Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Friday - December 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/2/8)-(7/3/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(4/3/6/11/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(4/3/6/11/7)-(3/9/10/2/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
TUP-3   WIN (4/3/6/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/11/7)-(4/3/6/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/11/7)-(4/3/6/11/7)-(4/3/6/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/11/7)-(3/9/10/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/11/7)-(3/9/10/2/1)-(11/4/7/2/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-4   WIN (3/9/10/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/10/2/1)-(3/9/10/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/10/2/1)-(3/9/10/2/1)-(3/9/10/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/10/2/1)-(11/4/7/2/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/9/10/2/1)-(11/4/7/2/8)-(10/5/7/6/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-5   WIN (11/4/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/7/2/8)-(11/4/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/7/2/8)-(11/4/7/2/8)-(11/4/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/7/2/8)-(10/5/7/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/4/7/2/8)-(10/5/7/6/8)-(8/1/5/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (10/5/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/6/8)-(10/5/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/6/8)-(10/5/7/6/8)-(10/5/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/7/6/8)-(8/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/7/6/8)-(8/1/5/2)-(4/8/3/9/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/5/2)-(4/8/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/8/3/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/9/7)-(4/8/3/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/9/7)-(4/8/3/9/7)-(4/8/3/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARLET COLE Nov29 Nov12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50    
2  T N T NOVA Nov24 Aug08 Jul04     (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 3.00 ★    
3  CHEDOODLE RYLEE Nov27 Sep08 Aug31 Aug07 Jun07 (lawrence he)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 18% 4.50    
4  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Jul10 Jun26 May04 Apr10 Mar18 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
5  DEFICIT MAJA Dec05 Nov11 Sep27 Aug01 Jun09 (silva pablo)KRIGGER K 119 5.00    
6  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Dec11 Nov29 Nov12 Oct12 Sep08 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50    
7  KAMIKAZE BLUE Nov27 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 Jun08 (marin martin)REYES R 122 8.00 49% 1.10    
8  BIKINI NATION Dec11 Nov27 Oct07 Sep29 Sep22 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00 6% 16.90    
 
TUP-3   12/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETAWAY DAY Dec09 Aug03 Jul13 Jun14 Apr30 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00    
2  LEMON DROP LADY Dec12 Dec03 Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 (bean robe)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
3  JOY IN THE BATTLE Dec18 Nov25 Nov11 Sep15 Sep03 (silva jua)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Dec18 Dec05 Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  GYPSY WIFE Dec12 Nov11 Sep14 Aug22 Aug01 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
SCR  TEAM CONCEPT Dec11 Nov30 Oct06 Sep08 Apr09 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEA MISCHIEF Dec19 May12 Apr10 Mar20 Mar04 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALWAYS GALLANT Dec12 Nov25 Nov11 Oct06 Sep22 (belvoir va)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00    
9  GOLD COAST GIRL Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul19 Jan19 (bullock ste)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
10  QUINN ELLA Nov23 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 Jul31 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 10.00    
11  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 Sep26 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   12/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIS IS A JOKE Dec03 Nov14 Sep14 Jun30 Jun13 (ortiz manuel)HUGHES RASHEED 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  K R RULES Dec11 Sep06 Aug11 Jul03 Jun15 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MT. ZEROR Dec17 Oct10 Sep23 Aug06 Jul01 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  PAKAS SECRET Nov26 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
5  THUSLY INSPIRED Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
6  QUEBECK (ARG) Dec03 Nov19 Oct01 Sep16 Aug11 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
7  CAP GREELEY Dec03 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (barraza s)TOHILL S 121 20.00    
8  EXTREMELY WICKED Oct28 Oct13 Sep24 Sep03 Jul29 (matt wend)IRONEYES R 124 15.00    
9  POWER TRIP Oct26 Sep15 Aug11 Jul07   (garcia f)MAWING A 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
10  SCOPELLO Nov30 Apr15 Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
11  WE GOT SWAG Nov30 Nov14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (velasquez )AMERICANO MANUEL 116 15.00    
12  REGAL REDWOOD Dec01 Nov03 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 121 6.00    
 
TUP-5   12/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUARE FUN Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct14 Oct04 (bean robe)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
2  HOT LAVA CAKE Dec09 Nov21 Nov12 Sep28 Sep06 (silva-martinez ale)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MEAN SHARON Nov02 Oct12 Oct04 Sep01 Aug10 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
4  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Dec09 Nov27 Nov12 Sep19 Sep01 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Dec02 Jul27 Jul13 Jun15 May18 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 121 12.00    
6  MO CONNELLY Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Sep15 Sep01 (johnston kimbe)REYES R 124 20.00    
7  CAPITAL HEAT Nov27 Sep08 Aug25 May04 Feb07 (belvoir vann)CORBETT W 124 3.00 9% 10.50    
8  CANADA CANDY Dec08 Dec01 Nov19 Nov07 Oct25 (silva pablo)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  AMARETTO DI AMORE Dec02 Nov21 Sep12 Sep01 Aug15 (kereluk edw)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
10  MAMALONA Dec02 May01 Apr23 Apr10 Mar26 (so)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
11  BIG BLUE NOTE Dec02 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Jun29 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 34% 1.90    
12  VELLA Dec02 Jun29 May19 May04 Mar08 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 124 4.00    
 
TUP-6   12/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMERALD SEA Dec09 Sep15 Aug31 Aug11 Jul06 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 10.00    
2  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Dec03 Nov11 Sep08 Aug16 Aug04 (essex charles)REYES R 122 15.00    
3  ORANGE THEORY Nov03 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 Aug31 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 12.00    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Dec03 Nov18 Oct02 Sep04 Aug27 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
5  HURRICAIN HUNTER Nov30 Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (lawrenc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
6  YOGYA Dec03 Nov18 Aug24 Jul19 Jul03 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
7  BADGER KITTEN Nov30 Sep25 Sep01 Aug22 Jun29 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
8  EVEN PANDURA Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun03 (sanderson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FLAME MCGOON Sep05 Oct22 Sep08 Aug06 Dec26 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
10  IF YOU WANT IT May04 Mar18 Jun09 May02 Mar29 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
 
TUP-7   12/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lost Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY CABALLO Dec10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul13   (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIVA MALALA by MALIBU MOON)
2  COLONEL LUDLOW Dec10 Nov26 Sep15 Aug23 Aug11 (evans just)GALLARDO EDUARDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COMEDIA by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  TOMMY HOCKEY         (evans justin)CRUZ M 117 20.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of COPPEROPOLIS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  JUST TRUST ME Dec10 Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Aug15 (williams )IRONEYES R 121 6.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of TRUST FUND KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  F B I BOB Dec10 Nov13 Sep23 Aug31 Aug10 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SHE'LL TAKE CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
6  BORDER VIGIL Dec10 Sep15 Jul27 May27 May12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 5.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of WAR TWEET by DATA LINK)
7  TAKE CHARGE TOM Dec04         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 119 4.50 ★    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GORGEOUS GINNY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
8  DON'T FLY STAND BY Nov26 Sep28 Aug09 Jul22   (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MISS EMELINA by BIG BROWN)
9  ROMAN GRATIS         (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 117 12.00    
  (by STANFORD out of SHEZ COMING IN HOT by MORE THAN READY)
10  MANZONI Dec04 Sep27       (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 119 10.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BOLD AND WONDERFUL by OLYMPIO)
 
TUP-8   12/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. TROUTMAN Nov16 Oct19 Sep21 Sep01 Aug10 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
2  CONNECTER Dec04 Nov20 Oct13 Oct06 Sep30 (gibson f)CRUZ M 121 15.00    
3  ISLE OF SKYE Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jul31 (o'haga)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
4  PEACEFUL WATERS Dec11 Aug17 Jun07 Mar23 Jan29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  WESTPHAL Dec19 Dec10 Nov20 Sep07 Aug25 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00    
6  JON L Dec10 Nov01 Oct18 Sep08 Aug31 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
7  SAINT PIO Dec18 Nov20 Sep24 Sep17 Sep09 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHIP IT RED Dec17 Nov30 Jun30 May25 Apr04 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
9  STORMIN HONGKONG Dec10 Nov20 Nov12 Sep25 Sep14 (silva gabr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.00 7% 14.00    
10  FED GRANT Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Aug23 Aug11 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
11  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug18 Jul27 (tubbs scott)REYES R 121 12.00    
12  INFINITE CROWN Dec10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 Jun22 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.