Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/3)-(7/4/5)-(8/10/1/7/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CTM-8   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(8/10/1/7/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CTM-9   WIN (8/10/1/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/7/11)-(8/10/1/7/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/7/11)-(8/10/1/7/11)-(8/10/1/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-4   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY ARIA Oct07 Sep17 Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 (vanoverschof)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISSCZECH May01 Mar28 Mar05 Oct21 Sep30 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 1.80 63% 0.60    
3  U DID IT Feb11 Jan26 Sep10 Aug20 Aug01 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 2.50    
4  FORCE TO REKN WITH Sep16 Aug26 Jul21 Jul02 Jun10 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 8.00    
5  MINE ME Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50 12% 7.30    
 
CTM-5   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASYOUBELIEVE Nov05 Oct22 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80    
2  DECOY Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 (kettleson alivi)CARTER KYLE 125 6.00 30% 2.30    
3  GLAVA Oct21 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  SILENT RUNNER Nov12 Oct29 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 (rycroft tom)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00    
5  QUINTO SOL Oct15 Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 10.00    
6  TORIADOR Feb07 Jan10 Jun18 May14   (palma milton)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-6   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARRERA CABALLO Oct08 Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 Jun17 (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 123 8.00    
2  MENDELJOHN (IRE) Dec14 Nov23 Nov03 Sep18 Aug06 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  LIL ZAPPER Oct21 Oct08 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.00    
4  MONEY MUNCHER Oct22 Oct01 Sep01 Jul30 Jul01 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.00    
SCR  YES NO MAYBE SO Oct14 Oct08 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 (heggie ro)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 12.00    
6  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Aug25 Jul28 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 (reid colton)BRYAN D 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
7  WRONG SPOT Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Dec08 Oct09 (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST EH Oct08 Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 May12 (davies deann)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00    
2  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
3  SCHOCHOH Mar31 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Oct07 Sep30 Sep10 Aug12 Jul16 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50    
5  CARSON'S LEGACY Apr13 Mar31 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00    
6  JULIUS THE GREAT Aug13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May27 (webster alfred)BRYAN D 123 8.00 15% 5.50    
7  BACKSTREET BOBBY Oct21 Oct14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep16 (biggs seymour)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
CTM-8   05/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART PLAY Oct15 Sep16 Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 4.00    
2  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 Aug11 Jul30 (rycroft tom)CARTER KYLE 123 5.00    
3  STONE CARVER Apr11 Mar20 Oct08 Sep24 Aug25 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 2.00 ★    
4  DRINKING AGAIN Oct21 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 Aug04 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00 9% 10.00    
5  FLASHFORDANI Oct21 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 Jul23 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAILWAY Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 12.00    
7  FOUR O SIX CREED Oct22 Oct01 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 61% 0.70    
 
CTM-9   05/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERDITION Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 Aug18 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.50 14% 6.20    
2  KOVACS Oct07 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Aug06 (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 20.00    
3  DELIRIUM Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 Jun10 May20 (humbke cher)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 123 25.00    
4  IT WORKED Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 Sep15 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00    
5  CALI CONQUEST Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 Nov26 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 20.00    
6  BROWNING ISLAND Oct14 Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 Sep11 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 123 12.00    
7  FIRECRACKER STAND Oct08 Jun04 Mar18 Mar08 Feb25 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ISLE OF SKYE Oct07 Sep30 Sep17 Aug13 Jul22 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
9  PUMP THE BRAKES Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Aug25 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 4.00    
10  BIG AL'S VISION Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 (frey carson)BRYAN D 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
11  CASHLINGS Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 Mar03 Feb04 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.