Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - April 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/4/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/8/7)-(2/4/3/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/6)-(3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(3/6/4)-(5/4/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-5   WIN (5/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/6)-(5/4/2/6/1)-(5/4/2/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/3)-(11/1/7/2/8)-(5/7/3/6/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-7   WIN (11/1/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/7/2/8)-(11/1/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/7/2/8)-(11/1/7/2/8)-(11/1/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/7/2/8)-(5/7/3/6/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-8   WIN (5/7/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6/10)-(5/7/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6/10)-(5/7/3/6/10)-(5/7/3/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHARP LORENZO Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Jan15 Dec30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.00    
2  RIPSTER Apr05 Mar17 Mar01 Feb17 Feb09 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00    
SCR  SON OF A BLING Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Jan05 Dec11 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00    
4  HEZAKOOLKAT Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Jul03 Jun03 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
5  BANDERA BLING Mar03 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Aug29 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  DARYLS TRUMP CARD Apr05 Mar16 Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
 
LS-2   04/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREAM PUFF REAPER Apr07 Mar30 Feb19 Feb04 Jan07 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50    
2  DOC'S BUD Mar30 Mar16 Jun23 May06 Apr15 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
3  THREAD OF GOLD         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 12.00 20% 4.10    
4  HIGH CALIBER CATCH Apr07 Mar24 Mar02 Feb04 Jan05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  EARLY SPRING Apr07 Feb19 Feb04 Jan07 Jul02 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
6  TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Apr07 Feb18 Feb04 Jun16 May28 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 15.00    
7  SARAH P Feb23 Jan25       (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RUBY SOHO Mar22 Apr30 Apr16 Feb26 Jan15 (caldwell r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 5.00 ★    
9  FREE DROP GYPSY Mar30 Mar22 Feb24 Jan26 Jul01 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 124 30.00    
 
LS-3   04/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLE PLEASURE Mar01 Feb22 Jan20 Dec13 Nov30 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
SCR  WHATS UP SWEETS Mar08 Dec01 Nov18 Oct12 Oct07 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00    
3  DANZIG UP A STORM Mar02 Feb16 Sep27 Sep15 Aug31 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
4  MISTY CAT Feb18 Feb02 Jan05 Dec01 Nov19 (hjort don)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  GANGSTER RAP Apr07 Mar17 Feb23 Jan13 Dec09 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 15.00    
6  MAYAPRETTY Apr05 Feb24 Jun03 May05 Feb24 (ascencio )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  HASHTAG WINNER Apr05 Mar28 Mar17 Dec30 Dec22 (young bob)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00    
8  BETYAR AZETS Apr05 Mar02 Feb18 Feb03 Nov09 (silva miguel)DIEGO V 124 8.00    
 
LS-4   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAFFIN'S BEST SHOT Mar24 Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan13 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 118 15.00    
2  EYE OF THE PANTHOR Sep16 Sep08 Aug26 Aug14 Jul07 (pearson p)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 20.00    
3  KELL'S BELLS Feb18 Apr29 Mar31 Feb26 Aug26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  BLOCKED Mar16 Feb02 Oct14 Sep14 Jul13 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
5  GRAZEN BOY Jan18 Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 Oct20 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 118 10.00    
6  TAKE ACTION Mar03 Jan28 Jan05 Dec08 Oct14 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
SCR  AMERICAN WARRIOR Mar24 Feb09 Nov28 Nov04   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00    
 
LS-5   04/19/2024 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRUCELEA Mar09 Feb17 Jul02 May05 Mar19 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 ★    
2  SPOILER Mar16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Oct26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
3  ROBO Mar23 Mar15 Feb23 Feb11 Feb02 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
4  AGENT PETER GRAVES Mar23 Feb17 Jun23 May29 May02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Feb24 Feb10 Nov11 Sep29 Sep09 (padilla a)DIEGO V 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
6  WIN WORTHY Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GO SPEED RACER GO Feb24 Feb11 Jan06 Nov03 Sep29 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 15.00    
8  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Mar28 Mar14 Feb15 Jan05 Nov26 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
SCR  ILLUSTRATOR Mar01 Jan27 Nov03 Oct21 Sep28 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 15.00    
10  WHISKEY NOT WINE Mar09 Feb16 Feb11 Jan06 Nov04 (willis )GONCALVES R 120 6.00    
SCR  TRULY DANZIG Mar23 Sep29 Sep09 Jul01 Jun03 (willis mi)TRIANA JR 120 12.00    
 
LS-6   04/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XANDER S Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 Jun04 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
2  MOVEN VAN Mar23         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 118 4.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
3  BABY OF THE FAMILY Mar30 Mar10       (marti)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
4  TEAM GORMLEY Oct28 Sep13 Aug25 Jul04 Jun16 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of DANCE TEAM by DYNAFORMER)
5  DOC HENRY RIDGE Mar24 Mar17 Feb19     (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of HENYETTA by KING TUTTA)
6  TOO INTIMIDATING Mar17 Mar01 Feb09 Jan21 Jun23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
SCR  FIST BUMP RIDGE Feb19         (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 118 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHESATOP RIDGE by BEN'S RIDGE (GB))
8  UP UP AND AWAY Mar17         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by KEEP UP out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
9  ALL MIGHT Mar01 Feb02 Jan20     (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SWEET MISS LOU by SUPER SAVER)
 
LS-7   04/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Jan28 Dec29 Sep09 May25 May04 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 12% 7.00    
2  FLIP THE COIN JAN Mar17 Jan06 Jun25 Jun02 May21 (castellanos )ALVAREZ L 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGIC BOW Jun10 May20 Apr27 Apr02 Mar04 (stidham j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
SCR  STRAIGHTEN UP Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Dec07 Nov22 (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 6.00    
SCR  GOZILLA Feb25 Feb04 Dec20 Nov06 Sep23 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.50    
6  TEXAS TITAN Mar30 Mar17 Feb19 Feb03 Jan12 (payne w)MORA GERARDO 124 20.00    
7  WEIRD YEAR Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 (rossi j)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00 12% 7.60    
8  MY LITTLE PRINCE Apr05 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 Jan12 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  CARPE EROS Mar17 Feb23 Jan12 Nov25 Feb17 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
10  WA WA WEE WA Apr07 Mar29 Mar21 Feb23 Jan25 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
11  STELLAR TAP Apr05 Mar07 Jan26 Aug29 Jul29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
12  LANGUAGE BARRIER Apr05 Mar03 Feb23 Feb11 Sep24 (s)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
 
LS-8   04/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE NEXT BIG BLING Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 120 12.00    
2  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Apr06 Mar22 Mar08 Feb02 Jan07 (saavedra mary)GLASS DERBE 115 8.00    
3  TEXAS STAR Apr06 Mar16       (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  PHUNK Mar30 Mar15 Feb16 Jan19 Jul01 (young bob)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
5  SHE SPEAKS Mar16 Feb10 May01     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  BLING ON THE LIGHT Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Jan20 Dec05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  BLING IT TO ME Mar16 Feb18       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  FAST TRACK Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Jan05 Jun24 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00    
9  CROSS CLAIM Mar30 Feb16 Jul01 Jun23 May12 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
10  SHINING EXAMPLE Mar30 Mar08 Feb16 Feb02 Dec08 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.