Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - November 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(6/4/2)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(2/7/5/4)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/4)-(5/1/3)-(6/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(6/3/1/4)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4)-(6/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/4)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/4)-(1/3/5)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   11/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYCROFT         (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  NOTTURNO Oct11         (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
3  CRABCAKES N BEER Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul24   (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.00    
4  DEMOLITION WOMAN Oct07 Aug19 Jul22     (hawthor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 108 4.00 ★    
5  SOLAR GLARE Oct18 Sep02       (synnefias d)RAMOS O 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  J ROLL Oct07 Sep10       (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50    
 
PEN-2   11/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLE'S NOTION Sep14 Jul25 Jun08 May16 May02 (rathman e)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
2  JUMP FOR THE WIN Sep26 Aug16 Jun23 Nov30 Nov10 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIME TO CRUISE Sep27 Aug21 Jul24 Jun25 May01 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00    
4  JAYJAYDEE Oct09 Sep14 Aug16 Aug08 Jul19 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  SHARP TONES Jun24 May30 May16 Apr19 Feb19 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 118 4.50    
6  WILD VINE Aug26 Aug16 Jul19 Jun26 Mar08 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-3   11/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEWSDLEY Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 May16 Apr18 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50    
2  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Sep14 Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 May17 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  NORMANDY LIFE Sep23 Aug28 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 (albright ge)CALDERON OLIVER 118 12.00    
4  LADRO DI FICHI Oct11 Sep19 Aug28 Aug14 Jul27 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TELEPHONE LINE May07 Mar18 Jan24     (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 118 12.00 18% 4.40    
6  PROFITUNITY Sep28 Aug28 Apr20 Mar27 Mar01 (alvarado )HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
7  DWELLER Oct09 Sep23 Aug29 Aug01 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
8  BEACHFRONT BREEZE Sep27 Sep14 Dec23 Nov15 Oct07 (simoff andre)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 5.00    
 
PEN-4   11/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAN POINT Aug30 Jul11 May24 May02 Dec20 (murillo ricard)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Oct09 Sep17 Aug29 Jul22 Jul11 (acquilano)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00    
3  BOSS LIKE BETH Oct17 Oct03 Sep16 Sep04 Aug20 (betancourt e)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOCTOR ABBIE Oct17 Sep21 Aug17 Jul24 Jul11 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 2.50    
5  DREAM CHASER Oct19 Oct01 Aug28 May31 May13 (ness jami)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  SOCIAL LADY Oct20 Sep05 Jul11 Jun16 May22 (kravets bruce )CEDENO CAROL 121 4.50    
 
PEN-5   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIORS JEWEL Oct02 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 May30 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TRUSTY by IS IT TRUE)
2  NO MORE KISSES Sep15 Aug11 Jul13 Jun15 May04 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TRUE KISS by IS IT TRUE)
3  PERIDOT PENDANT May02         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of EMERALD BRACELET by GREEN DANCER)
4  SPICY K Sep13 Aug23       (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of J K'S GIRL by NOONMARK)
5  PEACEOFTASTYCAKE Sep11 Aug23 Jul24     (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 8.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of TASTEFULLY SIMPLE by BARBICAN)
6  COWGIRL NATION Sep20 Mar27       (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DALLAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
SCR  CHARGE THAT DRESS Aug23 Aug15       (stites will)CALDERON OLIVER 122 15.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of DECOLLETE by TIZWAY)
8  NICOLE'S JOURNEY Jul05         (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BEER BARONESS by MR. GREELEY)
 
PEN-6   11/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICTOR Aug01 Jul04 May30 May15 May02 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
2  SPOOKY ONE Aug21 Aug12 Jul24 Jul03 Jun11 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00    
3  PORTAL ONE Aug15 Jun27 May31 May04 Mar21 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.00 15% 5.50    
4  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Sep10 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 May30 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 10.00    
5  SAPONARA Sep21 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 6% 16.40    
6  BOSS HOLIDAY Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug02 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 123 3.50    
 
PEN-7   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASSING BAYOU Oct16 Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOH'S N O'S Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jul21 (sullivan)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 5.00    
SCR  MASKED HEROINE Jul05 Mar13 Feb14 Jan31 Dec28 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00    
4  ESTA CHUCK Aug07 Jul05 May03 Mar07 Nov15 (jacklin the)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 50.00    
5  DOWSER Aug21 Aug07 Mar13 Mar06 Feb08 (rideout ronald)CORA D 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  VIROLOGIST Oct11 Aug11 Jul21 Jun04 May17 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  MARTINI'S BANK Sep18 Aug22 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 3.00    
8  NAIL POLISH Sep20 Sep01 Mar22 Mar06 Feb23 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.