Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(5/1/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(2/4/7/1)-(6/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/1)-(2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/1)-(6/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(7/6/1)-(9/6/4/5/3) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(9/6/4/5/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/6/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/5/3)-(9/6/4/5/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/5/3)-(9/6/4/5/3)-(9/6/4/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   07/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY SECRET Jul01 Jun11 Apr22 Jan11 Dec03 (hetrick krist)BRACHO A 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  AGUILA DEL RIO Jul10 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (adams hanna)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 20.00    
3  HIGH FASHION LADY Apr22 Apr10 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DADDY CLASSY DILL Jul02 Jun11 Jun09 May14 Apr21 (silva juan )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 1.20    
SCR  HOT TAKE Jul03 May20 May13 Apr22 Dec04 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
6  MORNIN' BOSS Jun23 Jun09 May07 Apr22 Jan04 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  KOZEM Jun29 Jun07 May24 May09 Mar01 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 116 15.00    
8  OUT ONA LIMB Jul01 Jun09 Jul18 Dec13 Nov23 (hay r)AVILES YAN 120 12.00    
 
MNR-2   07/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER OF JUSTICE Jun30 May24 Jan19 Dec22   (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 23% 3.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DAZZLING SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  HIKE'S DREAM Aug13 Jul05 Jun21 Dec07 Nov07 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 5.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of SILENT SPIN by JOHANNESBURG)
3  BALLOT BOX Jun19 Jun04 May14 Dec11 Nov29 (pizzurro jessic)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  ENOUGH ICE Jul02 Dec11 Nov29 Nov27 Nov01 (pease harry)LEON A 123 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ADESTE by MONTBROOK)
5  LORD ANTE Jul02 Jun17 May21 Apr30   (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by SKYLORD out of ANTE MY ANNIE by SKY APPROVAL)
6  INCITATUSWAY Jun26 Jun03 May20 May14 Dec27 (brown j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DESTIN out of HAPPY RETREAT by FEEL THE POWER)
7  GUARDIANSOF AUTISM Jul02 Jun25 Jun10 Dec11 Nov29 (kocijan marcus)VEGA L 123 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FOR SURE FOR SURE by OLD TOPPER)
 
MNR-3   07/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT HAGRID Jul07 Jun19 May20 Nov14 Nov01 (smith r)WHITACRE B 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of FIRST ROSE by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
2  AMERICAN CONSULATE         (freeman k)HERNANDEZ H 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of PAULOWNIA by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  THE GROOM'S JUL Jul01 Jun19 Jun04 May19 Dec12 (johnson je)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 10.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of SHIMMERING JUL by OMEGA CODE)
4  I JUST DON'T NO         (jones philli)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SUNSHINE LIFE by DAAHER)
5  CAROLINA PARTISAN Jun09 Apr29       (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 123 4.50    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of CAROLINA ROSA by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  TAJI MIKE Jun23 Jun07 May18 Mar30 Feb16 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 5.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of BEDTIME FOR JR. by BUDDHA)
7  S S FLAT OUT FUN         (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 116 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LET ME FLATTER YOU by FLATTER)
 
MNR-4   07/16/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Jun25 Apr08 Feb15 Feb09 Jan25 (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ITSALLABOUTMEBABY Jun18         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.00    
3  GET BY Jun19 Jun01 Apr23 Apr13 Mar27 (inirio o)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50    
SCR  ROMAN CANDLE Jun25 Jun14 May30 May17 Apr18 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 116 5.00    
5  MACI'S WORLD Jun24 Jun03 May21 May07 Dec11 (stanoszek sara)JURADO EDDIE 116 15.00    
6  YARBOROUGH Jun13 May04 Apr04 Mar01 Jan21 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  S S FLAMINGO Jul01 Jun11 May14 Apr28 Apr21 (jimenez miguel )LEON A 120 30.00    
 
MNR-5   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEST YOUR FAITH Jul03 Jun23 May27 May06 Apr02 (wade justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
2  ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY Jun18         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MILLENNIA by MILWAUKEE BREW)
SCR  FRACING WILDCAT Jun23 Jun03 Apr27     (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 0.50 69% 0.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of K P WILDCAT by INCLUDE)
4  SUNSET QUEEN Jun18 Jun03 May19 Nov13 Oct03 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 30.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  WAY OF APPEAL Jun23 May28 May07 Jan31 Dec06 (cady khalil)WHITACRE B 116 10.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of LITTLE MISS KISSES by B L'S APPEAL)
SCR  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 Dec13 (fiesman robert )VEGA L 123 4.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of ZIPSO FACTO by CITY ZIP)
7  TEAM MOM NOT BRUH Jul03 Jun23 Jun09 Oct08 Sep13 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00 6% 16.90    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of EXTRAVAGANCE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
MNR-6   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOV LANE Jul09 May26 May07 Apr22 Mar29 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 1.20 21% 3.80    
2  MOTHERWELL Jul01 Jun16 Jan30 Jan15 Dec05 (ortiz-rui)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  KAIYAS SONG Jun28 Jun20 May16 May02 Apr22 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.40    
4  I MATTER Jun09 May19 Dec04 Nov21 Nov12 (howard willi)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
5  MISS FORT Jun16 Jun03 May19 Nov27 Nov12 (cluley denn)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
6  UNCAPTURED FAITH Jul01 Jun23 May05 Mar27 Mar06 (wade justi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00 19% 4.10    
 
MNR-7   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BOP Jun23 Jun14 May09 Feb28 Feb01 (craig lewi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CREME DE LA QUEEN Jul01 May23 Apr20 Mar16 Feb24 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 5.00    
3  HERE'S A QUARTER Jun23 Jun11 May30 May04 Apr18 (atkins mich)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 6.00    
SCR  MITOLE CANDY Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug10 (farrior anthon)HOUGHTON D 116 3.50    
5  YES TO LOVE Jun14 May09 Apr27 Feb28 Feb15 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 10.00    
6  REMY'S HOTSHOT Jun15 May23 Nov22 Sep21 Aug31 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jul05 Jun14 May16 Apr27 Mar21 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 116 4.50 51% 1.00    
 
MNR-8   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST U AND ME KID Jun23 May22 Dec11 Oct24 Oct09 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 123 12.00    
SCR  FAHRENHEIT Jun09 May21 Oct08 Jun07 May17 (brown j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 30.00    
3  PATIO PARTY May21 May06 Apr21 Feb14 Feb01 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PROFESSIONAL Jun23 May21 Nov21 Oct29 Oct03 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 6% 14.50    
5  CHACO SPIRIT Jun26 May14 Apr23 Feb05 Dec13 (bayley randy)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50 6% 14.70    
6  SIR AGGRAVATOR Jun23 Jun09 May21 May07 Apr22 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  AWESOME OX Jul03 Jun19 Jun09 May21 May06 (bird danny)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 20.00    
8  YOU ARE AWESOME Jul03 Jun19 Jun09 May20 May06 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 123 20.00    
9  CATES SWOOSH Jul03 Jun24 Dec13 Nov20 Nov08 (cain crystal)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
10  HOLY TRUTH Jun25 Jun04 May26 Apr21 Dec06 (meeks kar)HERNANDEZ H 123 12.00    
SCR  JACK'S DREAM Dec14 Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 (spiess shan)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.