Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/7/1)-(10/3/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(10/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(10/3/8/5)-(3/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/8/5)-(10/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/8/5)-(10/3/8/5)-(10/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/8/5)-(3/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/3/8/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(4/3/6/10/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/5)-(4/3/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(4/3/6/10/7)-(3/8/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/3/6/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/10/7)-(4/3/6/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/10/7)-(4/3/6/10/7)-(4/3/6/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/10/7)-(3/8/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/10/7)-(3/8/2/1)-(2/4/1/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/1)-(2/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/1)-(2/4/1/6)-(7/5/2/10/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(7/5/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/2/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/10/4)-(7/5/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/10/4)-(7/5/2/10/4)-(7/5/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNOINTED Aug11 Jun30 Jun06 May10 Apr05 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.50 23% 3.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of AMBROSIA by FLAT OUT)
2  HURRICANE JIM Jul27         (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 30.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of LAST SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  EL REY DE PAPA Jul27 Sep01 Aug11     (cornwell jr)CULLUM W 124 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of TIME TO WINK by GIMMEAWINK)
4  BLOOD BROTHER Sep19 Aug22 Jul04 Jun16 May23 (viands stace)LEWIS M 116 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PINE NEEDLES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  WELL SPOTTED Sep28 Aug22 Apr12 Feb17 Feb01 (viands r)ACOSTA D 121 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of JUST LOVELY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  LOCOMOTIVE Sep06 Aug17       (djuric st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by J J'S LUCKY TRAIN out of ATLANTIC RAINBOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  NO BRAKE NEEDED Sep19 Aug22 Jul27 Jun13 May26 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 4.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CT-2   10/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIZE FIGHTER Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul06 Jun27 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  JAZZ MAN DO Jul27 Jul06 Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 50.00    
SCR  PICTOR Aug01 Jul04 May30 May15 May02 (beattie cody)HO WESLEY 122 2.50    
4  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Oct04 Aug28 Jul26 Jun08 May03 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50    
5  SHIP THE GOODS Sep21 Sep12 Aug24 Jul20 Jun08 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 1.60 46% 1.20    
6  SUPER JORDAN Mar27 Mar13 Jan31 Dec02 Aug17 (carson )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
7  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Sep26 Jul06 Jun20 May25 Apr13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
 
CT-3   10/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASON ALEXANDER Sep26         (barahona isaac)CHILO MAXIMO 121 30.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  PEDAL TO THE MOON Oct05 Jul12       (pyke joseph)MAYHEW W 121 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
3  DIVA'S DEMON Sep26 Aug15 Jul11 Jun21   (stehr joseph )THORPE DARIUS 121 6.00 8% 11.60    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
4  JACK AND JUBA         (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 121 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
5  MIST OVER CORK         (figgins o)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  SHUFFLE Aug15 Jul11       (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 20.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of NUMEROUS MOVES by NUMEROUS)
7  MEGS GOLDEN BOY Oct05 Sep19 Aug24 Aug16 Jul20 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
8  BIG JOE B Sep26 Aug15 Jul12 Jun28 Jun21 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  BIG BOY OVI Aug15 Jul12 Jun21 May17 May03 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
10  WISHFUL THOUGHTS Sep26         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 1.20 61% 0.60    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  EL PROFETO         (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADYFROMHAVANA by PUT IT BACK)
 
CT-4   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY MIRACLE MAN Aug12 Jul15 Jun15 May18 Apr14 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.40    
2  ENVISION SUCCESS Mar28 Jan04 Dec15 Dec06 Jul14 (hummer richa)LEWIS M 117 50.00    
3  REBELDE Aug16 Jul21 Feb01 Dec23 Oct15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 34% 1.90    
4  MAKE WAY Oct10 Sep20 Mar28 Feb14 Jan24 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 12.00    
5  COUSIN BOB May04 Jan10 Dec08 Oct25 Sep07 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISTER WINSTON Sep21 Aug16 Jul26 Jun13 May24 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 8.00 26% 2.90    
7  YABBA DABBA DUDE Sep26 Sep03 Sep30 Aug26 Jul27 (heath georg)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 10.00 16% 5.40    
8  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jul26 May31 Jan31 Jan24 Jan04 (straughn wi)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
 
CT-5   10/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Sep26 Aug17 Jul12 Jun15 May31 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
2  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Sep26 Sep03 Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 20.00    
3  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Sep26 Aug01 Jun28 Jun07 May24 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Sep26 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 (brown ron)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  HAPPY YEARS Sep27 Sep20 Jun15 May31 May03 (knoblauch-pe)LEWIS M 117 15.00    
6  DOCTOR PARDO Sep20 Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
7  JUST A FLIRT Sep27 Aug16 Jul12 Jul05 Jun01 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  STRONG LIL KOKORO Sep26 Jun03 May10 Mar07 Feb15 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 30.00    
9  AIR MEDAL Sep26 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 May31 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
10  MOON FALL Sep26 Sep13 Aug17 Jul25 Jun28 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  MALEKES MAGIC Oct10 Sep13 Aug17 Jul18 Jun22 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
SCR  TIMO Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul16 Jun16 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-6   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TREJO Sep27 Jun20 May23 May04 Apr11 (picket)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Jul07 Jun15 May09 Apr05 Feb29 (figgins oll)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 2.50 10% 9.30    
3  YANGARRA Oct11 Sep20 Sep12 Aug22 Aug15 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 30% 2.40    
4  SHAMELESS APPEAL Sep27 Aug17 Jul12 Mar21 Oct27 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
5  JACK CLOUD Sep27 Sep13 Aug24 Jul03 Jun01 (allen )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00    
6  HE ROLLS Sep27 Aug22 Jul27 Feb08 Jan12 (collyer jami)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
7  I HAD ENOUGH Aug31 Aug24 Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 (robb gina)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
8  SIDNEY'S BID Oct09 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Aug01 (nambo cesar)LUGO JR 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
CT-7   10/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O'CONNER SUNSET Aug23 Aug01 Jul08 Jun22 May21 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEBIT CARD Sep14 Aug23 Jul26 Jun12 Mar18 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 1.00 36% 1.80    
3  GUN COLLECTOR Aug23 Aug04 Jul05 Jun04 May09 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 3.50    
4  IBRIM Oct06 Aug04 Jun27 Jun02 May14 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
5  PAYMENGOLD Sep19 Jul12 Jun06 May17 Apr04 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00    
6  MOTIVATING Aug23 Jul26 Jun29 May30 Apr18 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  OVERLY CRITICAL Oct03 Sep01 May16 Apr15 Feb21 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
8  HAPPY CLOUDS Aug23 Jul28 Jun21 May04 Oct27 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00    
 
CT-8   10/17/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY RIA Sep20 Aug16 Jun06 Apr27 Mar15 (grams t)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00    
2  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Oct01 Aug16 Jun27 Jun06 May23 (sanderson wade)CHILO MAXIMO 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  LA MADDALENA Sep19 Aug15 Jul25 Nov04 Oct13 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 3.00    
4  SPECIAL KAYLEE May02 Apr18 Feb02 Jan12 Dec15 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ODDS ON MISCHIEF Sep20 Aug15 Jul25 Apr18   (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  SPIRIT ON THE WIND Sep20 Aug16 Jun27 Jun06 May16 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 12.00    
7  FUNNY ROAD Sep19 Jul26       (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  KEY TO THE CASTLE Sep20 Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun08 (espinosa vic)LEWIS M 115 12.00    
9  K'S LANEE Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 (meeks karl)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00    
10  BLUSHING BIP BOP Oct03 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BUTTERFLY WORLD Oct05 Sep19 Aug16 Jul25 Jun30 (brown ronney )BATISTA C 122 10.00    
SCR  BEVERLY'SACTINUP Oct08 Sep15 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 (meeks kar)BOCACHICA J 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.