Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(6/8/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(6/8/2/4)-(10/1/4/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4)-(6/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/4)-(10/1/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/4)-(10/1/4/7/2)-(5/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (10/1/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/4/7/2)-(10/1/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/4/7/2)-(10/1/4/7/2)-(10/1/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/4/7/2)-(5/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/1/4/7/2)-(5/6/3)-(3/7/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(3/7/5/8)-(7/5/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8)-(3/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/8)-(7/5/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/8)-(7/5/6/8)-(3/12/5/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8)-(7/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/8)-(3/12/5/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/12/5/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/12/5/1/7)-(3/12/5/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/12/5/1/7)-(3/12/5/1/7)-(3/12/5/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVRIL         (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of SWEET EIRE by TRUST N LUCK)
2  MISS SMARTY Z Sep21         (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of ZAHAVA by JUMP START)
3  GINGERSAYSCHILL         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by WINCHILL out of CROWN GINGER by ESKENDEREYA)
4  QUERY         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of BLACK COCO by CAPE TOWN)
5  IRACEBETH         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of THAT JONES GIRL by SMARTY JONES)
6  PRINCESS JESSICA         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of JESSICA'S TAK by MUTAKDDIM)
7  QUERCUS         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 4.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of BELLFLOWER by CHEROKEE RUN)
8  FIFTY NINE FIFTY         (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 12.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
PEN-2   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Sep27 Sep13 Aug10 Jul20 Jun27 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 125 10.00    
2  BLAME CATALAYA Sep14 Aug30 Jul17 Jun19 May30 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  EARLY FROST Sep29 Aug28 Mar14 Feb29 Feb02 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00    
4  LA RUNA Sep28 Aug22 Feb23 Feb04 Jan18 (lucas bonnie)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BETWEEN DREAMS Sep27 Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 Jul03 (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00    
6  MELODIOUS SINGER Aug14 Jul10 Mar14 Feb29 Nov02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
7  ZIFFY BUG Sep19 Sep11 Sep04 Aug24 Aug07 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 8.00    
8  TALK MUCH Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 4.50 13% 7.00    
 
PEN-3   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Jul05 May22 May08 Mar15 Dec13 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
2  HENRYTHETHIRD Sep30 Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 Jul15 (bullock jordan )BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GIVE IT A GO Sep27 Sep14 Sep02 Aug11 Jul27 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00    
4  KBCYA LATER Sep29 Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 6% 16.50    
5  TEXTPECTATION Sep17 Jun27 Jun12 May18 May08 (morzan)GONZALEZ JR 121 30.00    
6  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Sep28 Sep17 Aug23 Jul26 Jun28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 6.00    
7  BERMONDSEY Sep11 Aug16 Jul05 Jun20 May05 (nunley ra)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Jul25 Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 May10 (sinnefia pa)RAMOS O 118 6.00    
9  ELVIRUS Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug20 Aug02 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 121 10.00    
10  OVER AND THUNDER Aug28 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 Jun06 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  MIGHTY MINION Aug23 Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 Jun06 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 15.00    
SCR  ENTRUST Aug10 Aug03 Jul12 Jun23 May11 (gorham michael )MENA E 121 5.00    
 
PEN-4   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARMONIZING Aug11 Aug04 Jul12 Jun21 Jun02 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00    
2  STYLE TO FOLLOW Oct11 Sep07 Aug02 Jul04 Jun14 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 3.50    
3  OLIVIA DEE Aug22 Aug14 Jun26 May16 Mar14 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00 5% 18.00    
4  LASTCHANCE ROMANCE Jul11 Jun19 May31 May03 Mar21 (stowers michelle)FLORES E 118 6.00    
5  LEVISA Sep04 Jul21 Feb07 Dec30 Nov18 (sillaman ri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  RAPID RUBY Oct02 Aug24 Jun15 Apr24 Sep01 (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-5   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WICKED STREET Aug29 Jun19 May31 Mar08 Feb07 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50    
2  ILLUSION OF HOPE Sep13 May16 Mar08 Feb11 Jan13 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 8.00    
3  SHINELIKEADIAMOND May09 Feb18 Jan13 Dec10 Dec03 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 3.00 67% 0.50    
4  LONDON LADY Oct05 Aug21 Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 6.00    
5  TESTED POSITIVE Oct09 Oct02 Sep22 Sep13 Mar29 (morzan e)AGUILAR M 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  STORMY SPELL Feb29 Jan26 Dec29 Dec13 Nov22 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 125 4.00    
7  PHANCY PHILLY Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul24 Jun03 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00 6% 15.80    
8  THUNDER BOSS Oct04 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun11 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOP TO A DECISION Oct10 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 May15 (harigeorgi)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 15.00    
2  NINETYNINECARATS Sep27 Sep01 Jul04 Jun13 May03 (carrascojr vict)MENA E 118 2.50    
3  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Oct09 Sep16 Aug29 Jul24 Jun30 (bedard alan)BOWMAN ADAM 121 10.00    
4  BO RUNKLE Oct05 Aug30 Aug21 Sep07 Jul28 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 125 8.00    
5  WARRIOR BERNICE Sep16 Aug30 Jul10 Jun25 Feb22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
6  CLOUDY BAY Sep27 Sep15 Aug22 Aug02 Jul11 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00 8% 10.80    
7  CATALINA CRUZIN Oct07 Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 Jul08 (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  HIGH FASHION LADY Oct02 Aug21 Jul16 Apr22 Apr10 (morzan javi)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
 
PEN-7   10/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMBER OF SECRETS         (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00 10% 9.20    
2  ZIPPY DO DA DAY Oct10 Sep22 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 (samaniego)HERNANDEZ A 125 4.50    
3  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL Aug29 Aug15 Jul09 Jun06 May17 (crane clovis)FLORES E 125 4.00 30% 2.30    
4  BAINBRIDGE DANCER Aug29 Aug15 May30 Nov18   (crane clovis)CORA D 125 6.00    
5  MARYVIC Oct09 Sep02 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 (soto- marti)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  RED BETTY Oct08 Aug15 Jul24 Jul17   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
7  MY HUNNY BUNNY Sep21 Sep14 Aug15 Jun04 Oct13 (pattersha)RODRIGUEZ R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BURY THE LEDE Sep16 Sep02 Jul24 Jan31 Dec26 (o'callah)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
9  PELOSI Sep11 Aug29 Dec27 Nov17   (martin charles)CONNER TYLER 125 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN LIMONCELLO Aug21         (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 12.00    
SCR  NEVER MORE VALOR Aug10 Jul20 Jul07 Jun15 May03 (meister s)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
12  HEAVENLY LADY Oct10         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.