Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/1/9/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/1/9/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/4/5)-(7/1/9/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/4/5)-(7/1/9/4/5)-(7/1/9/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/9/4/5)-(1/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FE-5   WIN (1/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/2)-(1/6/8/2/3)-(1/6/8/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/2)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/4)-(8/6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/4)-(8/6/7/4)-(8/6/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAC AMOUR Aug08 Jul13 Jun16 May30 May18 (robillard juli)STEIN JUSTIN 120 1.60 20% 4.10    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LOOKS LIKE RAIN by MEDICEAN)
2  DAISYCREST Aug06 Jul22 Jul11 Jun20 May31 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 2.50    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of CRY OF THE WILD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  SUPER HONEY TIMBER         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of SUPER HONEY by SUPER SAVER)
4  MAIKEN THE VIKING Aug12 Jul20 Jun13 May24   (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.50    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of CARMEN IS MY NAME by SILENT NAME (JPN))
5  ROHESE Aug13 Jul25 Jul07 Jun25 May28 (williams noel)GOBAY WILBERT 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
 
FE-2   08/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAME AGAIN DOC Aug13 Jul01 Jun04 Dec09 Nov24 (keen howard)RAMSAMMY E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRIVATE NETWORK Aug12 Jul16 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 (powell a)WOLFE TENECA 124 4.00    
3  THELONIOUS Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jul08 Jun25 (concessi armand)CRAWFORD J 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
4  GRAND GIZMO Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 Apr03 Mar26 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 6.00    
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Aug09 Jul16 Jul08 Jun11 May28 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.00    
 
FE-3   08/26/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETTING AHEAD Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 Jun11 May23 (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 117 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  BACK TO REALITY Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun04 Mar20 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BLUES POWER Nov02 Sep04 Aug07 Jun12 Oct15 (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00    
4  RELOAD BULLET Aug13 Jul22 Jun04 May28 May12 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
5  MIA AND ME Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Dec14 Nov17 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMAZING SUCCESS Aug12 Jul30 Jul21 Jun28 Jun08 (raghunath eri)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 1.80    
 
FE-4   08/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMI'S GIRL Aug13 Jul29 Jul11 Jun16 May28 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of RAILTOWN GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  TAPROOM Aug06 Jul25 Jul04 Jun20 May24 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of L. A. STYLE by SCAT DADDY)
3  IMPECCABLE TIMING Aug13 Jul25 Jun20 Jun06 Apr28 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SKYE SILVER by BADGE OF SILVER)
4  WAR VOW Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 7% 13.50    
  (by ARPISTA out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
5  MISS SINGH ANGEL Jul29 Jul15 Jul07 Jun25 Jul29 (cohen )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
6  LUCKY LOUISE Aug13 Jul02       (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LUCKBEALADY NOW by UNKNOWN)
7  IDYLLIC Jun22 May18       (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by TAPIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  WICKEN CENTS Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 May28 (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of CENT T MINT by I CAN'T BELIEVE)
9  P T BEAUCETTE Aug13 Jul15 Jun25     (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
  (by PERFECT TIMBER out of BEAUCETTE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
 
FE-5   08/26/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET SERENADE Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Aug13 Jul29 Jul22 Sep29 Sep11 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CARPE BELLUM Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 May05 Mar12 (silva pab)JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.50 ★    
4  THY KINGDOM Aug20 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 Nov10 (shirley luth)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 20.00    
5  BAYTOWN ELVIS Jul26 Jun28 Jun07 Dec15 Nov24 (gracey phillip)ELLIS S 122 15.00    
6  GENERAL COMMAND Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jul08 Jun25 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
7  SANTIAGO SALSA Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (keen howard)RAMSAMMY E 122 20.00    
8  JUSTIN'S WAY Aug13 Jul15 Jun16 Oct16 Sep25 (fournier mark)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00 21% 3.70    
9  SENSING HOLIDAY Aug13 Jul15 Oct27 Oct16 Sep04 (wills daniel)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00    
 
FE-6   08/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN SAHARA Aug18 Jul29 Jul11 Jun27 Jun02 (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 1.40 46% 1.20    
2  RING IT UP Aug09 Jul15 Jun27 Jun02   (capi m)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  I'M PHANTOM Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Dec14 Nov30 (davis richar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 2.50    
4  FEROCIOUS QUEEN Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 Dec07 Nov17 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
5  READY TO SCATTER Jul29         (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOVEREIGN TALE Aug12 Jun25 Oct17 Oct09   (bailey j)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
 
FE-7   08/26/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Jul30 Jul07 Jun24 May28 Oct03 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 12.00    
SCR  BETKA Nov24 Oct17 Sep26     (mandalfino paul )SALLES LEO 120 20.00    
3  SILENT BUT VIOLENT Jul07 Jun16 Sep25 Sep14 Aug01 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00    
4  MENAGERIE Jul30 Jun24 Jun16 Nov03 Oct19 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STOLE THE RING Jul30 Jul22 Jul04 Jun16 Jun11 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00    
6  LULU'S LULLABY Aug08 Jul30 Jul21 Jul02 Jun16 (squires a)MORENO OMAR 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
7  FORMENTOR Jul30 Jul08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 4.50 ★    
8  PRINCESS ALESKA Aug06 Jul07 Jun16 Apr17 Mar13 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
9  ITS A BIRDIE Aug08 Aug01 Jun22 Jun14 May23 (mcdonald mic)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.