Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (12/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/3/7)-(12/3/7/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (12/3/7)-(12/3/7/11)-(12/3/7/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/8)-(2/5/6/8)-(2/5/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/12) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-6   WIN (12/8/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/8/1/11)-(12/8/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/8/1/11)-(12/8/1/11)-(12/8/1/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (11/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/13/5)-(11/13/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/13/5)-(11/13/8/1/5)-(11/13/8/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHANGE YOUR NAME         (lee josep)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 12.00    
2  NIMMO Jul13 Jun30 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 (brown r)BRAVO J 119 8.00    
3  TRICOLOUR Jul15 Jun30 May29 May15 Apr30 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  CRASH THE GATE Jul07 Mar03 Jan07 Dec07 Nov10 (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
SCR  ATTRAYANT Jul06 May03 Apr14 Mar08 Jan21 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.50    
SCR  I SEE YOU LOOKIN Jul20 Apr27 Mar09 Jan28 Dec10 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
7  SIR PALACE PRINCE Jul03 Jun17 Jun07 May07 Feb14 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LUCA IL CAVALLO Jun21         (coletti edward )RUIZ ELISEO 119 12.00    
9  TRUE FAITH Jun21 May27 Apr25 Feb19   (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
10  LONG ASTRIDE Aug03 Jul04 Jun09 May18 Mar08 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 117 10.00    
11  P J'S SONG Aug04 Jun29 Jun02 Mar30 Feb24 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 ★    
12  STATELY ORDER Jul31 Jun30 Jun09 May15 Apr10 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  BATTLEFIELD PARK Jul27 Jun02 Dec03     (toner j)BRAVO J 123 4.00    
SCR  ALPHA CAT Jul26 Jul01 Mar30 Feb25   (goodwin g)BOCACHICA J 114 12.00    
 
MTH-2   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE CAN SCAT Jul19 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 Apr07 (gomez pompey)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 ★    
2  WHAT'S GOOD Jul26 Jul12 Jun15 Apr06 Mar17 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
3  ISN'T SHE KHOZY Aug04 Jun28 Jun15 May09 Apr19 (margotta )CAMACHO JR 117 4.00    
4  LA SIERVA C Jul21 Jul03 Jun23 May18 Apr05 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00    
5  LUMINOUS RULER Jul06 Jun15 May25 Apr11 Mar07 (sweezey ke)GONZALEZ CESAR 107 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 Apr20 (serey m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 10.00    
7  LOOKING FOR WATER Jul05 Apr27 Mar22 Feb25 Feb11 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 9% 9.60    
8  ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR Jul21 Jun29 Jan14 Dec13 Oct23 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 5.00    
 
MTH-3   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T V MAN Jul21 Jul06 Jun21 Jun01 May19 (frangel)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 15.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
2  DONT ROCK THE BOAT Jun21 Sep10 Jul23 Jun17 Jun03 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.50 59% 0.70    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  ISLAND SPIRIT Jul21 Jul07 May19 Nov01 Jul08 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
4  FULLY COMMITTED Jul14 Jul07 Jun21 Oct06   (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
5  POST COMMAND Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 May19 Jul23 (spina charle)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by IL POSTINO out of REQUESTED VOW by BROKEN VOW)
6  SEE THE TRUTH Jul07 Aug12 Jul23     (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 ★    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of COUNTESS GERALDINE by LOVE OF MONEY)
SCR  I NEVER SAY NEVER Jul07 Apr30 Apr15     (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 119 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
8  LECANTO Jul07 Jun21 May19     (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
 
MTH-4   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAN YACO Jun30 Jun02 Apr14 Mar10 Feb17 (avila jua)BOCACHICA J 112 8.00    
2  QUISTMER Aug03 Jun30 Apr27 Sep09   (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00    
SCR  NEW SPELL Jul20 Jul06 Jun04 Apr30 Mar29 (linder louis )KAY R 120 6.00    
SCR  ONE BITE Jul02 Jun14 Apr28 Mar17 Feb17 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00    
SCR  K'S STORM READY Jul04 Mar07 Jan13 Dec17 Oct11 (matz r)RENDON JAIRO 117 8.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY Jul24 May20 Oct19 Sep04 Aug19 (goodwin gabri)OLVER MADISON 121 20.00    
7  ROSE COLLECTOR Jul05 Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr26 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  ADIOS BUCCANEER Jul04 Apr14 Dec21 Dec03   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF TROY Jul07 Jun09 May19 Nov04 Oct06 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
SCR  INTERNAL CAPITAL Jul24 Jun08 May23 Sep02 Jul22 (moubarak nade)JARA FERNANDO 121 5.00    
SCR  MICKEY SHILLELAGH Jul20 Dec02       (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
12  MOTSKARI Jul05 Jun24 Jun03 Apr27 Mar23 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 108 8.00 32% 2.10    
 
MTH-5   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOEL'S BOY Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 Jun16 May27 (ramirez silvin)AGUILAR JEAN 112 5.00    
2  J. T. THREE Jul14 Jun16 Sep22 Aug27 Aug06 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
3  SLEIPNIR May18 Mar03 Feb10 Dec31 Dec03 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  MR. GEORGIE May25 Apr19 Mar30 Mar10   (miceli micha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  CHOCHOCHO Jul21 Jul05 Jun23 May19 Mar16 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
6  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul21 Jul13 Jul05 Jun23 Apr21 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOMENT AT SEA Jul05 Jun23 May09 Dec20 Nov22 (grullon riqu)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 15.00    
8  EL TEKILERO Jun08 May27 Apr07 Mar10 Feb16 (hernandez jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
 
MTH-6   08/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANADIAN PHAROAH Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 Jun22 May27 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 10.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  WINNING FACTOR Jul20 May11 Apr21 Aug19 Jul29 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
SCR  CASTAGNO Aug02 Jul12 Jun01 May04 Feb24 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
4  CHICO CHARLIE Jun29 Jun01 Apr10 Mar06 Jan20 (gomez pompey)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 8% 11.80    
5  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 May25 May11 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC EAGLE Jun23 Jun08 May26 May11 Apr06 (kantarmac)CAMACHO JR 122 4.00    
SCR  VETERANS BEACH Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May03 Apr12 (maker mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 5.00    
8  COLPO D'ORO Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May11 Apr21 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
9  PRINCE OF JOY Jul12 May25 May17 Apr26 Apr14 (legal)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
10  OLYMPIC ROMP Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May04 Apr08 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 20.00    
11  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May01 Mar10 (avila ca)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00    
12  RHUMJAR Jul28 Jul12 Jun08 May27 Apr24 (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  BAD GUY Jun08 Apr10 Mar20 Mar06 Feb07 (hernan)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 12.00    
SCR  MORE THAN WORK Jul08 Jun17 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00    
 
MTH-7   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINS FIRE Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 May18 May11 (serey mario)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 8.00    
2  FAST PAYDAY Mar27 Mar15 Mar01 Feb07 Dec24 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  PRINCE GHOST Jun16 May18 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 (ward dan)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.00    
4  MAGNIFICENT RIDE Jul28 Jul21 May26 Apr05 Mar22 (serey j)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOT THISTIMERANDY Jul24 Jun26 Jun17 May26 May11 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50 11% 8.00    
6  MCMAGIC Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 Jun01 May11 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
7  SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jul09 Jun12 Jun03 May20 Apr10 (soto- m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 12.00    
8  FESTINATE Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 Apr27 (hernandez jo)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
9  TITLE SHOT Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar20 (wilson tony)COTTO L 121 4.00    
 
MTH-8   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMORE D'ORO Jun28 May26 Apr29 Mar04 Feb05 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OHANA EMPIRE Jun29 Jun21 May11 Apr03 Mar16 (frangell)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 4.00    
SCR  LEO MONTE Jun21 Jun09 Feb24 Jan20 Dec22 (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50    
4  TOWN KISSER Jul07 May19 Oct06 Aug27   (spina charles)JUAREZ NIK 115 20.00    
5  MIDNIGHT STORY Jul05 Sep01 Jul23     (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 115 15.00    
SCR  PAL Jul13 Jul04 Jun21 May26 Oct13 (frangel)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 12.00    
SCR  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jul20 Jul05 Jun11 May19 Sep09 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
SCR  CASSATION Jun29 Jun08 May12 Sep04 Aug27 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 8.00    
9  MICRO BREWSKY Jul14 Jul07 Jun21 May19 May12 (ryan dere)BOCACHICA J 119 10.00    
10  BINGO'S BOY Jul20 Sep09 Jul01     (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 115 12.00    
11  LEGENDARY THUNDER Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 May19 Oct06 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 115 3.50 49% 1.00    
12  LIB'S CONTENTO Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 Oct05 Sep03 (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 ★    
13  IRISH MEADOW Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 Aug27 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
MTH-9   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARGAINING POWER Aug04 Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 May27 (serey mar)BOCACHICA J 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISTER MOORE Jul23 Jul10 Jul01 Jun02 May23 (flores-c)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.00    
3  SUENO PROFUNDO (ARG) Jul15 Jul02 Jun04 May17 Apr28 (pino v)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
4  EDDIEMUSH Jul28 Jul21 Jun24 Jun12 Jun04 (penaloza migu)MARTIN MATTIE 121 10.00    
SCR  TOUGH WORKOUT Jul15 Jul01 Jun12 Jun04 May13 (lake a)MARIN SAMUEL 121 20.00    
6  INDULGE Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 May19 Apr14 (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Apr05 Mar15 Feb17 Jan17 Nov17 (flores-coba )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
SCR  RASCALLY REBEL Jul28 Jul12 Jun30 Jun23 Jun02 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.