Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - September 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (6/2/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/8/9)-(6/2/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/8/9)-(6/2/7/8/9)-(6/2/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/7/8/9)-(2/3/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/8/9)-(2/3/5/1)-(7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/1)-(7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/1)-(7/1/3)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/6/3)-(7/1/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(4/1/6)-(3/8/1/9/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-4   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(3/8/1/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(3/8/1/9/4)-(1/6/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LAD-5   WIN (3/8/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/1/9/4)-(3/8/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/1/9/4)-(3/8/1/9/4)-(3/8/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/1/9/4)-(1/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1/9/4)-(1/6/3)-(1/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/9/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/9/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/8)-(1/9/10/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/10/8)-(1/9/10/4/8)-(1/9/10/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   09/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAY JO Jul15 Jun26 Jun08 May05 Apr19 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 4.50    
SUNNY SASSICAIA Jun13 May25 Apr27 Feb18 Jul28 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
METRONOME May29 May07 Apr05 Mar21 Oct26 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 116 15.00    
TAP TO CONNECT Aug05 Jul10 Jun19     (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
MISCHIEVOUS MAX Jul12 Jun10 May25 May17 Apr21 (rufino eusebi)VARGAS P 119 5.00    
DELTA FRONT Aug14 Jun29 Jun08 Apr06 Mar15 (gelner j)WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
FLY RED BIRD FLY         (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 13% 6.60    
COACH SAM P Aug05 Jul03 Jun19 Jun03 May06 (hewitt michae)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 13% 6.60    
RERUN         (witt ii)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAY FOR THE GRAY         (gomez davi)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 121 5.00 5% 18.30    
ALLEGRODIMOLTO Aug12 Jun08 Feb09 Dec29   (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 116 2.00 32% 2.20    
AUBREE'S HALO         (schultz l)BOREL H 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
SHE'S THE SHERIFF Aug23 Jun14 May22 Apr27 Apr12 (silva walter)PEREZ CARLOS 119 6.00    
HONDURAS PASSION Aug21 Jul30 Jul04 Jun11 May29 (wilson melton)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 2.50 16% 5.20    
TWIDDLY Jul09         (nelson r)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 10.00    
MISS GYPSY Aug12         (gomez rafael)BARRERA J 124 15.00    
 
LAD-3   09/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINA Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 May29 May08 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
POWER OF PRAYERS Aug20         (west patricia)VARGAS P 119 8.00    
TRUST FUND BABY Aug12 Jul30 Jul09 Oct29 Oct10 (mickelson jud)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
HONEY PAT Aug20 Jul17 Jul01 Jun12 Apr02 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 121 10.00    
BALITRIX Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun08 May20 (vincent ja)RAMIREZ JR 116 5.00    
CHARMING LEAH Aug20 Aug06 Jun22 Jun07 May19 (jacks karen )BARRERA J 124 3.50    
UTSIRA Aug20 Aug06 Jun28 Jun07 May19 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 49% 1.10    
SHERRYS RIDGE Aug12 Jul06 May11     (rangel)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 6.00    
 
LAD-4   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI KINETIC Jun29 Oct16       (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
IMPRESSIVE BIDDER Aug01         (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 124 12.00    
I AM ON THE LIST Aug13 Jul04 Jun15 Jan07 Dec09 (dunn ashley)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
DISTORTED MATH Jul10 Jun25 Apr25 Jan13 Dec18 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Jul29 Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 May12 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 116 4.50    
SPOONMAN Aug19 Jul29 Oct27 Sep02 Aug06 (borel renay)HERNANDEZ V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAUREAN Aug17 Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 May30 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 5.00    
SUPER EKATI Jul06 May04 Apr05     (love ala)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
 
LAD-5   09/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNDT MARSHMALLOW         (kanhai joseph)SINGH R 121 10.00 7% 12.80    
MO'Z STAR CROSS Jul29 Jul15 Nov30     (broussard j)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 15.00    
MACKAY BOY Aug22 Aug01 Jun14 May25 May09 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 3.00 38% 1.70    
PETITFOR         (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 6% 14.50    
RUN RICE RUN Jan11 Dec21       (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
WILD APRIORITY Aug22 Aug02 Jul04 Jun14 May09 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 122 3.50    
FLASHIN CHIP Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May23 May08 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 6.00    
MYMANROWEN Jul04 Jun03 May22 May08 Jan20 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
BRANDON'S BEST         (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 12.00 7% 12.80    
10  POPPY T Jun25 May13 Feb17 Jan19 Dec14 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
 
LAD-6   09/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'TCALLMEPATSY Aug16 Jul01 May11 Mar07 Mar15 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
GUITAR WOMAN Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 Dec30 Dec01 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
MISS TARGET Nov16 Nov01 Oct12 Sep09 Aug26 (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
LIGHTENING MO Jul23 Jun06 May11 Apr13 Mar16 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00    
SCR  BEULAH K Jun04 May18 Apr26 Mar02 Feb23 (bruno do)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Aug16 Jun21 May31 Apr20 Feb07 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
ADDI BUG Jun11 May22 Apr18 Mar13 Feb23 (gomez c)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00    
 
LAD-7   09/04/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET RIPPED Aug20 Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 May27 (jacks karen )BARRERA J 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
YOU'RE ON MUTE Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 Jun12 May04 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 12.00    
REV TOO Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 May27 Apr21 (milligan allen)FLORIAN JOSE 116 12.00    
MONEYSTRIKE Jul13 Jun19 May27 May04 Apr13 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
SCR  CHENTI Aug22 Aug02 Jun28 Oct21 Jun10 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 124 15.00    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Aug17 Jul25 Jun28 Jun13 May28 (zenon shel)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 118 20.00    
ANOTHERBOTTLE Jun29 Jun15 May25 Apr25 Feb24 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
SILVER ASSASSIN Aug14 Jul16 Jun21 May25 May04 (jacks e)VARGAS P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOTTA KEEP HIM Jul17 Jun12 May08 Apr26 Apr05 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 21% 3.70    
10  MAX IS G MONEY Jul17 Jun06 Apr26 Mar21 Feb12 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00 10% 9.30    
11  OVERBORE Jul24 Jun02 May09 Apr10 Mar08 (wong jonathan)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
12  TITANIUM DEAL Aug22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun01 May02 (richar)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 12.00    
SCR  MOESAHANDFUL Jul05 Jun15 Apr21 Dec31 Nov24 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.