Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - July 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (3/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/6)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/6)-(5/3/2)-(9/3/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(9/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(9/3/4/8)-(4/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (9/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8)-(9/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/4/8)-(4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/8)-(4/3/7)-(5/6/2/10) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(5/6/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(5/6/2/10)-(3/2/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-5   WIN (5/6/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/10)-(5/6/2/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/10)-(5/6/2/4/10)-(5/6/2/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/2/10)-(3/2/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/10)-(3/2/5/10)-(10/12/4/1/7) 80 $1.00 $40.00 
IND-6   WIN (3/2/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/10)-(3/2/5/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/10)-(3/2/5/8/10)-(3/2/5/8/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/5/10)-(10/12/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/10)-(10/12/4/1/7)-(4/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-7   WIN (10/12/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/12/4/1/7)-(10/12/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/12/4/1/7)-(10/12/4/1/7)-(10/12/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/12/4/1/7)-(4/2/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
IND-8   WIN (4/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/11)-(4/2/11/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/11)-(4/2/11/7)-(4/2/11/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINK ROBE Jun17 Mar22 Feb14 Jan17 Dec15 (short ric)BEALMEAR C 112 8.00    
BALLYCOTTON BAY Jul13 May27 Apr30 Apr16 Feb23 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
MASTER OF THE NITE Jul05 Jun19 Jun05 May18 May01 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
JUST GUS Jun22 Jun05 May06 Apr24 Mar21 (thompson erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 20.00    
SPLENDID DRAMA Jul15 Jun13       (sprag)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 30.00    
WEGOTJACKSBACK Jul15 Jun17 May27 Apr30 Mar22 (labra rog)CORREA L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WEEKEND FLAME Jun23         (gowan willia)MONCADA IRVING 110 6.00    
MIDNIGHT TIL DAWN Jul09 Jun17 Mar13 Feb11 Oct31 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
IND-2   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEEP DISH May21 May01 Jan27 Jan04 Nov09 (richardville tiann)MOJICA O 121 15.00    
LANFRANKOPHILE Jul05 May30 Jul27 Jul12 May18 (paye )ULLOA PATRICIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA BOLLE Jun25 Jun05 May20 Apr30 Apr08 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE Jul05 May30 May21 May01 Mar16 (labra rog)CORREA L 121 1.80    
TAKING CHARGE DESI Jul05 May30 Apr06 Mar22 Feb25 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 1.40 29% 2.40    
RED SUN DRESS Jun25 Jun08 May18 Mar22 Mar01 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 15.00    
 
IND-3   07/30/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27.88K) 2 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARY LOVES LOUIE Jul16 Jun28       (ennis john)ROMAN A 120 5.00    
POOTOOGOOK Jun28         (morey w)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
J'S NAUGHTY ANGEL         (davis jos)CORREA L 120 12.00 17% 4.80    
LA ORGULLOSA         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
RUN IN GOLD Jun29         (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 30.00    
INNISFREE LASS Jul05         (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 117 20.00    
SCR  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Jul22 Jul13 Jun16     (veinot tr)BEALMEAR C 113 10.00    
TALKSALOT Jul06 Jun16       (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CROWNED WITH GRACE         (kenneally eddie)PARKER L 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  ALICYN'S DREAM         (davis chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  RIO DE PAZ Jun29 May25 May13 Apr26 Apr11 (ramos)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 15.00    
 
IND-4   07/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES SOLES Jun22 Sep30 Aug27 Jul02 Jun16 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.50    
WOODCOURT Jul06 Apr21 Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 118 5.00    
RUN AWAY ROJO Jun18 May13 Apr08 Nov08 Oct17 (stewart d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
MR CHAOS Jun26 Jun05 May09 Apr08 Oct23 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 119 6.00 37% 1.70    
MIDNIGHT WEST Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May01 Mar14 (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 2.50    
SCR  CARILLO Jun25 Jun04 May20 Nov02 Oct03 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 122 4.50    
FOWLER BLUE Jul06 Dec10 Nov10 Sep23 Jul22 (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-5   07/30/2024 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWAN HOUSE         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of GOOSE LEMON DROP by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
NO PARDON Jun24         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 20% 3.90    
  (by NYQUIST out of SCUSAMI by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  TUENDA         (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of TUSTARTA by TREMPOLINO)
KNIGHTOFCARAVAGGIO         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of KNIGHTWITHPUTNAM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GO TOWN Jun24 May22       (ennis joh)BEALMEAR C 112 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of ZADINA by MALIBU MOON)
GOLDEN SUNSHINE         (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FITFUL SKIES by DUBAWI)
CHARMING TALISMAN Jul05         (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 116 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
POEMA         (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GIPOIA by MEDICEAN)
COOL D OR Jul17         (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 116 30.00    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of CARLY ON TOUR by TOUR D'OR)
10  SUMMER AFFAIR         (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LOVE THEWAY YOUARE by ARCH)
SCR  ANNELLE         (brisset rodo)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STEELY MAGNOLIA by MANE MINISTER)
SCR  SWEET STAR         (bahena ismael)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of RED WHITE AND BLU by TIZNOW)
 
IND-6   07/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKWARDS K Jul03 Jun24 May28 Nov15 Oct16 (green darle)ROMERO M 114 20.00    
UNAFRADE Jul03 Jun11 May30 Nov09 Oct18 (west w)PARKER L 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
MUJER BONITA         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
WILD RUMORS Jun24 May28       (gorham )DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
INFLATE THE BUBBLE         (cook brian)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 15.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CAROLYN'S ANGEL Jun27 May27 Oct24 Oct05 Sep07 (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 121 10.00    
SHE'S NO KATE Jul09 Jun17 May27 May04   (nance jon)BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
LUCKY LINDA W Jul03 Jun08 May21 May08 Apr17 (nance jonathan)PRESCOTT R 121 4.50    
RUBY GIRL Jul09 Jun27 Jun08 May21 May06 (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.00    
10  QUEEN'S DESIRE Jul09 May27 Nov08 Oct18   (garcia is)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-7   07/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MISTER PERFECT Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 May07   (thompson erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of LITTLEMISSPERFECT by STREET HERO)
QUALITY DANCER Jul05 Jun25 Nov13 Jul20 Jul13 (green darlen)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BINT ELUSIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MORE THAN A IMPACT Jul13 Jun24       (donjuan s)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00    
  (by DOWSING out of BEVERLY'S CHARM by MORE THAN READY)
MR CORN         (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SHEZASMITTENKITTEN by CATIENUS)
MOTION TO ADJOURN Jun24 Jun11 May22 Nov13 Oct23 (raper ron)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 20.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of EXPLOSIVE DISCO by EXPLOSIVE TRUTH)
BOZAANO May07 Apr17 Nov15 Oct12 Sep11 (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of WALL STREET LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
THISCATSABULLET Jul13 Jun24 May08 Apr17   (elliott michelle)PARKER L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of CATTY LADY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
YOSHIDA'S IMPACT Jul11 Jun13 May23 May01 Apr16 (donjuan se)ANDERSON MCKENNA 121 30.00    
  (by DOWSING out of SONATA SQUALL by DISCREET CAT)
PORKYISMYNAME Jul13 Sep06 Aug16 Jul13 Jun22 (perez natasha)SANJUR SANTO 121 5.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of VERY BEST TRICK by ECKELSON)
SCR  ORA CERTA Jun18 Jun08 Oct23 Oct09   (caramor)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NOSSA VEZ by WAR CHANT)
11  CHARMING VICTORY Jul13 Jun19 Jun10 May23 May07 (holden j)MOJICA O 121 4.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of CHARMED FER SURE by ECKELSON)
12  MONEY MONDAY         (nance jonathan)ROMAN A 120 10.00 14% 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PO BOW by OXBOW)
SCR  CHOCOLATE MOOSE Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 May27 May08 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 3.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WHOGOOSEDTHEMOOSE by SPRING AT LAST)
 
IND-8   07/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANEYCOMO May16 Apr16 Nov13 Oct25 Oct03 (paye jose)ROMERO M 114 30.00    
ROCKETING         (gorham )DE CRUZ 120 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  HANDSOME HANNAH Jun04         (wisner tracey )SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
HE SAID CASH Jul13 Jul02 Jun20 Oct11 Oct03 (garcia is)CORREA L 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
MICHIGAN LEFT Jul13 Jul02 Jun13 May23 May13 (richardvi)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 8.00    
SCR  REITERATION Jul02 Jun11 Nov13 Sep12 Aug31 (phillips terry)PARKER L 124 3.00    
MAMA'S BOY Jul11 Jun08 May01 Apr16 Jun17 (mullins scott )ROMAN A 124 20.00    
WARING Jul11 Jun20       (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
INSTINCTUALLY Jul11 Jun08 May01 Apr17 Oct18 (mullins scot)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
SCR  PUNK (ARG) Jul13 Jun19 Jun08 May21 Nov10 (short ric)BEALMEAR C 113 12.00    
11  NEON LEON Jul06 Jun20       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.