Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Sunday - November 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4)-(2/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/3/5)-(7/2/9/3) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(7/2/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (7/2/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/9/3)-(7/2/9/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/9/3)-(7/2/9/3)-(7/2/9/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/9/3)-(7/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (7/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/6/2/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (7/6/2/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3/1)-(7/6/2/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3/1)-(7/6/2/3/1)-(7/6/2/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/6/2/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/7/3/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/7/3/1)-(4/6/7/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH STREET Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 May22 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 120 1.20 30% 2.30    
HOLLYWOOD HERO Nov03 Oct21 Oct08 Oct02 Sep25 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
GRAND ROZZO Oct20 Oct09 Sep12 Jul31 Jun22 (gotera)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
DREAMWITHINADREAM Nov04 Oct22 Oct09 Oct02 Sep16 (mcgaffic a)PAUCAR E 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
COLD PLUNGE Oct21 Oct01 Sep22 Aug12 Jul24 (reffner tara)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 6.00    
SCR  UNDERTOW Oct30 Oct17 Oct03 Sep16 Aug25 (viands gregory)LEON A 120 12.00    
PUNCTUALITY Nov04 Oct20 Oct07 Sep25 Sep09 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
FOLLOW ME HOME Nov04 Oct08 Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 15% 5.80    
BIG SIS NIC Aug21 Aug06 Jun18 May30 May22 (murtough ste)BELISARIO JUAN 117 12.00    
 
MNR-2   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADILLAC JUSTICE Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 Aug15 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
CHELSEA DAGGER Nov06 Oct17 Sep18 Aug30 Jul16 (silva pab)GILBERT KYLE 120 1.20 45% 1.20    
COLOR ME LEGENDARY Nov02 Oct07 Sep29 Sep19 Sep12 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00    
STAR DEPUTY Sep29 Sep08 Aug26 Jul09 Jan04 (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRADFIELD BABY Sep18 Sep03 Jul10 Jun12 May15 (jimenez migu)BELISARIO JUAN 113 1.80    
U S HONOUR NAP Nov02 Oct26 Oct15 May26 May11 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 6.00    
CLASSIC FILM Oct16 Aug07 Sep03 Aug27 Aug09 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
SCR  MAGNETIC APPEAL Nov04 Oct15 Sep03 Aug04 Jul28 (viands gregory)LEON A 118 30.00    
 
MNR-3   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE JORIA Oct22 Sep18 Aug14 Jul05 Jun14 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
AGENDA Nov05 Oct02 Sep09 Aug19 Jul09 (demczyk virg)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.00    
RED ROSEBUSH Oct30 Sep22 Sep03 Aug18 Jul31 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
ALWAYS CONNECTED Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug01 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.50    
OUT OF ROMANCE Oct13 Sep25 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 (howard william)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
DYNA'S FLATTER Nov03 Oct22 Oct07 Sep26 Sep05 (wills )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00    
 
MNR-4   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYBE SARDONIC Nov03 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 10.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
MIT MONKEY Jul30 Jun16       (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 15.00 17% 4.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
ARDEN AR Oct21 Oct02 May03 Apr21 Apr04 (copland brent)CEDILLO MAURO 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of TIZEXX by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LETMENOWHENURREADY Oct16         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 1.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MORE'N LIKELY by BLAME)
THE MONSTER IRUS Oct30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Dec31 (cordero-lopez ale)YARANGA Y 123 10.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
RAVEN'S HONOR Nov03 Oct04 Sep25 Sep11 Aug30 (holton)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 30.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
XAYAH Aug16         (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by CURLIN out of LET FAITH ARISE by KAFWAIN)
MOTORIN' MAGGIE Oct22 Oct10 Sep12 Aug08 Jul18 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 123 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CHANNEL THE GREEN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
MONEYSLOT Oct30 Oct21 Oct08 Aug12 Jul31 (gerich frank)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 12% 7.70    
  (by MASTERY out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
MNR-5   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTENDED STREAK Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 Jan10 Dec14 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00    
S S COSMOPOLITAN Oct27 Oct01 Sep11 Aug11 Jul23 (jimenez a)WHITACRE B 120 4.50    
FIERY SIDE Oct30 Oct20 Sep23 Aug21 Aug05 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
LIL BUNNY Oct27 Oct01 Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 (ewell sr)LEON A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
XTRAORDINARYMOTION Oct27 Jun14 Jan26 Dec04 Oct31 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 120 4.00    
D'FUNNY GIRL Oct27 Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 Aug05 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Oct12 Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 Jul05 (jones michae)LEWIS M 115 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
MNR-6   11/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAJOR CONTENDER Oct31 Oct17 Oct08 Sep03 Aug10 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 12.00    
HENRY'S WORLD Oct29 Oct07 Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
RED GUN Oct28 Oct16 Sep15 Aug21 Aug13 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL CARDINAL Nov04 Oct13 Sep29 Sep17 Aug26 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 5.00 31% 2.30    
STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Oct27 Oct13 Sep17 Jun02 Apr30 (sanders melinda)LEON A 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
IN HONOR OF AUTISM Nov03 Oct20 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 5.00    
BEYOND THE BEND Oct28 Jul31 Jul15 May28 May13 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 3.50    
SCR  DETROIT CITY Nov11 Sep26 Sep11 Aug07 Jun29 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 123 8.00    
 
MNR-7   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP EM Oct24 Oct16 Sep25 Sep16 Aug04 (inirio ca)HERNANDEZ H 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
COURTHOUSE COVE Nov05 Oct27 Oct10 Aug27 Aug19 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 10% 9.30    
LOCO Oct22 Sep29 Sep02 Aug11 Jul24 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00 6% 14.60    
DADDY'S DINERO Oct03 Sep08 Aug13 Mar08 Jan05 (vaughan edw)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 10.00    
SEEING RED Oct24 Oct02 Sep17 Sep04 Aug27 (musarr)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00    
CITADINO Nov04 Oct01 Aug27 Aug21 Aug14 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
DISCRETIONARY DAY Nov04 Oct23 Oct16 Sep29 Sep11 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00 35% 1.90    
TAPSOLUTION Oct24 Oct07 Sep20 Sep04 Aug20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 6.00    
KHOZANDO Nov06 Oct22 Sep18 Sep03 Aug28 (fletcher jeff)TAPARA LUIS 120 10.00    
10  PLAIN OR PEANUT Oct20 Oct10 Sep26 Jul06 Jun22 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 10.00    
SCR  WOODY'S CHOICE Oct23 Sep26 Sep11 Aug22 Jul27 (andrade hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 4.00    
 
MNR-8   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINGFORHOME Oct27 Oct11 Sep22 Jun30 Jun17 (reffner b)TAPARA LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHT BOSS Oct22 Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 Jun17 (sanders m)HERNANDEZ H 123 10.00    
SOMERSET BAY Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug04 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ITALIANO Nov04 Oct21 Feb19 Jan29 May06 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.20 71% 0.40    
PANORAMA TRUCK Oct27 Sep08 Aug10 Jun04 May06 (sanders mel)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
YOU ARE AWESOME Oct27 Oct14 Sep30 Aug14 Jul31 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
THE FILTER Nov04 Oct21 Sep29 Aug25 Aug12 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 6.00    
INDOCTRINATE Oct27 Oct16 Sep30 Sep03 Aug19 (viands gregory)LEON A 123 12.00    
RY'S REVENGE Oct06 Jul24 Jun30 Jun17 May12 (depasquale l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
10  CHACO SPIRIT Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Sep02 (bayley randy)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
SCR  READYSEEKGO Nov05 Oct14 Sep01 Aug19 Jul30 (lawrence d)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 2.50    
SCR  STORMY SOUL Nov05 Oct15 Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 1.40    
SCR  BEASTFROMTHEEAST Nov05 Oct16 Aug18 Oct25 Sep27 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 10.00    
SCR  BLAME BISHOP Nov05 Oct21 Aug12 May03 Apr19 (cordero-lope)TAPARA BRANDON 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.