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
3  IM STILL BRAVE Jan11 Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (torres r)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
4  MELODY WIN Jan04 Sep27 Aug24 Aug02 Jun01 (ochoa gerar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 20.00    
5  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Jan11 Dec22 Oct26 Sep27 Jul06 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
6  BANG A RANG Jan11 Sep23 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (hamm timothy)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.50 16% 5.50    
7  SINCERITO Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 Nov03 Jul07 (lopez mari)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 8.00    
8  SUIT ME UP CHARLIE Dec11 Nov20 Aug03 Jul21 Jun14 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 8.00    
9  NO PROBLEM JOE Jan04 Dec20 Dec04 May31 Apr26 (cascal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  KOHAKU Jan08 Oct28 Sep25 Sep07 Aug22 (alessi jam)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 30.00    
11  SUMMER BEE Sep08 Sep15 Aug26 Jun16 Jun04 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  VIVA VICTORY Jan11 Dec28 Aug23 Aug02 Jul21 (dobber arnou)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
SCR  PICCATA PRINCE Jan12 Dec29 Dec11 Nov30 Oct25 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 115 15.00    
SCR  TIZ LORD Jan08 Dec20 Oct22 Sep12 Aug17 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   01/25/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE BARON Jan01 Dec06 Nov01 Oct25 Oct05 (paragallo je)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 30.00    
2  FORT BLING Oct17 Feb16 Jan12     (richards renaldo)HESS SARA 116 30.00    
3  COACH PETRO Oct29 Sep26 Sep12 Aug01 Jun06 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 13% 7.00    
4  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Jan08 Dec20 Nov29 Oct27 Sep26 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 123 2.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  OCALA ROCKET Jan01 Dec01 Aug02 Jul06 Apr27 (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 123 4.00    
6  PAXTON Dec22 Nov29 Nov10 Oct25 Sep08 (miller c)FERRER C 123 20.00    
7  FROZEN FOUR Jan17 Dec27 Dec06 Nov29 Oct14 (barron rory)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNSPOKEN REQUEST Dec27 Dec06 May17 May03 Mar07 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SON OF A SLEW Jan01 Nov10 Oct05 Jul06 May18 (deaton wil)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 12.00    
10  GROWTH CAPITAL Dec10 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Apr16 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
TAM-8   01/25/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR FIRE Dec07         (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 120 30.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SUNNY DALE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  TROOPS Jan08         (vinson john )BATISTA A 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of SUPER TROOPER by MR. PROCRASTINATOR)
3  CASPIAN WIND         (pletcher todd)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by VEKOMA out of INCONCLUSIVE by INCLUDE)
4  PICO PLAT Dec27         (agostini arthu)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ALHAMBRA CIRCLE by ELTISH)
5  SACRED FIRE         (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of SOLAR SOLSTICE by BLAME)
6  MORODER Jan05 Jun08       (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DO THE DANSE by KAFWAIN)
7  BOHEMIAN STYLE Sep28 Aug31       (yates michael)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of SCANDALOUS ACT by ACT OF DUTY)
8  GARAMOND         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.50 37% 1.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BLUE WATCH by TAPIT)
9  NEOTERIC Jan08 Oct10 Sep28     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of FAZED by IN SUMMATION)
 
TAM-9   01/25/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECURITYLIGHTNING Dec11 Sep21 Aug23     (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  HIT SONG Dec22 Nov17 Nov02 Sep05 Aug13 (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 3.50    
3  POWER DANCE Sep07         (grainger willi)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
4  DYNA SOAR Dec28 Dec07 Sep21     (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 8.00    
5  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) Dec04 Nov06 Oct16 Sep16   (moreno-barban le)FERRER C 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOTANICAL GARDENS Nov17 Oct12       (baumgardner b)MORALES PABLO 119 15.00    
7  INSTABRAT Nov29 Oct15 Oct02 Sep17 Aug07 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00 9% 10.10    
8  SECRET VICTORY Jan11 Dec28 Oct12     (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  STEP LIGHTLY Jan11         (he)LUNA PAUL 119 30.00    
10  GIANT STORM Jan03 Dec06 Sep01     (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ALLENHURST Jan01 Dec13 Oct12 Sep20 Sep14 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
SCR  LA GATA SALVAJE Jan15 Jan01       (mckathan kevin)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SCR  DOROTEA DREAM Dec28 Dec07       (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 119 10.00    
14  MICHAELA Jan05 Dec07 Sep20     (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.