Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/4/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/10/7/8)-(2/4/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/10/7/8)-(2/4/10/7/8)-(2/4/10/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (7/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/3/7/8)-(2/3/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/3/8/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/7/9)-(4/3/8/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/7/9)-(4/3/8/7/9)-(4/3/8/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-10   WIN (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOONFLYER Jun23 Jun07 May11 Mar03 Nov12 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 6.00    
2  NIMMO Jun30 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Jan12 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 5% 17.20    
3  MITHRIDATES Jun23 Jun02 May27 May17 Apr21 (chichakly am)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 5.00    
4  NEW YORK STRONG Jun23 Jun09 Mar20 Oct20 Sep17 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.00 67% 0.50    
5  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul05 Jun23 Apr21 Apr05 Feb04 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00 ★    
6  OMINOUS DUDE Jun09 May04       (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.50    
7  ANADOLU Jun23 Jun02 Apr21 Mar16 Dec14 (delgado jor)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEO FONG Dec10 May21 Apr21     (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
SCR  CHOCHOCHO Jul05 Jun23 May19 Mar16 Feb25 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00    
 
MTH-2   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAVIN Jun30 Jun15 May26 Apr18 Mar29 (gomez pompey)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 14% 6.10    
2  KAYMUS Apr06 Jan18 Dec16     (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 117 5.00 ★    
3  MISS NEO Jun09 Jul08 May27 May05 Apr14 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
4  AMIRATI Jun30 Jun15 May22 May04 Apr19 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 3.50    
5  CASTELLANA Jun30 Jun15 May26 Mar06 Jan31 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 112 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  SOFSTER Jun22 Jun15 May26 Apr19 Mar21 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50    
 
MTH-3   07/13/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORRIB QUEEN         (ryan dere)CAMACHO JR 117 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LOUISIANA LADY by CITY ZIP)
2  SERENE SPIRIT         (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MISERICORDIA by DANSILI)
3  POINT TO THAT STAR         (milne joa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 15.00    
  (by FAVERSHAM out of BENDECIDA by DISCREET CAT)
4  LEMONPEPPASTEPPA         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
5  PARADISE WINS         (trombetta mi)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BIRD OF PARADISE by BIRDONTHEWIRE)
6  HOPEFORGREATNESS Jun24         (padilla o)AGUILAR JEAN 110 10.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DANCINGWITHDEBBIE by GREEN DANCER)
7  BOSS LADY BINGO         (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of POLITICAL ACT by POLITICAL FORCE)
8  KISS CAM Jun29 Jun09 May27 Apr18   (sweezey kent)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MASTERY out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
9  TINY TEARS         (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of TEARLESS by IN SUMMATION)
10  TIMBER         (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of NADADORA by CARSON CITY)
SCR  MAJESTIC BAY         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of APPEALING STELLA by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SCR  MYA WAY         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
 
MTH-4   07/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUCLEAR EMPIRE Jun02         (delgado jor)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 20.00    
  (by YES WE CAN out of MOOJI'S EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  PLAY THE GRAY Jun24         (velazquez dani)MOYA F 117 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
3  WE MISS NEIL Jun24         (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 117 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TOWN FAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  KNOCK KNOCK JOKE         (orseno jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  CRAZY FRAZY Jun02         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by BLAME out of D'ORO PARADISE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  MY MILITARY HERO         (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DINN RIGH by KARAKONTIE (JPN))
7  GRIM REAPER         (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 15% 5.50    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of SPRING ECLIPSE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
MTH-5   07/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Boiling Springs Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADAME MISCHIEF Jun28 Jun02 Apr06 Mar09 Feb03 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 116 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADAME ORBE by ORB)
2  PROGENY Jul06 May09 Apr06 Feb29 Feb18 (weaver georg)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CABBAGE KEY by A.P. INDY)
3  SPALIDAY Jun08 May04 Apr13 Feb16   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 116 1.20 45% 1.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DAYATTHESPA by CITY ZIP)
4  LADY DE BERRY Jun08 Dec02 Oct27 Aug26   (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 116 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TORTUGA LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
5  BROCKNARDINI Sep30 Sep16 Aug02     (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BROAD STRIPES by BERNARDINI)
6  ALCOHOL Jan03 Dec15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep08 (orseno j)HERNANDEZ J 116 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of COOL AND STORMY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  LADY LALA Jun21 Apr27       (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 116 3.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of ALLYOUNEEDISLOVIN by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  FLOGE Jun29 May26 May18 Apr27 Apr14 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 116 4.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HAKA'S SISTER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 
MTH-6   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST DEPUTY Jun29 Jun14 May27 Apr27 Mar30 (gomez )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FATIH May08 Apr16 Mar27 Feb07 Jan30 (catalano l)MOYA F 121 5.00 17% 5.10    
3  NOTION TO TAPIT Jun30 Jun16 Jun09 May27 May19 (serey m)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
4  AUSTIN FROM BOSTON Jun16 Jun01 May19 May12 May05 (serey mario )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
5  WOOD BE WILD Jun22 May18 Apr16 Feb19 Feb07 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50    
6  FACE ABARRIO Jun22 Jun09 May27 May20 Apr12 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 10% 9.20    
7  LOOKIN' SUPER Jun29 May19 Apr20 Dec12 Nov20 (gonzalez )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 1.50 40% 1.50    
 
MTH-7   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEP ON ROCKIN Jun29 Jun22 May22 Apr27 Apr03 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
2  MADNESS Jun29 Jun02 Mar30 Mar07 Jan10 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  SPECIAL AFFAIR Jun29 Jun16 May19 Apr21 Mar14 (sacco gregory)IORIO MELISSA 112 3.00 ★    
4  TABOR TIME Jun15 May27 Apr17 Apr06 Jan26 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
SCR  DANCE WITH ME BABE Mar22 Feb18 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06 (mazza joseph )OLVER MADISON 121 10.00    
6  DERBY GIFT Jun15 May19 Apr13 Feb18 Jan17 (crowell )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 108 20.00    
7  NO FAKE Jun22 Jun16 Mar03 Feb02 Dec01 (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 117 5.00 ★    
8  LOVE LIKE CRAZY Jun27 May03 Apr20 Mar29 Feb03 (belsoeur yvo)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-8   07/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH BOOLUM Jun09 Mar10 Jan28 Sep24 Sep04 (lynch cathal)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
2  IRISH MEADOW Jun28 Jun09 Aug27 Jul23 Jun25 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  CRAFTY DON Jun28 Jun08 May12 Jan31 Jan01 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 113 12.00    
4  LIB'S CONTENTO Jun28 Jun09 Oct05 Sep03 Aug19 (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
5  MAX'S GLORY Jun28 Jun09 May19 Sep03 Aug27 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
6  PAL Jul04 Jun21 May26 Oct13 Sep03 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
7  LAST ROMANCE Jun24 May28 Apr24 Mar20 Mar06 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  GO IRISH Jun21 May11       (antonucci m)JUAREZ NIK 115 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
MTH-9   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Blue Sparkler Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PACIFIC ROSE Jun28 Mar09 Feb16 Dec09 Nov12 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  TIGER BELLE (IRE) May12 Mar24 Nov03     (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 116 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DARK ACCLAMATION by ACCLAMATION (GB))
3  SUPER FREAKY GIRL Jun01 May10       (david carl)RIVERA R 116 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DECEPTIVE GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
4  TIFFANY GOLD May12 Apr12       (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BELLA JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  EL TERRENO Jun16 Mar24 Dec15 Oct25   (clement christ)RENDON JAIRO 116 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
6  HOPESNDREAMS Jun28 Jun01 May04 Apr10 Mar24 (dini mike)BRAVO J 116 10.00    
  (by RIDE ON CURLIN out of EXCHANGEABLE by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  DISCREET OPS Jun16 May17 Apr13 Nov16   (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 116 6.00 14% 6.30    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SEAMS DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
8  SHUANGXI (IRE) Jun16 May18 Apr13     (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 116 5.00 17% 4.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of NEXT GENERATION by SHACKLEFORD)
9  LACONIA Jun20 May25 Apr21 Mar01 Feb01 (delgado h)MARIN SAMUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SPA TREATMENT by BERNARDINI)
10  GLORIOUS LADY May25 May04 Apr10 Mar10   (o'connell kath)COTTO L 116 4.50    
  (by PHARAOH BOB out of IN THE WILD CLOVER by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
MTH-10   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIE BREAKER May09 Apr18 Jul21 Jun18 May19 (sanchez jose )OLVER MADISON 121 10.00    
2  SOZE Jan12 Oct06 Aug26 Aug04   (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  CRUISING DEREK Jun11 Apr21 Apr12 Mar17 Feb24 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 15.00 10% 8.60    
4  DITHER Jun16 May27 Apr28 Sep08 Aug31 (pompay terri)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00    
5  LITTLE SKIPPY Jun29 Jun07 May26 May18 May04 (garibay andres)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PALM ISLAND Jun09 Aug26 Jul12 May23 Apr19 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 121 1.80 15% 5.50    
7  THREETHIRTYTHREE Jul06 Jun02 Apr13 Mar10 Feb11 (hernande)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.