Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - September 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/6/4)-(3/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(3/8/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1)-(3/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/1)-(3/1)-(4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/5/8)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8)-(4/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD MINISTER Aug24 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 Nov14 (chain pearl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  WE WILL CONQUER Aug23 Jul24 Jun19 May27 May14 (armstrong ste)CANUTO THIAGO 123 5.00    
3  WAUHATCHIE Aug23 Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
4  METATRON'S MUSE Aug24 Aug07 Jun26 May25 Oct26 (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 15% 5.70    
5  SWAYBACK JACK Aug02 Jul13 Jun08 May23 May10 (nocero carmino)MURGIA A 120 4.00    
6  ENJOYMENT Aug16 Jul10 Apr24 Mar27 Mar14 (gorostieta cirilo)MCKEE J 123 2.50    
 
BTP-2   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAP TO MY HEART Aug15 Jul25 Jun13 May29 Aug22 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.00    
2  DRUMBEG Sep05 Nov17 Nov03 Oct07 Sep02 (gonzalez a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 5.00    
SCR  BODE'S ROSE Jul04 Jun15 May09 Apr27 Feb28 (anderson l)NAVAS YOEL 122 4.50    
4  SARAH JANE Jul25 Jul04 May31 May18 Apr04 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUCKEYE BLING Jul26 Jun21 Jun07 Sep30 Sep16 (greenhill jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  PRICELESS PICTURE Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 May18 Feb29 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
BTP-3   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVELAND POWER Aug30 Aug09 Jul18 Jun26 Jun12 (lopez e)SERPA ANGEL 122 3.50    
2  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 May30 (bennett rober)CANUTO THIAGO 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
3  GOLDEN FLAG Aug20 Aug01 Jul15 Jun26 May31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 49% 1.00    
4  LUCK OF THE CAT Aug08 Jul11 Dec14 Aug29 Oct07 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  MAN'S CHOICE Aug30 Aug09 Jul29 Jul11 Jun19 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00    
 
BTP-4   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY KEY Aug31 Aug07 Jul13 Jun19 May23 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00    
2  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun29 Jun17 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROYAL DECADENCE Sep05 Aug22 Jul24 Jul06 Jun26 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
4  WHERE IS LISA Aug31 Aug07 Jul27 Jul10 Jun28 (antonuik jerry)SERPA ANGEL 119 2.50 9% 10.40    
5  BENITO Aug31 Aug21 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (dailey ronald)HESS SARA 118 10.00    
6  ROYALLY BITTER Aug31 Jul06 Jun21 May29 May11 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
7  STRIKE PRICE Jul24 Jul13 Jun08 May22 May10 (schuette sheryl)MURGIA A 123 5.00    
 
BTP-5   09/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIO DE PAZ Aug28 Aug01 Jun29 May25 May13 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of AMERICAN ROSE by DIGRESSION)
2  MOON DANCE LAURA Aug28 Aug01       (hernandez rey)SOSA LAUREANO 119 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of BOLD INTENT by SCAT DADDY)
3  GOLD SPIN Aug26         (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.00 60% 0.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  TUENDA Aug17         (ennis john)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 12.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of TUSTARTA by TREMPOLINO)
5  BAYTOWN STORM Aug29 Aug17 May19 May13 Apr26 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 114 2.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CHARMING SHE IS by JOHAR)
6  TRUE COMPANION Jul17 Jul04 Jun15     (dailey ronald)BUSH V 119 8.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of PARTING SHOT by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  PRINCESA STARLET Sep04         (mendieta )CORREA L 119 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of AWESOME STARLET by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  GO TOWN Aug31 Jul30 Jun24 May22   (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 114 3.50 13% 6.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of ZADINA by MALIBU MOON)
 
BTP-6   09/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND ZHOUL Aug31 Aug15 Jul31 Oct06 Aug09 (bennett rober)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  PAYMASTER GENERAL Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 May23 Jan10 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00    
3  WILDCAT DANCER Aug03         (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 2.00 61% 0.60    
4  GRAY TORMENTOR Jul15 Jun27 Jun12 May30 May13 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 120 6.00    
5  GRAY DAY Aug31 Aug15 Jul31 Jul06 Jun27 (evans micha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00 ★    
6  ENTICED BY CHANCE Aug15 Jul31 Jul06 Jun07 May22 (anderson susa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 ★    
7  MR. BALI Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 May31 Feb14 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 4.00    
 
BTP-7   09/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUND THE CHARGE Oct22 Aug04 Jul12 Jun20   (pino michael )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 15.00    
2  SMOKEY LEE Aug09 Mar16 Feb21 Jan31 Jan03 (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 122 12.00    
SCR  POET OF LIFE (IRE) Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 (haehn r)MURGIA A 122 10.00    
4  DEVILS RED Sep05 Aug11 Jul18 Jun20 May17 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
5  MAJOR SPARKS Aug09 May13 Mar07 Feb21 Jan03 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  ONE LUCKY DAY Jul24 Jun27 May29 Jan04 Dec13 (hernandez rey)SOSA LAUREANO 122 8.00    
7  PICKFORD Aug22 Jul10 Jun20 Oct16 Oct02 (conto kevin)BUSH V 122 5.00    
8  COUNT FROST Sep05 Aug08 Jun27 Jun15 Jan26 (caramori ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 6.00 7% 13.20    
SCR  NOT YET CHARLIE Aug16 Jul10 Jun12 Jun01 Apr26 (cline c)OUZTS W 124 3.50    
 
BTP-8   09/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOME R BLESSED Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 Jun12 May23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.50 57% 0.80    
2  AMERICAN PURE Sep05 Jul06 Jun16 Mar17 Feb15 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50 6% 16.30    
3  EL FRANCO Aug08 Jun28 Mar14 Feb16 Jan28 (norris mike)HESS SARA 117 10.00    
SCR  PARKER Sep05 Aug04 Jul20 Jul11 Jun02 (gonzalez a)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 12.00    
5  SERPA Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Mar02 Jan02 (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FALCONS FURY Sep05 Aug17 Jul05 Jun12 May29 (ocasio osvald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 6.00    
7  ORB OF THE BORO Sep04 Aug03 Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
8  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.