Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - June 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8)-(5/2/9/6)-(9/8/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6)-(5/2/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/6)-(9/8/2/7/5)-(1/9/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-4   WIN (9/8/2/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/7/5)-(9/8/2/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/7/5)-(9/8/2/7/5)-(9/8/2/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (9/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/7/8/3)-(9/1/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/8)-(9/1/4)-(12/6/5/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-7   WIN (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/4)-(9/1/11/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/4)-(9/1/11/3/4)-(9/1/11/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/4)-(12/6/5/1/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-8   WIN (12/6/5/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/6/5/1/10)-(12/6/5/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/6/5/1/10)-(12/6/5/1/10)-(12/6/5/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   06/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESSAGE DISCIPLINE Jun02 Apr18 Apr05 Mar09 Feb09 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
NORTHWIND May31 May17 May05 Apr26 Apr06 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
MISTER BEAMS May12 Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 Dec29 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
CHADRON Apr26 Mar15 Mar08 Jan28 Dec29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 8.00    
SCR  ZIPSTER Jun24 May18 Jun25 May22   (dunaway k)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
STORM STRATEGY Mar29 Dec08 Nov18 Oct25 Jul07 (a)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
IOWA HAWKEYE Jun14 Jun02 May05 Mar19 Feb20 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00    
 
LS-2   06/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LAST ATTACK May25 May10 Mar22 Mar06 Jan20 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 12.00    
LARRY'S LEGEND Jun16 Jun02 May25 May11 Apr28 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
WIREWYRE Jul17         (a)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
CLASSIC CUT Jul06 May06 Mar11     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
BOUGIE JOE Jun09 May11 Apr28 Mar30 Mar09 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50    
RAVEN'S NEST Mar14 Feb09 Jan05 Dec17 Nov03 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS Jun16 May17 May05 Apr21 Apr05 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00    
GOLD BARON Jun09 May19 Apr27 Mar10 Feb10 (durham danele)DIEGO V 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-3   06/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET TAPPER Jun07 Apr26 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 121 6.00    
TAY TAY'S BABY Jun15 May03 Apr06 Mar29 Mar15 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
MAGGIE D'CAUSE Jun01 May14 Apr22 Mar26 Dec16 (ashford h )ERAMIA E 121 15.00    
SCR  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Jun02 May12 Oct12 Aug25 Jul23 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 2.00    
A ROZE AND WINE Mar29 Mar15 Jan13 Nov01 Sep13 (davidso)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 2.50 49% 1.00    
NIGHT ORB Jun19 May27 May03 Apr06 Mar17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BASKET CASE May19 May05 Apr26 Mar16 Feb03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00    
GRAY ZONE Jun21 May27 Apr06 Feb16 Jan21 (davidson sarah)QUINONEZ S 121 15.00    
FAST TRACK Jun09 May18 Apr19 Apr06 Mar08 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
LS-4   06/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ADOLIS         (baldill)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 30.00    
  (by KING ZACHARY out of DUCKY MCLEAN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
BETTER EDGE Jun01         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of BETTER THAN MO by UNCLE MO)
CLEVER IT Jun09         (villafranco frede)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
  (by VISIONIT out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
BRUSHY BILL         (ashford ray)QUINONEZ S 120 12.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of WAHINE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
HEATS HERO May26         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of SOARING NOW by TIZNOW)
EAGLE IN THE AIR         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 12.00    
  (by EAGLE out of MALAYSIAN AIR by MIZZEN MAST)
HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN Jun01         (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 10.00 12% 7.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of FIKA by UNION RAGS)
GOLDEN GRIT         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLYING BY FAYTH by FLYING BARON)
ESSAY         (calhoun wi)ERAMIA E 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of ANNIHILATION by NORTHERN AFLEET)
10  TEXAS CREED         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LORI'S ATTITUDE by TEMPLE CITY)
 
LS-5   06/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING CAESAR Jun16 May26 Mar17     (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  TURN NORTH Jun21 Jun01 May12 May04 Feb09 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50    
SCR  RACE AROUND May31         (s)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
SON OF A BLING Jun02 May12 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50    
SCR  RU MOR STARTER Jun02 May04 Apr21 Dec16   (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00    
DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jun08 May19 Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 (castellanos j)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00    
BANDERA BLING Jun14 May12 Apr19 Mar03 Feb17 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP LORENZO Jun14 Jun01 May10 Mar23 Feb22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
MY BUDDY MEL Jun21 Jun08 May12 Apr20 Apr07 (hibdon mark )WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
10  RIPSTER Jun02 May19 May12 Apr19 Apr05 (george )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 12.00    
 
LS-6   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERSECRETWEAPON May04 Mar24 Feb23     (fullerton k)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
CINCO RICHIE Jun08 May04 Apr18 Jul28 Jul03 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50    
REGAL TERKA May25 May04 Mar24     (willis min)ERAMIA E 119 6.00    
SCR  GOD'S GOLD May18 Feb25 Feb02 Dec18 Nov22 (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 30.00    
KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jun01 May04 Apr05 Mar29 Feb25 (k)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
SILVER AND GOLD May18 Apr07 Mar29 Mar17 Jan26 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
YO SOY ROY May31 May12 May03 Feb29 Jan18 (cappellucci d)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 15.00 9% 10.00    
MORO MAFIA Jun01 May04 Mar29 Feb25 Jan18 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
VINO TEXAS JESS May26 May04       (calhoun b)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
10  CRAZY RIDGE Jun08 May04 Apr18 Apr05 Mar02 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
11  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Jun01 Feb04 Nov18 Sep12 Aug27 (gomez david )PIVARAL GERBER 124 10.00    
 
LS-7   06/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRILLIANT EDGE         (asmussen ste)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of BRILLIANT SLEW by BRILLIANT SPEED)
BARTOLOME Jun09         (clary jaylan)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00    
  (by POWER JAM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
C J'S MISCHIEF         (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 120 30.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of DIVINE SOUL by DIVINE PARK)
MR. BOOP         (d)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EAGLE out of DON'T BLAME BUNKER by SILVER CITY)
BRODY'S TREASURE Jun09         (ashford ray)QUINONEZ S 120 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
CHASING THE RUSH Jun01         (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of REALLY SHAKIN by SHAKIN IT UP)
DESIRABLE EDGE May26         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 6.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of DESIRABLE LADY by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
RAGS ROYAL PRINZ Jun01         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 10.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of PRINCESS Z OHSIX by PAYNTER)
COMPETITIVE SHOCK Jun01         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of GOLD SHOCK by MY GOLDEN SONG)
10  TOO MUCH SPEED Jun09         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  PROUD SAMARITAN Jun09 May26       (p)DE CRUZ 120 3.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HIDATSA by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
LS-8   06/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CACTUS BLOSSOM Jun07 May17 Mar29 Mar17   (bravo francisc)QUINONEZ S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of CYPRESS ISLE by FORESTRY)
MATAGORA BAY Oct21 Sep17       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
PLATINUM PHANTOM Mar03 Feb03 Jan21 Jan07 Jul23 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
SOTONA Jun07 May17 Mar29 Feb04 Dec17 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DIANA'S THRILL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
ROYAL LIAISON Jun09 May18 Mar17 Feb19 Jan27 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00 7% 13.50    
  (by LIAISON out of BETTY THE QUEEN by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
KARA Jun07 May17 Apr21 Mar30   (hebert matt)DIEGO V 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SHEBA'S SECRET by KINGMAMBO)
C W CHARM Jun09 May13       (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL CHARM by HARD SPUN)
MIZ RITHYM Jun08 May14 Apr15 Mar04 Feb04 (y)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 20.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of MIZOES READY by MORE THAN READY)
HOT COOKIE Jul01 Jun08 May18 Jul02 Jun09 (herreros ste)SALAZAR TERESA 119 20.00    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE out of DREAM GAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  CONTRABBANDA Jun09 Nov16 Aug19     (davis shaw)ERAMIA E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BRUTTA SORELLA by MALIBU MOON)
11  MISTY MOOD Jun07 May18       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 120 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of OCEAN SPRAY TOO by MR. GREELEY)
12  UTSIRA Jun07 May19 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FLOUNCE by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.