Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Friday - November 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-3   Win (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-4   Win (9/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ARP-5   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ARP-6   Win (7/6/8/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JON L Oct18 Sep08 Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 (tsosie terrill)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8% 12.10    
CUCINA Oct12 Sep28 Aug30 Aug23 Aug18 (scudder rick)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 8% 11.90    
THUNDERSHOOK Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 Jun30 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
STREET BEHAVIOR Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 Aug03 Jun29 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00    
CREDIT RATING Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 Aug25 Jul21 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
SCOOTER'S BOY Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 (ramaekers e)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
TAG ME Oct12 Sep01 Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
APOLLO BAY Oct27 Oct18 Sep27 Sep08 Aug16 (ibanez alberto)ARANA JOSE 124 10.00    
 
ARP-4   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANIS Oct20 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Jul31 (hibdon mark)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50    
FLYING LADY Oct05 Sep21 Sep13 Aug11 Jun29 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00 16% 5.20    
TIZ A STRATEGY Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Oct05 Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
AZUSA STREET Oct20 Sep19 Aug31 Jul18 Jun27 (vicchrilli russell)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
DANGERELLA Oct20 Aug31 Aug24 Aug16 Aug04 (leon alexis)ARANA MINOR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOLD BREAK Oct04 Aug31 Aug24 Aug18 Jul06 (mckinney ky)IRONEYES R 117 12.00    
FULL MOON BEACH Oct25 Sep18 Aug23 Jul20 Jun30 (dieter dalton)BACHICHA ELIJAH 122 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Oct27 Sep20 Sep07 Apr12 Mar30 (curran randy)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
ARP-5   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHERRY RIVER Sep15 Aug25 Aug08     (oliver kim)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 1.00    
JAKE ON DAKAN Sep21 Sep08 Jul20 Jul07 Jun08 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00    
TIME TO SKIP TOWN Oct18 Sep21 Aug12 Jul31 Jun25 (rushton ste)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 Sep06 Jun09 (rushton stetson)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
OLD FASHION TIME Oct18 Sep21 Dec18 Nov07 Oct18 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
HOLY MISSION Oct18 Oct05 Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 (hall monk)IRONEYES R 119 4.50    
 
ARP-6   11/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNIN BUFFALO Oct18 Oct06 Sep08 Jun08 Nov24 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 121 2.50    
UNCLE JUJU Oct20 Oct13 Sep13 Aug18 Jul28 (rushton stet)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
KICKIN' CHARLIE Oct06 Sep07 Aug30 Aug18 Aug11 (tsosie terrill)CARDENAS JACOB 122 15.00    
B D R BAXTER Sep15 Apr30       (scudder j)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 12.00    
RIDIN SOLO Oct05 Aug29 Aug10 Aug01 Jul11 (mitchell r)ARANA MINOR 122 5.00    
SECOND NATURE Sep22 Sep01 Aug17 Jul13 Jun30 (tsosie terrill)RAMOS B 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
PRINCE OTTO Oct20 Oct06 Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
NIGHT TERROR Oct06 Sep02 Aug03 Jun22 Jun02 (dieter dalt)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE Oct20 Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 Aug11 (lemburg mar)IRONEYES R 119 3.50    
10  LETS ROCK N STROLL Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 Aug12 Jul13 (dieter dalton)BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.