Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - December 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(2/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(2/6/7/3)-(6/8/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/3)-(6/8/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(6/8/9/7)-(6/1/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/7)-(6/8/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/7)-(6/8/9/7)-(6/8/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/9/7)-(6/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/7)-(6/1/7/8)-(3/7/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-4   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/8)-(3/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/8)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/6/2/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1)-(3/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/1)-(3/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/1)-(3/6/2/4)-(9/3/4/8/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4)-(3/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/4)-(9/3/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/4)-(9/3/4/8/2)-(1/8/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (9/3/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/8/2)-(9/3/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/8/2)-(9/3/4/8/2)-(9/3/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/4/8/2)-(1/8/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/8/2)-(1/8/7/6)-(2/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6)-(1/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/7/6)-(2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (2/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/6)-(2/9/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/9/6)-(2/9/8/6)-(2/9/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   12/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE HER AWAY Oct29 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 Jun06 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00    
PSALM PRAYER Nov16 Jan12 Dec19 Nov08 Feb11 (romero j)ARANA KELVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
RUNTOLIVE Oct30 Aug16 Jun06 Apr26 Mar14 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
THE PRETTY SISTER Oct29 Aug10 Jul04 Jun20 May16 (woodley j)ROSIER R 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
MISSNEVERSATISFIED May24 May11 Apr10     (brinkman brett)PEREZ CARLOS 119 8.00 8% 11.30    
COUNTRY ANGEL Nov06 Oct11 Aug24 Jul06 May17 (woodley j)THORNTON G 124 6.00    
TAKEOVER QUEEN Nov13 Oct10 Jan19 Nov17 Nov04 (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 4.50    
 
DED-2   12/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B D ENVISIONIST Jun28 May02       (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 115 6.00    
WHATDIDWEDO Nov26 Nov13 Oct19 Aug22 Aug01 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
MYTURNTODEAL Aug19 Jul14 Jul04 Jun08 Nov02 (mallery vonn)LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
WAY TOO TOUGH Nov20 Oct16 Aug17 Jul04   (breaux samue)BARRERA J 120 5.00    
TAP TO CONNECT Sep04 Aug05 Jul10 Jun19   (nixon w)THORNTON G 123 3.00    
WILDCATS'S MEOW Oct19 Sep17 Aug10 Jul29 Jul15 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
GLORIA'S BOY Jun21 May18 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (ward ronnie)MELANCON JANSEN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET CANDY BOY Nov01 Oct12       (mojica a)PEREZ CARLOS 118 12.00    
 
DED-3   12/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMEO SPIKES Nov08 Oct18       (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 6.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MIMI'S BELLA ALARM by SOUND THE ALARM)
GREATIZLOVE Nov14 Nov01 Aug10 Jul13   (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SOMETHING LOVELY by NEW TRIESTE)
ABOUT THE BUSINESS         (alberto ant)MELANCON JANSEN 121 20.00    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of RITZY LASS by OLD FORESTER)
SCR  HE'S READY TO WIN Nov09 Oct10       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 3.50    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  STAR DECINCODEMAYO Nov09         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FANCEY FAITH by LYDGATE)
HOLD MY HAT Nov09 Oct10 Aug10 Jul13   (castille carro)THORNTON G 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SENOR SMOKE Nov09         (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of MY GAL LAYLA by MY PAL CHARLIE)
YANKEESTROLGY Nov14 Oct26       (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of THEYANKEEFUSE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
BIG NICKEL Nov22 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29   (clary jaylan )VARGAS P 121 8.00 6% 17.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
10  LOTTA SPIRIT HERE         (chatters be)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CHEERFORLUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
DED-4   12/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIN'T SO BAD Nov06 Jun26 Jul30 Jul17   (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
DOUBLE BOGEY Apr20 Oct27 Aug10 Jun23 Jun02 (benoit james)BIRZER E 124 10.00    
TOMMY SIX FINGERS Nov15 Oct12 Jul13 Jun21 May09 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 8.00    
WINDTAPPER WIN Nov27 Nov02 Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 (dixon tim)POMPELL L 124 15.00    
GOLD CAPO Aug10 Jul21 Feb10 Aug27 Aug12 (giangrosso r)BARRERA J 124 4.50    
XY FACE Nov02 Oct26 Jul13 Jun01 May12 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.80 34% 2.00    
NATURAL HIGH Aug23 Aug11 Jul20 Aug12 Jul15 (giangrosso )SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 6.00 12% 7.40    
MYMANROWEN Nov14 Oct19 Sep16 Sep04 Jul04 (castillo ric)EDISON JOCELYN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-5   12/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE SOLUTION Nov15 Aug23 Jul13 Jun21 Feb23 (larrosa a)PEREZ CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
COUNT ON RAIN Nov15 Aug10 Aug01 Jul13 Jun21 (benoit james)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
SAUCY ARGUMENT Nov14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul11 May29 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
PUPPETEER (GB) Aug10 Jul20 May29 May16 Apr25 (castille carro)THORNTON G 123 12.00    
SPRY CHARLIE Nov26 Nov07 Aug23 Jul19 Jul05 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
COOL RIDE Nov14 Nov02 Oct10 Jun17 Jun04 (melancon dona)RENGIFO JOHAN 123 10.00 16% 5.20    
I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Nov15 Oct23 Oct12 Aug22 Jan18 (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  ALLER VITE Nov14 Oct26 Sep09 Aug14 Jun01 (richard russell)POMPELL L 123 3.00    
C F HENRY Oct10 Sep18 Aug27 May09 Jan13 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 6.00    
 
DED-6   12/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE THE KINGDOM Apr02 Mar18       (dixon tim)BIRZER E 123 8.00    
NEVER WALK ALONE Aug10 Aug01 Jun15 Jun06 May10 (tillis jerry )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
MIZ MASTERY Nov22 May04 Apr18 Mar16 Feb25 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHINA         (camarena car)EDISON JOCELYN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SURPRISE SUNRISE Nov22 Jul26 Jun15     (dison phillip )MUNOZ SERGIO 118 5.00    
CAT ISLAND EXPRESS Nov26 Sep16 Jul09 Jun22 Mar03 (winslow janine)FUSILIER C 124 1.60 21% 3.70    
SCR  CHIMES LAKE May25 May04       (dison m)HERNANDEZ V 120 20.00    
GET A GRIP ON IT         (bernard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
 
DED-7   12/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILA'S KAT Aug20 Jun22 Feb02 Nov30 Nov10 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 112 8.00    
SIMPLE SUNDAY Nov05 Aug01 Jun20 May16 Apr19 (ward ronnie)RENGIFO JOHAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SERAPE Nov23 May03 Apr17 Feb03 Jan13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 3.50 23% 3.30    
SIENNA BREEZE Nov13 Oct30 Jul27 May11 Feb21 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 117 12.00 7% 14.30    
THE RAGE OF ART Nov24 Nov08 Oct19 Aug28 Jun19 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.50    
SWEET PERFECTION Nov21 Oct19 Sep11 Jul31 May27 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
COZZOLANI Nov26 Nov16 Nov05 Oct10 Sep13 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Nov05 Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Aug07 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
KATIE'S KARAT Nov16 Feb15 Dec30 Dec06 Nov25 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
DED-8   12/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON Nov16 Oct19 Oct05 Sep08 Jul13 (hibdon n)BIRZER E 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
BLACK ACE Nov05 Aug13 Jul12 Apr27 Feb09 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Nov29 Nov09 Aug10 Jul25 Jul01 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 112 20.00    
WA WA WEE WA Nov21 Oct26 Sep07 Aug24 Jul30 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00    
TRIPLE SCOUT Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 (martinez ralph )POMPELL L 120 6.00    
FULL SPIRIT Nov09 Oct17 Sep09 Aug16 Aug05 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMY D Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep20 Aug25 (hibdon )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 12.00 8% 11.70    
SAINT EROS GIRL Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May10 Apr25 (terre david)THORNTON G 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
WON DAY Nov29 Oct26 Oct17 Jul25 Jul13 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 1.80    
 
DED-9   12/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY CRUISE Oct12 Aug14 Jul14 Jul07 Jun23 (mallery vonn)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
AGE OF REASON Nov21 Oct26       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of A THOUSAND REASONS by MUNNINGS)
ICED UP         (calhoun william )ROSIER R 121 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ZERO TO SIXTY by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  RETIRED BLESSING Nov23 Nov04       (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of SEAPORT by BARTOK (IRE))
SCR  MY LAST CHANCE (ARG) Nov14         (morris rowdy)PEREZ CARLOS 116 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of FAST BOBBI J by BOB AND JOHN)
NORMA JEAN BLING         (dixon tim)BIRZER E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of BROOKE'S A BOOKIN by JONESBORO)
TIME SIGNATURE         (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 121 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TIME FOR ETBAUER by ETBAUER)
SHAKE EM BELLA Nov21 Oct26 Jun14     (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MY LITTLE MINX by EMPIRE MAKER)
TRE DITA         (rivelli larry)THORNTON G 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SHE NAILED IT by CORFU)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.