Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - January 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/4/7/3)-(6/4/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/3)-(6/4/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/3)-(6/4/1/10/5)-(1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/4/1/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/10/5)-(6/4/1/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/10/5)-(6/4/1/10/5)-(6/4/1/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/10/5)-(1/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/10/5)-(1/6/7)-(1/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(1/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(1/8/6/3)-(2/10/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/3)-(2/10/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/3)-(2/10/9/7)-(1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/10/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/9/7)-(2/10/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/9/7)-(2/10/9/7)-(2/10/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/9/7)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/10/9/7)-(1/4/6)-(2/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(2/8/7)-(2/5/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/10/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/10/3/7)-(2/8/10/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7)-(2/5/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-9   WIN (2/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6)-(2/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-10   WIN (3/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6)-(3/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S TREASURE Nov29 Oct31 Oct09 Sep09 May02 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
FAYTASTIC Oct24 Sep09 Jul04 Jun12 May01 (iannotti )HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
SCR  DANCING DIANA Sep11 Aug24 Jul25 Jul04 Jun18 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
PHANCY PHILLY Dec19 Nov20 Oct23 Aug28 Aug14 (beattie cod)INIRIO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLUS SIZED COURAGE Dec13 Nov21 Nov22 Nov08 Oct09 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00 54% 0.90    
CARDINAL WAR CRY Dec13 Nov07 Aug22 Jul31 Jun27 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
WARRIOR'S MISS Dec27 Dec04 May15 Mar01 Jan11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
 
PEN-2   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROPLINE Dec17 Dec02 Nov11 Jun11 May01 (mosco robert)ADORNO ABNER 125 1.80 36% 1.70    
SCRAPPY T LEE Nov20 Oct15       (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.50    
EASTER BET Dec20 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 Aug28 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
MR SANDMAN Dec17 Nov11 Oct15 Sep16 Aug19 (castillo )RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GRAHMALAMADINGDONG Nov29 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep09 (kirby t)RUIZ ELISEO 121 12.00    
BRONX BOYS Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 Sep16 Aug28 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
FOLE'S NOTION Dec11 Nov20 Sep14 Jul25 Jun08 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 9% 10.70    
CHAIN LIGHTNING Dec02 Oct25 Sep12     (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
 
PEN-3   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PELOSI Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Sep11 Aug29 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 6.00 6% 16.80    
RED BETTY Dec18 Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 Oct08 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 125 8.00    
TRACE MARTINIS Aug29 Aug14 Aug07 Jul05 Jun13 (johnson car)INIRIO J 125 30.00    
BOUNTY KILLAH Dec18 Dec07 Sep04 Aug28 Aug14 (richards)DAVIS A 125 4.50 8% 12.00    
MY HUNNY BUNNY Dec18 Nov15 Oct23 Sep21 Sep14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME THE WARRIOR Nov29 Nov14 Oct02 Aug29 Aug13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50 59% 0.70    
GOLDEN BOSS LADY Dec18 Oct12 Sep19 Sep12 Sep04 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
ENSUING GRACE Nov14 Aug29 Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 125 15.00    
WHEN YOUR STRANGE Nov25 Nov09 Sep26     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 10.00    
10  AZTECA STARDUST Dec18 Nov29 Nov14 Oct24 Sep01 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 125 4.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  FIREDINI Dec27 Dec07       (hetrick krista)GILBERT KYLE 125 12.00    
 
PEN-4   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIOUS SINGER Oct23 Aug14 Jul10 Mar14 Feb29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 33% 2.00    
HONEY B B Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb10 Jan07 (joy j)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
NAIL POLISH Nov29 Nov01 Sep20 Sep01 Mar22 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
SCR  LEVISA Dec06 Oct23 Sep04 Jul21 Feb07 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 8.00    
BRAQUET Dec07 Nov14 Oct17 Oct10 Sep19 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00    
G'S FIREBALL Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 Sep27 Sep14 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.50 30% 2.40    
BELLA PRIMA Dec04 Oct25 Sep28 Sep20 Aug18 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARUMA Nov27 Nov06 Oct05 Sep04 Aug28 (padilla )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 12.00    
 
PEN-5   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 123 2.50 43% 1.40    
I ONCE STOOD ALONE Nov21 Oct24 Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50    
DROSEL DIEM Dec18 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 Oct08 (albright am)INIRIO J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DR RAGS Dec19 Nov27 Oct23 Oct10 Sep24 (fields kevin)CORA D 123 12.00    
STARSTREET Dec27 Sep18 Aug15 Jul18 Jun19 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 123 30.00    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Dec18 Nov27 Jul06 Jun09 May19 (synnefias d)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 6.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Dec27 Dec11 Nov15 Oct31 Sep25 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00    
SAPONARA Dec19 Nov21 Nov01 Sep21 Sep05 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.00 15% 5.50    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jan02 Dec18 Nov21 Nov05 Oct22 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
 
PEN-6   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE JOHNNY Dec19 Dec04 Nov07 Oct16 Sep28 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 5.00    
CAJUN VIBES Nov28 Oct30 Jul21 Jul04 Jun02 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
BRUDER Dec20 Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 (beattie m)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
SCR  TIK TOK DADDY Dec13 Nov03 Oct17 Sep14 Aug23 (sanchez-salom)FUENTES ERICK 116 6.00    
SYLVIA I AM Dec27 Dec12 Nov13 Jul31 Jul03 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 30.00    
SCR  BEARING DOWN Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Sep02 (sullivan elliot)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
BOLD HOPPERTUNITY Oct29 Oct13 Nov15 Oct13 Sep17 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MITROPANOS Dec27 Dec06 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 123 8.00    
HYPER INFLATION Nov15 Jul25 Jun27 Jun11 May23 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 123 8.00 7% 12.90    
10  JOEY TICKLES Dec19 Dec04 Nov03 Sep12 Jul12 (simoff andrew)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00 7% 12.50    
 
PEN-7   01/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILLIBAR Nov17 Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 Aug02 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
CHARTED MAP Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 (chircop s)CARRASCO R 120 2.50    
STIFLING HEAT Dec12 Oct17 Oct01     (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50    
RIDGE WARRIOR Dec11 Nov06 Oct07 Sep10   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  FREEDOM STANCE Dec27 Oct24 Sep24 Jul18 Jun26 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
MARCHIN INTO APRIL Dec17 Nov25 Oct23 Sep26 Jul24 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLASHY DUDE Dec01 Nov17 Oct10 Sep22 Aug04 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
 
PEN-8   01/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKER'S GAP Dec18 Oct04 Sep25 Aug14 Aug01 (deiter ke)HERNANDEZ A 125 8.00    
BALLROOM EYES Dec05 Oct24 Aug21 Mar15 Mar31 (kelly blake)FLORES E 120 4.50 75% 0.30    
AWESOME HARRY Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Oct16 (fields kevin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 3.50    
LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Aug28 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 20.00    
PAYNTED THUNDER Dec18 Nov29 Nov08 Oct31 Jul17 (deiter ly)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 3.00    
MOBOT Dec13 Oct30 Oct15 May14 May01 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 125 12.00    
MICHAELSHATRICK Dec13 Nov13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP STYLE Nov29 Nov15 Oct31 Sep28 Aug01 (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S SAUL GOODMAN Dec18 Nov15 Aug29 Jul13 Jul03 (galligan gerar)CONNER TYLER 125 10.00    
10  CAPTAIN KHOZAN Sep02 Jun02       (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 125 6.00    
 
PEN-9   01/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT-10:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME NOW Dec20 Nov20 Oct19 Sep18 Aug30 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
NOLO CONTESTO Dec19 Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 Oct12 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  DAREDAVITE Dec27 Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Oct04 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 121 12.00    
EYE ON THE CANDY Dec08 Nov16 Oct04 Sep14 Sep05 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 121 6.00    
PORCH SWING Dec20 Nov29 Nov13 Sep15 Sep02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR Dec20 Dec12 Nov08 Oct23 Oct16 (bobadilla f)CORA D 125 8.00 16% 5.40    
HIBACHI Dec06 Nov08 Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 (o'callahan carl)FLORES E 121 15.00    
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Dec12 Oct30 Oct08 Sep21 Aug28 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 8.00 19% 4.20    
PICCOLO DIAVOLO Dec13 Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 Aug23 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
 
PEN-10   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEE POWER Dec13 Nov29 Nov08 Oct24 Oct03 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
TINY LAKE Nov15         (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
QUAMASH Nov22         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
TANKSTER Nov08 Oct04       (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
WAR SALUTE Dec01 Aug24       (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
COVE BAY BOY Oct24         (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MALIBU WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
ROWDY WARRIOR         (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BUZZ ADAMS         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.