Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Monday - September 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2)-(5/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(2/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-8   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4/5)-(2/6/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   09/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTAGIOUSLAUGHTER Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 Jun22 Nov09 (alderson anth)DAVID MICHAEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
FEW REGRETS Aug18 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 2.00    
DREAMING OF HOPE Aug14 Jul31 Jul07 Dec03 Oct20 (silva p)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 1.60    
PRINCESS BU CHERRO Aug20 Aug05 Jul21 Jul02 May03 (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  YOGA Aug20 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jan17 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00    
 
FE-2   09/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPERBACK HERO Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
SUMMER RETREAT Jul15 Sep25 Aug09 Aug01 Jul16 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
BRADY O'BRADY Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00    
FOUR KNIGHTS Jul29 Jun24 May28 Oct10 Sep19 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00    
SCR  BEYOND MY DREAMS Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun11 May28 (robillard jul)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00    
 
FE-3   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSING HOLIDAY Aug26 Aug13 Jul15 Oct27 Oct16 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00 10% 8.60    
SAYERS Mar12 Mar01 Feb21 Feb04 Dec18 (silva pa)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00    
GENERAL COMMAND Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul08 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
RIVER OF BABYLON Aug13 Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 May31 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
TWO YEAR CONTRACT Aug13 Jul02 Jun24 May28 Oct16 (leblanc warre)KERR CHEYENNE 112 20.00    
RELOAD BULLET Aug26 Aug13 Jul22 Jun04 May28 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50    
 
FE-4   09/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horsepeople's Luminary Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOUNTAIN SOUND Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Dec07 Nov17 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of YOLIE by MENIFEE)
SPEEDY JOHNY Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 Jun11 (davies ronald)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of COST AND EFFECT by ARTIE SCHILLER)
TAMANA Jul30 Jul16 Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 (raghunath er)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 3.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of STUDY ABROAD by WHEELAWAY)
CANT BEAT THE KATZ Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of BET U I WIN by LORDHYEXECUTIONER)
JIMMY IS A BREEZE Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 May28 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
J M R GEMMA Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
 
FE-5   09/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL JOURNEY Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 May25 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
SUGAR DROP Aug05 Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 Jun16 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 6% 14.60    
SOVEREIGN TALE Aug26 Aug12 Jun25 Oct17 Oct09 (bailey j)MAILHOT P 122 15.00    
FREED BY MAGIC Aug18 Aug05 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (cathcart steven)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00    
GOINGTOARUBA Aug18 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 May25 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
BAMBOO'S BABE Aug18 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 5.00    
ALWAYS MY FAULT Aug18 Jul29 Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
 
FE-6   09/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINCENZINO Aug20 Jul26 Jun28 May19 Apr26 (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  THELONIOUS Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jul08 (conces)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.00    
CAPTURE MY DREAMS Jun25 Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 Feb18 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 119 15.00    
BOCELLI (IRE) Aug20 Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Dec08 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00    
POLITICAL Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May07 Feb15 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 7% 13.20    
PRIVATE LAKE Jul29 Jul08 Jun11 May31 Mar26 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
HE'S A SHOOTER Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 May16 May08 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00    
 
FE-7   09/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER BANJOMAN Aug13 Jul29 Jul07 Jun04 Apr28 (powell dale )NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.50 34% 2.00    
HICKSY Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun14 May28 (loescher pau)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.00    
BLUE MAX Aug09 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 Jun07 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00    
CORE Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
HALF TO RELOAD Aug13 Jul21 Jul01 Jun04 Nov05 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
DOT'S VISION Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 Jun04 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAYITO Jul30 Jul08 Apr02 Mar05 Feb20 (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
 
FE-8   09/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Puss Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIETY JOE Aug18 Jul30 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of JONJACK by MUHAYAA)
KIDDIE HOLIDAY Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun14 May19 (ceccato sharon)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of KID'S COLLECTION by LEMON DROP KID)
QUARKY Aug16 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May20 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BEYOND THE REACH by SAHM)
WILBERFORCE Jul26 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 May12 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
GLITTER BAY Aug27 Jul29 Jun25 Jun16 May04 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 119 3.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BY THE SHORE by INCLUDE)
JACK THE CAT Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Oct12 Oct02 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of NOTMYFAULT by BELONG TO ME)
MAGIC TOMAHAWK Aug06 Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LADY CARRINGTON by LEMON DROP KID)
LE GRAND GARCON Aug12 Jul30 Jun24 Nov10 Oct09 (steer tom)STEIN JUSTIN 122 20.00    
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
FOUR ACES HIGH Aug18 Aug06 Jul12 Jun30 May19 (simms c)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of WOODLAND CITY by AL MUFTI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.