Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(3/4/5)-(7/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(7/5/2)-(4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(4/7)-(3/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(3/5/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(3/5/8)-(7/4/9/6/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/6)-(3/5/8/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(7/4/9/6/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(7/4/9/6/2)-(1/9/2/5/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-6   WIN (7/4/9/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/6/2)-(7/4/9/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/6/2)-(7/4/9/6/2)-(7/4/9/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/9/6/2)-(1/9/2/5/10) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/6/2)-(1/9/2/5/10)-(8/6/1/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
WRD-7   WIN (1/9/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/5/10)-(1/9/2/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/5/10)-(1/9/2/5/10)-(1/9/2/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/2/5/10)-(8/6/1/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/2)-(8/6/1/2/5)-(8/6/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL GORGEOUS Oct11         (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00    
2  TENSAS CLEAR Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 Dec14 Nov30 (dixon tim)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHESPUN Nov14 Oct19       (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 1.40 62% 0.60    
4  SMOKIN MOTION Feb21 Jan27 Dec30 Dec17   (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 125 3.00 8% 11.60    
5  SWEET N SALTY Nov30 Jul09 Jun11 May27 Apr21 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.00    
6  EXHI LIL DARLIN Feb04 Dec31       (hewitt michae)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
 
WRD-2   03/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS LONG LEGS Dec13 Nov11 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00    
2  GOSPEL B. HAVIOR Nov02 Oct14 Sep21 Sep07   (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 125 2.50    
3  TALKIN CADEE Feb16 Feb03 Dec16     (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  CAMS HOTROD Feb02 Jan13 Dec10 Nov30 Nov11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  HANGXIETY Dec14 Nov10 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 12.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  BIG UN Dec16 Nov14       (young e)QUINONEZ B 125 3.00    
7  MISSWISH Feb23 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Dec01 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 6.00    
 
WRD-3   03/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL GOOD WILL Dec16         (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
2  MOONSHINE SURFER Feb10 Sep26 Sep11 Aug09 Jul26 (dixon tim)ROMAN KEVIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAPA FLEW BOMBERS Feb25 Feb08 Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 (husak j)MORA GERARDO 120 4.00    
4  GOSPEL GRAYSTONE Nov25 Nov09 Oct04 Sep06 Jul12 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 10.00    
5  WILD WING Dec13 Nov30 Oct13 Sep14 Aug25 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  CLEARLY A JET Feb22 Feb02 Dec15 Oct26 Aug29 (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 5.00 ★    
7  DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Nov30 Nov13 Oct19 Oct07 Sep14 (gladd andy)KIMES C 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  DABOOGEYMAN Feb24 Jan19 Dec21 Dec13 Sep14 (hewitt michael)BIRZER E 125 5.00    
 
WRD-4   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO ANGELS Feb16 Jan19 Jul05 Jun15 May15 (davidson brent)KIMES C 122 8.00    
2  SMOKING GUITAR Dec01 Nov20 Sep16 Jul19 Jun29 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 122 4.00 ★    
3  APRETTYLULABY Feb08 Dec15 Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 8.00    
4  LIGHTNING HART Feb01 Dec16 Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 (hewitt michael)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  FACESTER Dec15 Nov13 Nov04 Oct19 Sep23 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00    
6  SCARLET POSITION Jan26 Dec29 Nov25 Nov13 Nov01 (corderman s)WETHEY JR 122 2.00 ★    
7  HEY ROXY Oct27 Oct21 Aug13 Jul20 Jul05 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
8  IRON LOTUS Dec18 Nov17 Oct20 Sep23 Sep10 (birzer bonni)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
 
WRD-5   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWITTER TRAFFIC Feb23 Oct07 Sep07 Aug30 Aug12 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 125 12.00    
2  BROOKE'S ALL IN Dec18 Dec07 Nov16 Jul12 Jun15 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 15.00    
3  ENDLESS GRACE Apr26 Dec17 Nov25     (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  SCRAPPY PATCH Dec08 Jun15 May02 Apr04 Mar20 (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 5.00    
5  ACELA EXPRESS Feb07 Jan04 Dec18 Nov21 Oct18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  ASTERN MAID Feb24 Dec14 Nov30 Nov17 Nov01 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  CAROLS KITTEN Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 Jul19 Jul06 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 3.50    
8  MS. HILLARY Dec14 Nov21 Sep27 Sep01   (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-6   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MOUNTAIN Jan13 Dec07 Nov20     (martin st)TRIANA JR 120 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of DEPUTY'S WHIRL by DEPUTY SLEW)
2  STRAIGHT AHEAD         (green ike)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CANDID CATHY by RIMROD)
3  ISAIDWHATISAID Dec14 Dec02 Oct25 Oct07 Sep13 (caster boyd)KIMES C 125 4.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of COTTONMOUTH BROWN by TACTICAL CAT)
4  DETERMINED LOVER Dec15 Dec08       (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ROMANTIC MYTH by ICE BOX)
5  GOSPEL FOREST Dec07 Nov08 Oct26 Oct07   (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of FORESTSTONE by BIRDSTONE)
6  PONZA Jul12 Jun28 Jun09 May15 Apr24 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00 6% 16.10    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of PRECIOUS LIFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  DEN'S DYNASTY Dec08 Nov18 Oct13 Sep21 May15 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of FOREVER JENNY by SIR SHACKLETON)
8  HE'S ALL EARS Feb08 Jan20 Dec07 Nov18 Nov03 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EARSAHEAD by EUROEARS)
9  STORMSACOMIN Dec15 Nov08 Oct26 Sep22 Sep01 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
  (by INCLUDE out of SIPHON'S STORM by SIPHON (BRZ))
 
WRD-7   03/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAELY'S BROTHER Feb21 Jan21 Jan07 Oct02 Dec05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
2  CHARMING CHARLIE Feb01 Dec14 Nov11 Oct21 Sep03 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
3  SAM SEZ Dec01 Nov03 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 (biehler micha)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00    
4  HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Sep07 Aug26 May03 Apr10 Mar28 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 122 12.00    
5  MEGA BOND Jan19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 (davidson brent)KIMES C 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
6  FIRE EXTINGUISHER Dec07 Nov13 Oct28 Oct12 Sep14 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00    
7  SCARY FAST SMILE Feb09 Jan20 Dec15 Dec01 Nov20 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
8  J B'S LEGACY Feb09 Dec15 Dec02 Nov18 Oct20 (caster)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 122 20.00    
9  RARE STRIPE Feb17 Jan05 Nov20 Nov02 Sep29 (hewitt mich)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
10  HUNTER QUICK Feb17 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 Nov18 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  TRAPPE VALLEY Jan27 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00    
 
WRD-8   03/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE SMOKE Dec07 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep22 (padilla juan)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 12% 7.70    
2  LUCKY MCCOY Sep14 Aug25 Jul30 Jul15 May09 (merrick j)TRIANA JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOUCHDOWN OKLAHOMA Feb01 Dec16 Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00    
4  DA SOLITARIO Feb01 Dec16 Nov03 Sep22 Aug19 (villafranco fre)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
5  LA BATALLA Dec09 Nov17 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 (padilla juan)PEREZ A 125 15.00 ★    
6  MISSING CODE Dec08 Oct28 Sep21     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 125 3.00 14% 6.30    
7  HE'S A ROCK Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 Sep22 Aug25 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00    
8  QUALITY BLASTOFF Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 Oct07 Sep06 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 3.00 51% 1.00    
9  IN BOND WE TRUST Dec08 Nov18 Jun14 Mar11   (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 20.00    
10  C B'S FLAT OUT Nov08 Oct20 Sep08 Aug19   (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.