Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (9/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/6)-(9/4/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/6)-(9/4/7/6/2)-(9/4/7/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/7/6)-(7/9/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/6)-(7/9/6/5/10)-(8/5/3/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-2   WIN (7/9/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/6/5/10)-(7/9/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/6/5/10)-(7/9/6/5/10)-(7/9/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/6/5/10)-(8/5/3/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/9/6/5/10)-(8/5/3/7/4)-(1/9/7/5/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-3   WIN (8/5/3/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/7/4)-(8/5/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/7/4)-(8/5/3/7/4)-(8/5/3/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/3/7/4)-(1/9/7/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/7/4)-(1/9/7/5/3)-(5/3/2/7/6) 125 $1.00 $125 
DED-4   WIN (1/9/7/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/5/3)-(1/9/7/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/5/3)-(1/9/7/5/3)-(1/9/7/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/7/5/3)-(5/3/2/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/5/3)-(5/3/2/7/6)-(2/6/4/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
DED-5   WIN (5/3/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7/6)-(5/3/2/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7/6)-(5/3/2/7/6)-(5/3/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7/6)-(2/6/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7/6)-(2/6/4/10)-(6/1/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-6   WIN (2/6/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/10)-(2/6/5/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/10)-(2/6/5/4/10)-(2/6/5/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/4/10)-(6/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/10)-(6/1/4/2)-(7/2/12/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(7/2/12/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-8   WIN (7/2/12/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/12/3/5)-(7/2/12/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/12/3/5)-(7/2/12/3/5)-(7/2/12/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   10/17/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENSAS LU LU Aug23 Jul06 Jun21 May19 May03 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
BIND ON EARTH Sep10 Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 May30 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 120 4.50    
STORMY VALENTINE Aug23 Jul27 Jun28 Jun13 Apr25 (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
TWO JET Sep25 Aug20 Aug05 Jul13 Jun20 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
DEBBIES PASSAGE Aug23 Jun08 May17 Feb22 Feb08 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 12.00    
FITZY Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 May29 May04 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN CATALINA Aug10 Jun29 May24 May09 Mar10 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS TARGET Sep04 Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Sep09 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
CANKTON'S COWGIRL Aug23 Jul27 Jun29 May31 May09 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
10  USAIN D'ORO Aug24 Jul12 Jun22 May31 May01 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
SCR  VIV'S WILD ACES Aug05 Jun25       (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
 
DED-2   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD EXAGGERATION Aug28 Aug02 Jun07 May13 Apr06 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 120 4.50    
SCR  MRS. NECAISE Aug24 Aug02 Jun21 May15 Apr20 (ladner her)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 20.00    
JAYDYN CAT Aug23 Jun21 May24 Apr25 Feb15 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 3.00    
LADY OF DEVON Sep18 Aug26 Sep23 Aug13 Jul16 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 6.00    
CRANKY SHEILA Sep16 Aug13 Jul03 Jun16 May31 (bryant g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC GLASS Aug11 Jun30 Apr12 Mar22 Dec27 (morris rowdy)LOZADA CARLOS 120 12.00 6% 16.40    
MALIBU TOAST May29 Apr20 Jan12 Dec19 Oct26 (noel dane)ROSIER R 120 3.50 57% 0.80    
EASY BET Aug24 Aug10 Jul18 Jun29 Apr27 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 112 12.00    
FUNTIMEGIRL Sep16 Aug13 Jul15 Apr26 Apr06 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
10  FREEFORM Aug24 Jul05 Jun21 May15 May01 (daigle walte)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS GOLD Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 Jul14 Jun30 (rengstorf to)MURRAY M 118 10.00    
 
DED-3   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE BO Jul01 Jun12 May04 Mar13 Dec22 (daigle walte)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
KATIES FACTOR Aug10 Aug01 Jun21 May03 Apr10 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00    
MISS DISTINCTIVE Aug22 Aug10 Jul31 Jun21 Jun15 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
CARPE HORSESHOE Jul15 Jun15 May19 May11 Apr28 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
FULL SPIRIT Sep09 Aug16 Aug05 Jul27 Jun24 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 18% 4.70    
ROSY EDGE Sep16 Sep28 Jul30 Jul08 May12 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 120 10.00    
LOVE OF MY HEART Sep25 Aug06 Jul01 Jun05 Feb18 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 10.00 7% 13.80    
WON DAY Jul25 Jul13 Jun28 May10 Mar14 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
MISCHIEF ANGEL Sep23 Sep11 Aug24 Jun30 Jun15 (rangel raul)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
10  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 Jun25 May27 (larrosa a)BIRZER E 120 10.00    
SCR  CATO'S LADY Sep26 Sep14 Aug22 Jul27 Jun30 (rengstorf to)MURRAY M 120 10.00    
 
DED-4   10/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTROOM Sep09 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 May23 (landry allen)MAGNON H 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
AURORA AUSTRALIS Sep26 Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 May07 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
COSTA LADY Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun22 May25 (boxie s)FUSILIER C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
OAK HILL SENIORITA Jul19 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 Mar16 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 12.00    
NICE LIKE MICHELLE Sep18 Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 (cormier card)BARRERA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BEAT THE DOUBLE May30 Apr24 Apr10 Mar09 Feb16 (zenon shelton)PEREZ CARLOS 119 20.00    
RULED BY SPIRIT Sep14 Aug16 Jun08 May04 Jan11 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 8.00 6% 17.10    
GIANT TUDE Sep09 Jul26 Jun07 May23 May11 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
EVERYLITTLESINGH Sep09 Aug31 Jul01 Jun12 May27 (singh s)SINGH R 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
10  MY IDEA Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
 
DED-5   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUFFIN NUTS Aug14 Jul03 Jun14 May25 May10 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 117 4.00    
LIKEN IT Sep14 Aug09 Jun27 May11 Apr13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 6.00 12% 7.00    
DRIED PEPPER Sep11 Aug12 Jul17 Jun18 May18 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
CREOLE CHARLIE Jul26 Jun10 May09 Apr18 Mar22 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 117 12.00    
BANKROLL Aug24 Jul26 Jul09 May31 Nov10 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
JAZZY JUSTIN Aug14 Jul19 May03 Apr11 Feb17 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
TALK TO TOKEY Jul06 Jun20 May30 May08 Nov08 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 7% 12.60    
EASY BIG BOY Sep18 Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 May07 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
SUPREME CAPO Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Mar09 (sauceda jess)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
10  TOP OF MY GAME Sep28 Aug17 Jul14 Jun30 Apr17 (litfin veronica)MCMAHON J 120 12.00    
SCR  IN THE ARCH Sep14 Sep01 Jun23 Jun02 May18 (rengstorf to)MURRAY M 120 8.00    
SCR  POMEROY HAZE Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul17 Jun23 (govea ce)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
 
DED-6   10/17/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED IDOL Sep03 Aug09 Jun15 May11 Apr17 (cormier card)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
CAJUN AMI Jun15 Jun01 May17 Apr19 Feb10 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 4.50 53% 0.90    
MIDNIGHT HALO Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 May10 Apr27 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
J B GRAY Sep25 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAINT GABRIEL Aug03 Jun28 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 5.00    
TAKE CHARGE J J Jun01 May04 Mar23 Feb24 Feb08 (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
THROWIN' SHADE Jul04 Jun06 May17 Apr19 Apr05 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
COURT JESTER Aug14 Jun13 May22 Apr26 Feb24 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 3.00    
GAMER NATE Aug14 Jul12 Jun01 Mar23 Mar02 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 118 5.00    
10  MO CREDO Aug14 Jul19 Jun06 May18 Mar06 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NATIVE STAR Aug09 Jun29 Jun14 Feb24 Jan06 (gelner scot)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
SCR  A MILLION STARS Aug13 Jun10 May04 Jul09 May06 (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
 
DED-7   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE IS A BANQUET Aug10 Jul18 May31 Feb03 Dec20 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
HAP HOT Sep26 Sep05 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 (rengstorf tony)BIRZER E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
JOSH'S DREAM Aug14 Jun23 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 115 10.00    
NO WHITE FLAGS Aug14 Jan12 Nov28 Oct13 Sep02 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 9% 10.60    
STRONG PROMISE Jun01 May04 Mar23 Dec31 Dec09 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
GOOD AND STOUT Jul04 Jun01 May04 Mar23 Feb24 (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 6.00 40% 1.50    
B MINOR Aug09 Jul24 May25 May08 Apr24 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50    
LIKE THIS May04 Apr18 Mar09 Feb17 Jan18 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 8.00    
 
DED-8   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C LLAM Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 May31 (mojica edit)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 15.00    
AWESOME BECCA Aug23 Jul20 Jun15 May15 Apr18 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
UNLUCKY IN LOVE Jul07 Jun07 May17 Apr21 Mar29 (coats james )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WAABOO Sep26 Sep16 Aug05     (winslow janine)SINGH R 122 15.00    
BALITRIX Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun08 (vincent ja)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCAMPERING MA'AM Sep26 Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 5.00    
DIAMOND COUNTRY Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 May22 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 4.50 43% 1.30    
CHARLUCHE Aug24 Sep15 Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 122 4.00    
SCR  DR. BOO Aug24 Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 May25 (chatters benar)PEREZ CARLOS 114 12.00    
10  SWEET THIRTEEN Aug16         (woodley j)ROSIER R 119 15.00    
SCR  HONEY PAT Sep04 Aug20 Jul17 Jul01 Jun12 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 20.00    
12  TAYLORS MAGIC Apr27 Apr06 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 (briley lon)RAMIREZ JR 117 8.00 8% 11.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.