Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/1/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(3/8/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   07/07/2024 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QURBAAN'S KINGDOM May31 May18 Apr28 Dec15 Nov26 (mohabir chetram)DEFREITAS C 118 20.00    
J M R TURF ALY Jun25 May30       (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 12.00    
SILENT SUMMIT Jun16         (leblanc warren)SINGH S 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
DELIRIO Jun11 Dec01 Nov03     (wieczorek ke)HUSBANDS TERRY 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE FOR A DAY Oct27 Sep25 Aug22 Jul25 Jul18 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
OPEECHEE Jun25 May28 Apr28 Nov12 Oct27 (cecc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
FE-2   07/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL JOURNEY Jun07 May25 May05 Oct26 Aug27 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SILENT PRINCESS Jun20 Jun07 Dec16 Dec02   (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.00    
GOLDEN SPRING Jun13 May23 Apr27 Nov02 Oct12 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
COINS UNLIMITED Jun27 May12       (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
SHES HOT TO TROT Jun16 May28 Oct22 Sep20 Sep12 (rob)DENNIS JEREMIAH 110 2.50 42% 1.40    
DANISH DYNAMITE Sep07 Aug12 Jul23 Jun23 May05 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
FE-3   07/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Jun04 May11 Apr27 Nov30 Nov09 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
CARELESS HEIRESS Jun25 Mar31 Mar04 Jan27 Dec18 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE MY CHERYL Jan31 Dec05 Nov01 Oct10 Sep25 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
KATCHY NAME Jun16 Nov30 Nov11 Oct28 Oct13 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00    
NICOLE'S SONG Jun25 Jun11 May28 Oct17 Sep26 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 3.00    
ORBITING THE SKY May21 Feb05 Jan04 Dec06 Nov07 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 4.50    
 
FE-4   07/07/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SINGH ANGEL Jun25 Jul29       (cohen michae)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT BOURBON out of MISS M V P by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  LOTS OF LEGACIES Jun16         (bennett micha)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 15.00    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
SUGAR DROP Jun25 Jun16 Oct19 Jul01 May21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SUGAR SHACK by SHACKLEFORD)
TENGO SECRETOS         (rideout shawn)DAVID MICHAEL 120 10.00 28% 2.60    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of PARADISE CAT by PERIGEE MOON)
TANGERINE TWIST Jun16 Dec14 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 1.40    
  (by RELOAD out of SNAPALICIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ROHESE Jun25 May28 May11 Nov11 Sep23 (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50    
  (by HYPER out of MOUNTAIN ASTOR by AFTER MARKET)
BAD ZEZE         (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of WICKED ROMANCE by DEHERE)
 
FE-5   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAINGER COUNTY Jun24 May05 Mar17 Feb04 Dec13 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAGIC TOMAHAWK Jun21 Jun07 May23 Dec15 Dec08 (pion sylvain)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 5.00    
MOMENT OF ZEN Jun14 May31 May11 Aug25 Aug04 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00    
TRULY MISCHIEF Jun16 Jun04 Mar17 Feb18 Feb04 (adamo anthony)BYNOE DESEAN 117 1.60 67% 0.50    
VINNIE VAN GO Jul01 Nov29 Oct16 Sep12 Sep04 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00    
 
FE-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SQUARE Jun04 Apr30 Apr22 Feb05 Dec29 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 16% 5.50    
PALACE PRINCE Jul01 Jun04 May28 Jan11 Dec10 (silv)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNION COLONEL Jun24 Oct09 Sep23 Aug29 Aug15 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 12.00    
PAPERBACK HERO Jun25 Jun04 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 (agosti)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
STRONG ENDING Jun04 Nov05 Oct16 Oct10 Sep25 (davis richard)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 4.00    
MISTER BANJOMAN Jun04 Apr28 Apr13 Apr03 Mar20 (keen howard)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Jun25 Jun07 May12 Nov18 Oct27 (rabstein cla)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 8.00    
 
FE-7   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOODLE DANDY Jul01 Jun16 May28 May11 Oct16 (hoad lindsay)DAVID MICHAEL 122 20.00    
MIMI'S HOLIDAY Jul01 Jun04 Feb14 Jan25 Dec11 (robillard jos)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 6% 15.90    
PRINCESS ALESKA Jun16 Apr17 Mar13 Feb17 Feb04 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 1.40 60% 0.70    
SCR  ROYAL CHROME Jun24 Jun16 Dec14 Nov30 Nov10 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
TAMANA Jun27 Jun11 May28 Nov16 Nov02 (simms c)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 3.50    
SILENT BUT VIOLENT Jun16 Sep25 Sep14 Aug01 Jul11 (robillard jo)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
EYE GOT IT GOOD Jun16 May28 Nov04 Oct26 Oct12 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50    
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Jun24 May28 Oct03 Sep26 Aug28 (albu ken)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 6% 15.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.