Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/9)-(5/3/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/9)-(5/3/4/9)-(5/3/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/9)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/9)-(3/5)-(5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/1/4/5)-(3/1/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(5/3/1)-(4/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(4/8/5/6)-(3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6)-(4/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/6)-(3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/6)-(3/2/6)-(1/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/6/2/3)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/8/3)-(1/6/2/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/3)-(2/4/5)-(6/10/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(6/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(6/10/1)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-8   WIN (6/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/1)-(6/10/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/1)-(6/10/5/7/1)-(6/10/5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/10/1)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/10/1)-(4/1/3)-(4/9/2/1/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-9   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/9/2/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-10   WIN (4/9/2/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/1/7)-(4/9/2/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/1/7)-(4/9/2/1/7)-(4/9/2/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAGY AND DA BEARS Jul14 May25 Apr07 Mar23 May21 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
2  PONCHO ATTACK Jul14 Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
3  CUPID'S WAR Jun22 May25       (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
4  SHTARKER Jun08         (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 4.50 ★    
5  LEGENDARY PHANTOM Jul03 Jun16 Mar27 Mar07 Feb15 (winebaugh cheryl)FELIX E 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
6  LORD BLOCK Jul14         (zawitz joel)LOPEZ A 120 30.00    
SCR  MILLARD A MAVERICK Jul03 May21 Mar13 Feb16   (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 2.50    
8  JAKES CHANNEL Jun30 Jun15 May25 Oct28 Sep20 (rednour joh)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 30.00    
9  BLACK RUSSIAN Jul07 Jun16 May25 Apr28 Apr07 (perez mann)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONYS MORNING LINE Jun15 Jun01 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 1.80 ★    
2  HURTS SO BAD Jun22 Jun02 May11 Apr28 Apr06 (meraz anto)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 5.00    
3  CODETOWIN May26 Feb02 Dec28 Dec08 Nov18 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 67% 0.50    
4  WILDWOOD MINISTRY Jun30 Jun09 Apr30 Mar07 Dec16 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 3.50 ★    
5  IMPERIAL MOMENT Jun30 Apr30 Apr16 Sep02 Aug01 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HATCHET CREEK Jun29 Sep12 Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 (dizeo dino)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
7  CAN MAN DO Jun30 Jun16 Jun05 Mar15 Feb17 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
 
HAW-3   07/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO NANNETTE NO Jul11 Jun23 Jun15 Apr13 Feb09 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIMELESS GLORY Jun23 Jun15 May25 Apr28 Apr13 (rosas rigo)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 10.00    
3  MO SMOKING Jun16 May05 Apr13 Mar20 Feb29 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  THINK BLUE Jul06 May25 May11 Apr14 Nov11 (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00    
5  IZZY'S MONSTER Jun23 May25 Apr28 Apr07 Jan18 (villa francisc)COLON H 125 0.80 57% 0.70    
6  CAIRO SUMMER Jul11 Jun16 May19 Apr28 Apr13 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 15.00    
7  SHE BE SHEEHAN Jun23 May26 May03 Apr07 Mar17 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00    
 
HAW-4   07/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr20 Mar30 (rednour jr)REYES ANGEL 124 30.00    
2  MACHIVA Jun30 Jun23       (dorochenko gennad)FELIX E 120 6.00    
3  BABE IN THE WOODS Jun30 Jun09 Mar16 Mar01 Feb18 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.80    
4  MULSANNE (IRE) Jun30 Jun09 Apr20 Apr07 Nov30 (horvath fr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 39% 1.50    
5  REALISTIC GOAL Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr07 Aug10 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 4.50 12% 7.40    
6  LIONS LAW Jun01 May18 Apr20 Nov17   (young r)COLON H 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SAFECRACKER SUE Jun30 Jun09 May26 Apr21 Mar21 (simonovich daniel)MOJICA O 120 3.00    
8  SITTIN ON A BEACH Jun20 May30       (cook brian)EMIGH A 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
HAW-5   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUNNERS HEAT Jun30 May25 May12 Apr27 Aug31 (wilson shar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 15.00    
2  MYSTIC STORM Jun30 Mar16 Dec16 Nov04 Oct21 (robertson )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  GO STORMIN GIRL Jun30 Jun08 May19 May04 Apr07 (cook brian)EMIGH A 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
4  MAYSTART Jun30 May25 Apr13 Nov14 Oct10 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00    
5  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun30 Jun01 May19 Apr14 Jun14 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50    
6  PALACE MAGIC Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 May28 May11 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NIFF Jul06 Jun15 Jun08 May19 Apr14 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 
HAW-6   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVEN THE WIND Jul06 Jun08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul23 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
2  TEMPLE FOOL Jun23 Jun09 May25 May05 Apr13 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 21% 3.80    
3  REGIMENTAL Jul07 Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar23 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHARP STICK Jun23 Jun01 May19 Apr27 Apr07 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 122 4.50    
5  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Jun30 Jun09 May18 Mar16 Jan06 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 15.00    
6  DAPPER DUDE Jun30 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr06 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  COOL AND COLLECTED Jun30 Jun09 May18 Oct09 Aug24 (block chris)COLON H 122 8.00    
8  WE MISS ARLINGTON Jun30 Apr21 Mar23 Feb19 Dec30 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 ★    
9  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Jun30 Jun09 May25 Sep04 Aug24 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 30.00    
 
HAW-7   07/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNWITHHEART Jun23 Jun01 May04 Mar23 Feb09 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 10.00    
2  COACH JIMI D Jun09 May18 May05 Apr14 Mar30 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  CONI'S COUP Jun02 May18 Apr27 Oct24 Aug20 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
4  LITTLE STEVEN Jun23 Jun01 May04 Apr21 Mar14 (winebaugh che)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 8% 11.40    
5  GLUCKSTADT Jul06 Jun09 May27 May04 Mar24 (haran john)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  T LAW Jun23 Jun01 May04 Apr21 Aug30 (moreno irvin)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
7  DANVILLE Jul06 Jun09 Jun01 May19 May04 (cook brian)COLON H 122 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-8   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROM SCRATCH Jun08         (forster t)MOJICA O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DREAMING OF SUSIE by COWTOWN CAT)
2  MADELYN ATTACK May19 May05 Apr06 Mar23 Nov14 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
3  WAHIDA OF MARDAN Jul11 Jun30       (zawitz joe)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 15.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  BACKSTAGE PASS May18 Jun19       (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  THUNDERSTRIKE Jul11 Jun23 Dec09     (mason ingri)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 8.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of R HOLIDAY MOOD by TRIPPI)
6  HA HA GLORIA (IRE) May19 Oct22       (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  ERNESTINA Jul11 Jun02 May10 Apr20 Dec08 (lopez elias)FELIX E 120 4.00 ★    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  PRETTY SKYE Jun23         (winebaugh che)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of LILI VON SHTUPP by COLONEL JOHN)
9  PERFECT MANHATTAN Nov07 Oct12 Sep18 Jul11 Jun21 (block chris)COLON H 120 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of CHRISTMAS COVE by MORE THAN READY)
10  INVENTING ANNA Jun18 Dec03 Nov18 Sep28 Sep03 (medina robert)EMIGH A 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Jun23 May12 Mar31 Mar02 Jan20 (roussel j)FELIX E 120 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MISCHIEF LILY Jun04 Sep26 Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 (dobbsjr robe)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  HARPER BRIANA Jul11 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May14 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 30.00    
  (by SOUL OF EKATI out of AUNDREYA by SUMMER CLOUD)
 
HAW-9   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD Jul14 Jun30 May25 Apr28   (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
2  POND Jun08 May18 May04 Apr06 Mar24 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 120 20.00    
3  PIRATE MARMALADE Jun30 Jun09 May25 May04 Apr14 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NAP LOVER Jun30         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  GRAY MIKE Jun30 May25 May12 Apr21 Nov16 (ramirez ca)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 20.00    
SCR  LARRY'S LUNCHBOX Jul14 Jun09 May25 Apr28 Apr07 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00    
7  MALIBU BRAD Jul06 Jun09 Jan19 Dec20 Nov22 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 120 5.00    
8  REMEMBER THE FEAR Jul06 Jun28 May30 Aug27 Aug06 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00 ★    
9  SECRET HONOR Jul06 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr13 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 124 4.50    
 
HAW-10   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVE IT BABY Jun08 May19 Mar16 Jan12 Dec08 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 7% 13.50    
2  GET THE CANDY Jun08 May19 Feb07 Jan13 Dec24 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.50 11% 8.50    
SCR  MADELYN BELLE Jun30 May25 Apr13 Mar23 Jan13 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 124 2.50    
4  RAMBERT Jun30 Jun08 May19 Dec28 Oct12 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 8.00 32% 2.20    
5  FROSTED ECLAIR Jul02 Jun08 May25 May12 Nov14 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 15.00    
6  TAPERINEA Jun30 Jun25 May23 Apr28 Nov13 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 30.00    
7  SHE'S WANDAFUL Jun30 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun21 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHROME ATTACK Jun30 Apr14 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
9  COVENANT LADY Jun18 May06 Apr13 Feb24 Feb09 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  RACEDAY ATTIRE Jun30 Jun14 Apr27 Nov18 Sep09 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
SCR  TU CHA Jun22 May08 Apr16 Jan13 Dec16 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 10.00    
SCR  BALI BABY Jul06 Jun30 May04 Apr27 Oct24 (zawitz joel)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 30.00    
13  LIPLINER Jun30 Jun08 Aug17 Jul27 Jun18 (childers v)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.