Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (2/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/6/1)-(7/1/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/1)-(7/1/8/2/5)-(5/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (7/1/8/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2/5)-(7/1/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2/5)-(7/1/8/2/5)-(7/1/8/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/2/5)-(5/7/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/2/5)-(5/7/1)-(9/1/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(9/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(9/1/2/7)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/2/7)-(9/1/2/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/2/7)-(9/1/2/5/7)-(9/1/2/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/1/2/7)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/2/7)-(3/2/4)-(2/9/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/9/4)-(3/2/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/9/1/5)-(7/4/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/1/5)-(7/4/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (7/4/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/10)-(7/4/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/10)-(7/4/6/10)-(7/4/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOSTER RUN Jun05 Feb10 Dec14 Nov23 Aug21 (munoz yova)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUN SMITTY RUN Aug23 Aug06 Jun28 Jun10 Apr13 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
JACKED Aug09 Jul29 May16 Apr05 Feb23 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 121 4.50    
PINK HIGGINS Jul30 Jun26 Jun10 May20 Feb21 (dunn ra)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00    
WINGS FOR ENO Aug06 Jun30 Jun02 May18 Apr26 (payne danny )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00    
RAUL'S ENCANTO Aug28 Aug07 Jun26 Feb10 Dec20 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  HOMELAND MESSA Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 (jackson dwayne)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
GHOST COWBOY Aug13 Jun22 Jun14 May09 Mar08 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
MY UNCLE LEON Jul15 Jun26 May27 Apr26 Apr13 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 13% 6.40    
 
LAD-2   09/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT ORB Aug07 Jul09 Jun28 Jun19 May27 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
BET ON BOURBON Aug05 Mar03 Feb03 Dec19 Mar26 (alfortish )RAMIREZ JR 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
TAY TAY'S BABY Aug07 Jun28 Jun15 May03 Apr06 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
TEXAS RED BEL Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 Jun23 Jun01 (payne w)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50    
ROYAL BONUS Nov17 Oct28 Oct11 Sep13 Sep04 (soto fermin)FLORIAN JOSE 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 Jul13 Jun27 (melancon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
YOLANDA WHO Aug06 Jul01 May10 Apr28 Apr07 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
ZOOM ERIN Aug07 May29 May14 Mar13 Feb22 (hargrave kenne)PEREZ CARLOS 117 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  FREEZER BURN Jun23 Jun01 Dec02 Oct20 Aug12 (bryant georg)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00    
10  SERIOUSLY SASSY May13 Feb20 Jan06 Dec16 Oct28 (singh s)SINGH R 122 6.00    
 
LAD-3   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSHATTA CUTIE Aug16 Jul27 Oct27     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUGAR CANE GAL Aug21 Aug09 Jul20 Jun27 Jun08 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 121 5.00    
DISCREET DEAL Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 May06 Mar24 (bruno donald )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 12.00    
SCR  GRACE'S VISION Jun27 Jun08 May30 May14 May02 (shamsie mike)HERNANDEZ V 124 15.00    
CUSTOMERUNHAPPY Aug16 Jul26 Jun22 May24 May01 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  TIME TO CLOSE Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun22 Feb15 (celestine char)FLORIAN JOSE 119 8.00    
WHEELS LIKE NALA Jul03 Jun11 May14 Feb15 Dec21 (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
LEXI'S FURY Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 Jan12 Dec22 (duhon jose)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.50    
INEZ Aug06 Jul03 Jun08 May27 Feb07 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
 
LAD-4   09/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN MISCHIEF Aug26 Aug07 Jun26 Jun05 May15 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  BIG TAP BABY Aug21 Aug06 May14 Apr06 Mar21 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 7% 12.70    
HENNESSY WILD Aug23 Aug03 Mar06 Feb17 Dec23 (marechal mer)BARRERA J 121 8.00    
FRIEND'S DO CARE Aug27 Jun17 May14 May06 Apr13 (bruno j)HERNANDEZ V 124 10.00    
AVERY'S GEM Aug17 Jul19 Jun21 May22   (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
KINGPRIN Aug27 Aug06 Jul24 Sep12 Aug27 (romero haro)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 12.00    
SLEW CITY HENRY Aug14 Jul02 Jun05 May18 Apr19 (jarvis rob)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ST PIERRE Aug21 Jul09 May29 May08 Dec17 (duhon o)BOREL H 124 4.50    
DOSS Aug27 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 (de beauville )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
LAD-5   09/10/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER NAP Aug14         (milligan all)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of ELLA'S DREAMING by FIRST DUDE)
GIVE EM HAIL GAYLE Aug14 Jul23 May25     (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by THE HUNK out of SPICY SUPRISE by LATENT HEAT)
SMALL TOWN HEROINE Aug17 Jul27       (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of LADY HEROINE by SEA HERO)
ROSALIESPRODUCTION         (cangemi daniel )WADE LYNDIE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of HOT AND READY by REDDING COLLIERY)
SCR  CRAWFISH BURL Aug17 Jul19       (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 116 8.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SPARTANBURG by SHARP HUMOR)
INSIPID Aug14 Jul19       (jeansonne just)FLORIAN JOSE 111 6.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of DANCE AWAY CAPOTE by CAPOTE)
FUEGO K         (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LAVENDER SKY by MT. LIVERMORE)
LARYSCOUNTRYGIRL         (nixon thom)RAMIREZ JR 114 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of MISCHIEVOUS GIRL by INTO MISCHIEF)
FOXY'S BAY BULLET Aug21 Aug03       (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
  (by BROOKS 'N DOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
LAD-6   09/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIND ON EARTH Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 May30 Apr20 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
OVERCAST Aug17 Dec08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug06 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
A MISS DEAMEANOR Aug17 Jul20 Jul06 May31 May16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50    
GET READY GAL Aug19 Jul09 May11 Apr21 Mar29 (jacks e)VARGAS P 119 2.50    
PAT HAND GIRL Aug12 Jul01 Jun05 May18 Feb25 (hargrave kennet)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTRY BELLE Aug12 Jun11 May13 Mar15 Feb29 (duke steve)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00    
SCR  EMILYHASHERTURN Sep02 Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 May13 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00    
THE CALLING STONE Aug16 Jun01 May11 Mar07 Feb15 (woodley j)ROSIER R 124 5.00    
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Aug23 Aug10 Jun28 May08 Apr20 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
 
LAD-7   09/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Aug24 Aug14 Jul15 Jun27 Jun15 (patt roland )BARRERA J 119 20.00    
CAMPISI Aug28 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (borel renay)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00    
BIRTHDAY PARTY Aug16 Jul20 May22 May02 Apr11 (west henry)FLORIAN JOSE 117 8.00    
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Aug20 Jul15 Jun10 Feb17 Jan20 (beavin judy)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  HOT LE ROY Aug13 Jul10 Jun15 May22 Mar13 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 5.00    
CALL MY BANKER Aug25 Aug04 May30 May04 Apr20 (wong jonatha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
RIFEY Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 May20 May03 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 51% 1.00    
STANS HOME RUN Jul13 Jun16 Jun01 May17 Apr27 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 122 12.00    
SCR  BEER CHASER Jul31 May14 Apr06 Mar01 Feb02 (diodoro rober)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
10  TAYSOM Aug19 Aug06 Jul24 Jul04 Jun10 (degeyter ra)SANTIAGO EDWARD 114 8.00 8% 11.70    
11  DOUBLE TRAP Aug07 Jul02 Jun12 Feb15 Jan20 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.