Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - November 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(5/2/3)-(7/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/4/5)-(1/3/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(2/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/4/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3)-(2/4/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/3)-(7/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/8/3)-(7/5/6/4)-(1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/4)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SUGAR BABY Oct22 Sep10 Aug28 Aug19 Jul17 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  M. A. S. SCRUVES Oct14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 Nov01 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00    
3  TIVOLI GARDENS Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
4  KAUFY FUTURES Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 Aug07 Jul24 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 4.00    
5  CALL ME CARMELITA Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug12 (mcclung shayl)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
6  KATERI EMPIRE Oct23 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 124 4.50    
7  ALL BIZZ Oct08 Sep11 Aug13 Jul02 Jun12 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   11/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING WITH DOLLS Oct15 Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul04 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  SHINE MY TIARA Oct02 Sep09 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STORM THE TOWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  TROUBLED LUCK Jul04 May25 May16 Apr26 Apr14 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 8.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  AUTUMN'S TURN Oct02 Sep15 Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 (contessa gary )COA J 121 1.40 19% 4.10    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
5  TURNUPTHEMUSIC Oct02 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00 6% 16.10    
  (by AUDIBLE out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  IT'S OUR DESTINY Oct15         (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 12.00    
  (by DESTIN out of THERALENA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
FL-3   11/04/2024 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE'S ORCHARD Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug19 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 121 5.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  FINDANAME Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 May07 (areche thalia)DIAZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of SHALL TRY by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  PAINT THE LINE Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep16   (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
4  FLUORESCENT BAY Aug29 Jul26 Jun21 May25 Feb18 (davis ed)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SHADOWY WATERS by WILD AGAIN)
5  TIZ WICKED STRONG Oct14 Sep09 Aug02 Jul12 Mar23 (antonacci phil)LUZZI J 124 1.00 71% 0.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
6  VIGANO Oct15 Mar23 Mar01 Jan27 Nov22 (zito nicholas )COA J 124 2.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOMPING by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
FL-4   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROSEL DIEM Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 (sabine m)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
2  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Oct14 Sep25 Sep03 Jul10 Jun25 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00    
SCR  NOAH'S DESTINY Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 (clarke mat)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
4  HORN OF PLENTY Jun16 Apr13 Mar22 Mar03 Feb04 (lord j)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
5  HARDLY WORKING Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul09 (mcclung s)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 (clarke matthew)COA J 124 12.00    
7  FINANCIALSTABILITY Oct07 Jul06       (beech e)BROWN DALTON 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
FL-5   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVA BANKER Oct23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (oyola david)DAVILA A 124 3.50 49% 1.10    
2  CHRISTMAS DINNER Oct23 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LEFT LEANING LUCY Oct23 Oct07 Sep09 Jul31 Jul02 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
4  FORTY SMOOTH Oct07 Aug14 Jul15 Jun16 Apr27 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 2.50 11% 8.10    
5  MELISSA'S SMILE Oct23 Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Aug07 (pettine ja)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
6  THE NEW MIAMI Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Jul30 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00    
7  SWEET INVASION Sep23 Sep09 Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 5.00    
 
FL-6   11/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NECESSARYANDPROPER Sep30 Sep11 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 4.00    
2  MORETASTIC Oct20 Oct04 Sep20 Jan26 Sep13 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 121 6.00 47% 1.10    
3  SWEET TOOTH SUE Oct22 Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TUMBLES Oct22 Oct09 Sep30 Aug14 Jul30 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SHASI Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 (mastin k)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT Sep30 Aug19 Jul24 Jun17 May27 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00    
7  REGENERATOR Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Sep03 Aug05 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 3.50    
8  BAVARIAN CREME Oct14 Sep23 Apr21 Mar05 Feb10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  KITTY TIN TIN Oct22 Oct09 Sep11 Jul23 Oct31 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.00    
SCR  SWEET SENSATION Oct14 Sep10 Aug28 Jul24 Jun17 (beech e)BROWN DALTON 122 15.00    
 
FL-7   11/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPE MISSION Oct10 Sep04 Jul17 Jun03 May13 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
2  DEVIOUS BANKER Oct14 Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 (pet)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.50    
3  N Y RIESLING Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 Jun24 (morales )DAVIS A 118 6.00    
4  SMOKIN' ALONE Oct22 Oct01 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  EMERALD FOREST Oct18 Sep21 Aug29 Jul19 Jun09 (baker charlton)BROWN DALTON 122 1.80 13% 6.70    
6  GANDY DANCING Oct16 Oct07 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORNING CUP Sep25 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 Jun14 (grabowski john)COA J 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
FL-8   11/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TASTY WAVE Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 (ashley julius)BROWN DALTON 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  CLIFDEN PUNCH Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug19 (ashley jul)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50    
2  MRS BELL Oct07 Aug12 Jul04 Jun05 May27 (dean vic)DAVIS A 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  AUTOMATED TELLER Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 May21 Apr30 (bond brent)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
SCR  CENTRAL CAPITAL Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 Sep09 Aug26 (morales samuel)DIAZ J 124 20.00    
5  MIAMI TWOFER Oct07 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUNA LOCA Oct23 Oct08 Sep30 Sep11 Aug27 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50    
SCR  EMILY REWARD Oct12 Sep14 Aug25 Jul30 May18 (davis edmund)HARKIE K 121 5.00    
8  WABAUNSEE Oct23 Sep23 Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 (pet)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.