Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - September 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(4/6/5/3)-(2/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/3)-(2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/3)-(2/1/7/4)-(4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/4)-(4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4)-(4/5/8)-(4/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/3/8)-(4/5/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(4/2/1/5)-(7/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (4/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/5)-(7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/5)-(7/3/2)-(3/10/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/2)-(7/3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/2)-(3/10/7/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/10/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/5/4)-(3/10/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/5/4)-(3/10/7/5/4)-(3/10/7/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH FREDDIE Jul29 Jun03 Jan12 Dec08 Nov22 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 124 12.00 14% 6.00    
DEE'S LEGS Aug21 Aug06 Jun25 Jun12 May18 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00    
C F HENRY Aug27 May09 Jan13 Dec16 Nov29 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 121 6.00    
CHAOTIC JACK Sep09 Jul20 Jun14 May24 Apr20 (klanfer alan)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 6% 16.90    
VERO CAMPIONE Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 Mar16 Feb25 (duke steven)VARGAS P 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  LIVE AFFAIR Jul16 Jun25 Jun01 May04 Feb08 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
EL IT Aug27 Aug10 Jul20 Jun21 May16 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 124 3.50    
 
LAD-2   09/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALDINA DREAMS Sep03 Jul23 Jul03 Jun02 May18 (payne dann)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.50    
LUCKY MOON DOG Jul29 Nov25 Oct26 Sep03 Jul23 (johnso)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.00    
A'DEBRIS Aug23 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 May18 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
MUNNINGS CATSLE Sep02 Jun26 May27 Feb21   (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
COLE SPUR Sep03 Sep08 Aug11 Jul30 Jul14 (rufino eusebio)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
TEXAS TURBINE Aug28 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
J'S LITTLE MAN Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 Aug26 (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 124 10.00    
 
LAD-3   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIERRA BLANCA Jun16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Aug14 (milligan all)BARRERA J 121 10.00 14% 6.40    
REAUX BINA Jul27 Jul13 Jun20 May25 May11 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
THURSDAY MORNING Aug20 Mar01 Feb11 Dec15 Nov16 (soto fermi)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 15.00    
SAINT ISABEL Aug10 Jul24 Jun18 Jun04 Apr18 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
KANCANCUTIE May18 Feb23 Feb02 Jan04 Aug06 (bruno dona)RAMIREZ JR 119 2.50    
LADY OF DEVON Aug26 Sep23 Aug13 Jul16   (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 3.50    
RONNIE'S DEAL Aug12 Jul17 Jun27 May15 Apr28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
LAD-4   09/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAL ME OVER Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jun04 May20 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 119 4.00    
I'M ALL MIXED UP Sep03 Jul29 Jun25 Jun11 May22 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 15.00    
LITTLE Z Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
SHE BADGER Aug13 Jul09 Jun04 May14 Feb24 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
GYPSYROSELEE Aug13 Jul29 May28 May13 Feb23 (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ V 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  ADDI BUG Sep04 Jun11 May22 Apr18 Mar13 (gomez c)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 3.50    
MO DIXIE DIVA Aug27 Aug12 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (gomez davi)RAMIREZ JR 119 8.00    
GRACE'S SOLDIER Aug14 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 May15 (zenon sh)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
NATURALBORNSENDER Aug14 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May18 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 122 12.00    
 
LAD-5   09/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMIE'S HALO Aug07 Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 May07 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
BRADFIELD BABY Sep03 Jul10 Jun12 May15 Mar16 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Aug14 Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr24 (richard russe)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
CABRO TORO Aug07 Jul02 Jun05 Jan18 Nov19 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
ALL TOGETHER Jul17 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Feb23 (beavin judy)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
STAR READY Aug20 Aug07 Jun17 May07 Mar20 (balderas alfon)PEREZ CARLOS 117 8.00    
SHADY GRADY Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 Jun24 Jun10 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
 
LAD-6   09/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY SHOES Aug26 Jul23 Jul11 Jun11 May21 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
JACKSON D Aug22 Jun14 Apr27 Mar23 Mar08 (ducoing stur)BARRERA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
BELLO CREEDO Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 May23 Jan06 (landry ray)ROSIER R 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
EASY BIG BOY Jul31 Jul17 Jun24 May07 Apr15 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Aug20 Jul10 May18 Jan18 Jan01 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50    
HE GOTS TO GO Aug21 Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May18 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
SKI PATROL Aug15 Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec10 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 63% 0.60    
CARTHAGE CAJUN Aug14 Jul17 Jun29 May31 May08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 5.00    
 
LAD-7   09/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY IDEA Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
SUGAR CANE GAL Sep10 Aug21 Aug09 Jul20 Jun27 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 121 8.00    
SHEZA SALTY GAL Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00 58% 0.70    
TAKEN IT Aug24 Jun27 Mar09 Feb22 Mar12 (journet alber)VARGAS P 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
NICE LIKE MICHELLE Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 May30 (cormier card)BARRERA J 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
ALL AMERICAN PAT Aug27 Aug16 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
SUM CHARM Aug23 Jul19 Jul06 May30 May15 (ney john)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
TROSKA Aug16 Jul27 Jun22 Jun08 May22 (cormier carde)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
DADDY'S CINDERELLA Aug21 Jul09 Jun11 May29 May14 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 124 20.00    
10  RUN AWAY SAMARI Aug27 Jul02 Jun18 May28 May04 (roberson kevin )WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.