Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/8)-(10/9/8/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/8)-(10/9/8/11/2)-(2/9/10/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-2   WIN (10/9/8/11/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/8/11/2)-(10/9/8/11/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/8/11/2)-(10/9/8/11/2)-(10/9/8/11/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/8/11/2)-(2/9/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/8/11/2)-(2/9/10/3)-(9/8/6/10/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/10/3)-(2/9/10/11/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/10/3)-(2/9/10/11/3)-(2/9/10/11/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/10/3)-(9/8/6/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/10/3)-(9/8/6/10/2)-(11/8/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/8/6/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/10/2)-(9/8/6/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/10/2)-(9/8/6/10/2)-(9/8/6/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/6/10/2)-(11/8/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/10/2)-(11/8/9/7)-(11/3/8/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-5   WIN (11/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/8/9/7)-(11/8/9/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/8/9/7)-(11/8/9/1/7)-(11/8/9/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/8/9/7)-(11/3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/8/9/7)-(11/3/8/1/2)-(4/7/5/6/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-6   WIN (11/3/8/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/8/1/2)-(11/3/8/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/8/1/2)-(11/3/8/1/2)-(11/3/8/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/8/1/2)-(4/7/5/6/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LAD-7   WIN (4/7/5/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/6/8)-(4/7/5/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/6/8)-(4/7/5/6/8)-(4/7/5/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/24/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINE YOUR BIZ Aug27 Jul27 Jun15 May08 Mar21 (peterson jes)MURRAY M 124 12.00    
ONE MORE SLEEP Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 May02 Apr17 (romero d)POMPELL L 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
SLEW CITY HENRY Sep10 Aug14 Jul02 Jun05 May18 (jarvis rob)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
TACTICAL VISION Sep03 Jun15 May11 Jan26 Jan04 (zenon sh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
SCR  ITS WILD AGAIN Aug27 Jul27 Jul29 May13 Apr28 (peterson jes)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
PICASSO BABY Sep09 Aug26       (west patricia)LOZADA CARLOS 121 5.00 6% 16.30    
SAUCER EYES Aug27 Aug07 Jun26 May29 May15 (gomez rafael )VARGAS P 124 4.50    
COLT'S BRIM Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Jun19 Jun10 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   09/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR INDIAN GIRL Aug06 Jul01 Jun11 May14 Mar15 (peterson jes)MURRAY M 118 20.00    
THE CAT CAME BACK Jul06 Feb19 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ON THE MONEY LUV Aug16 Jul30 Jul04 Jun24 May29 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00    
WHEELNDEALNSTEALN Sep03 Aug26       (mickelson jud)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 30.00    
INEZ Sep10 Aug06 Jul03 Jun08 May27 (jarvis robert)FLORIAN JOSE 113 8.00    
SHELBI'S STAR Aug16 Jun29       (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 30.00    
KRAFTY TAFFY Jul26 Jun29 May25 May08   (peterson jessie)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00    
QUART HIGH Jul30 Jun18 May21 Jan26 Dec15 (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 4.50 9% 9.90    
E R'S MIREYA Aug22 May27 May04 Jan25 Jan06 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  FAYE L. Aug06 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Apr10 (mojica)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 50% 1.00    
11  TRUE CONTENDER         (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 10.00 5% 18.20    
12  COWGIRL QUEEN Jul04         (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
 
LAD-3   09/24/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RONA VISION Aug26 Jul01 Apr18 Feb09 Dec27 (nixon w)GREEN AUBRIE 124 20.00    
RADIANT REBEL Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 (balderas alfo)LOZADA CARLOS 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
DREAMINGTOBEASTAR         (gomez jorge)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
CHUCHI Aug22 Jun22 Apr18 Mar20 Mar01 (ellis j)HERNANDEZ V 124 4.50    
TWIDDLY Sep04 Jul09       (nelson eri)RAMIREZ JR 119 20.00    
THE LADY BULLS EYE Aug21 Jul30 Jun08 May07 Feb21 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
SYMPHANY VERGEE         (vincent ja)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 30.00    
SCR  MEG'S LADYBUG         (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
LEXI'S FURY Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 Jan12 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 5.00 35% 1.80    
10  COUSHATTA CUTIE Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 Oct27   (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  DAT'S A GOODE ONE Aug27 Jul05 Jun08     (borel renay)BOREL H 121 6.00    
12  ALESSANDE Aug17 Jul26 Apr24 Feb24 Jan19 (constantine car)POMPELL L 121 12.00    
13  NIGHT TIZZY Sep14 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jun12 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 8.00    
 
LAD-4   09/24/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME ON COME ON Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul26 Jun10 (hirdes j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
BERRYVILLE BULLET Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 (dixon tim)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEVER OVER ME Sep09 Aug05 Jul03 Jun22 Sep12 (jacks kare)RAMIREZ JR 119 3.50    
HOWIT HAPPENED Aug14 Jun19       (duhon o)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 4.50    
WINDTAPPER WIN Sep09 Aug13 Jul15 Dec13 Nov04 (dixon tim)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 20.00    
PINCH HITTER Sep03 Aug13 Aug02 Jul05 May16 (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 124 15.00 12% 7.10    
MOR JAZZ Aug26 Aug08 Jul05 Nov19 Oct26 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00    
STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Aug17 Jul05 Jun05 May14 Apr12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
EL SMOOCH Aug28 Aug14 Jun15 May04 Feb25 (pish danny)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
10  BAD DECISIONS Sep09 Aug14 Jul04 Aug06 Jun10 (cangemi dani)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00 11% 8.00    
 
LAD-5   09/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CZAR'S BALLERINA Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Mar01 Feb08 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 122 6.00    
CALAJA Sep09 Jun04 May21 May08 Feb08 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
HOT PATOOTIE Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 Jun17 Jun05 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 20.00    
KENYA STRIKE Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 Dec09 Nov09 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
IRONIT Aug22 Jun17 May27 May14 Mar16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 5.00    
ALLIACEOUS Aug27 Jul29 Jun07 Apr26 Feb16 (bryant george)WADE LYNDIE 122 8.00    
DARLING JOANNA Sep09 Aug26 Jan15 Dec09 Sep03 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET SASSICAIA Aug10 May24 Mar24 Feb22 Jan21 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
FORT POLK Jun17 May21 Mar24 Feb23 Feb03 (balderas alf)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LIGHTENING MO Sep04 Jul23 Jun06 May11 Apr13 (nelson eric )MURRAY M 122 20.00    
11  MUCHMORETHANREADY May03 Mar24 Feb03 Dec29 Dec06 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 4.50 41% 1.40    
12  MISS KENNEDY Aug19 Jul16 Jun17 May07 Mar10 (duke steve)RAMIREZ JR 117 15.00    
 
LAD-6   09/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC EMBRACE Aug12         (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 116 12.00 6% 14.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WANNA CUDDLE by LEESTOWN)
CUSTOM V K W         (devereux patr)VARGAS P 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of DAISY AGAIN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
HINT OF FRIPPERY Aug03         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KATY'S REVENGE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  HOLIDAY CRUISE Aug14 Jul14 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 (mallery vonn)MURRAY M 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of JEMROSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
GLORYLAND         (johnson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AL'S ROSIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
I'MAFOOLFORUBABY         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 12.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of TANTE MAUSIE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  PEPPERMINT BITES Jul23         (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 114 6.00    
  (by UPSTART out of ABUNDANCEOFCAUTION by KITTEN'S JOY)
GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 May25   (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50 7% 13.40    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
SHEZA LUNATIC         (jeane scott)MAGNON H 119 20.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of UNUSUAL STRIKE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
10  CLEVER RACE Sep02 Aug12 Jul24 Jun28   (nixon w)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 20.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of CLEVER MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
11  MISCHIEF PRINCESS Jul23         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GYPSY PRINCESS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  MARIELITA         (silva walter)PEREZ CARLOS 114 20.00    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of FAMILYOFROSES by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
 
LAD-7   09/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOMPSON Apr27 Mar23 Feb11 Dec10 Oct28 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
OVERBORE Sep04 Jul24 Jun02 May09 Apr10 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
CASH HOLIDAY Jun30 Jun08 May04 Apr21 Jan28 (zenon shelton)FLORIAN JOSE 116 6.00    
MONEYSTRIKE Sep04 Jul13 Jun19 May27 May04 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
SILVER ASSASSIN Sep04 Aug14 Jul16 Jun21 May25 (jacks e)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 4.50 8% 12.30    
CHENTI Aug22 Aug02 Jun28 Oct21 Jun10 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 124 20.00 6% 17.00    
BLESSED VISION Aug12 Jul16 Jul04 Jun24 May28 (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 13% 6.90    
MOON WATCH (IRE) Sep14 Aug10 Jul12 Oct14 Aug31 (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
REV TOO Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 May27 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 12.00    
10  MAX IS G MONEY Sep04 Jul17 Jun06 Apr26 Mar21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.