Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(5/6/1)-(1/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(1/4/7)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-3   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(4/1/3)-(1/8/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/8/9)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-5   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/9)-(1/8/4/9)-(1/8/4/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/9)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9)-(2/1/5)-(1/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(1/6/3)-(1/3/8) 27 $0.50 $2.70 
FAN-7   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/3/8)-(4/8/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-8   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/8)-(4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAN-9   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   11/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 2 F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABAS GAL Oct07         (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of BABA LUCY by PEACE RULES)
SCR  JUST AT MIDNIGHT Oct14         (becker sco)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of JUST MEMORIES by ROSSINI)
3  LASTCHANCESALOON         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KIDS KOOLER by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  MOONSHINE MOLLY Oct07 Aug19       (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 3.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ATLANTIC HURRICANE by HALO'S IMAGE)
5  RICKY'S PART         (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NO PARTNERS by AWESOME PATRIOT)
6  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Nov05 Oct21 Aug20 May12   (nesbitt amy)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of TOTAL ECLIPSE by LIL E. TEE)
 
FAN-2   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST MAN SPEECH Oct17 Aug29 Aug01     (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 120 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LOOKN EVEN FINER by POINT GIVEN)
2  TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS Sep12         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 6.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of MISS BLUE JEANS by GIANT OAK)
SCR  DRINKING TOUR Sep30 Aug29       (essenpreis edward)ORM CORY 120 6.00    
  (by TOURIST out of EXPLAINABLE by DYNAFORMER)
4  HAND OVER MY HEART Oct17         (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 120 3.50    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of HALO AT LAST by HOME AT LAST)
5  WILDISH Oct14 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01   (martin da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 3.00 34% 2.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of VERWILDERN by MUSKETIER (GER))
6  SPICY DELIGHT         (fridley st)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MAJESTICREFLECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
 
FAN-3   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKSHOT Oct28 Oct10 Sep19 Aug12 Jul22 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  INDIAN SIGN Sep13 Aug26 Aug09 Jul30 Jul15 (rednou)BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00    
3  REMEMBER THE MAINE Oct28 Oct14 Sep26 Aug30 Aug23 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
4  MY LITTLE TIPSY Oct28 Sep30 Sep12 Aug19 Jul22 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
5  TROY OUNCE Oct31 Oct24 Sep16 Sep02 Aug15 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
6  FULL MAGAZINE Oct31 Sep23 Aug29 Aug09 Jul12 (essenpreis edward)ORM CORY 124 4.50    
7  STUMP Oct28 Oct10 Sep19 Sep09 Aug12 (appleton j)SIMPSON M 126 4.00 9% 10.30    
 
FAN-4   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMANI Sep26 Sep03 May12 Apr08 Feb10 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING HER GLORY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  MO WANNA GO Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun20 May21 (roberts stan)GILES EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of WINDSTREAM by MR. GREELEY)
3  WILDWOOD ENOUGH Sep26 Sep02 Aug13 Jul16 Jun11 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.50 8% 11.10    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ELLENVILLE by CARSON CITY)
4  MULSANNE (IRE) Oct23 Oct12 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 (horvath fr)SIMPSON M 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by HARZAND out of BONNEFIO by TEOFILO (PER))
5  CLASSY ACTION Sep26 Sep02       (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSIC JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  MOLLY'S TEMPLE Oct17 Oct03 Sep19     (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
 
FAN-5   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLYDE'S GREEN GO         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 61% 0.60    
  (by GHAALEB out of MAGIC CHAPEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
2  NOBLE CREEKER Oct28 Oct21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul13 (retana gab)SIMPSON M 120 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of CAVE CREEKER by LANGFUHR)
3  SPAN Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug12 (juarez blas)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.50    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DEBU by BUDDHA)
4  DENNIS'S PRIDE Oct21 Oct07 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (watkins ja)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 3.50 ★    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET ENERGY by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
5  ITS MAMBO Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (bahena fernando)LOPEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of BROKEN FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
6  SHEBA'S PAL Oct28 Oct21 Sep09 Aug26   (retana)BAILON JADHIR 120 6.00    
  (by SWEEP AWAY out of WILDWOOD MIZZ by MIZZEN MAST)
7  RED ROIL Oct21 Sep16 Aug15 Jul01 Jun17 (laux clay)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 8.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of JUST BE THERE by BRAHMS)
8  LATE BLACKSMITH         (quinonez max)REYES FRANK 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of HELLI by MIZZEN MAST)
9  GOD GUNS N GUTS Oct21 Sep16 Aug17 Aug06 Jul13 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
 
FAN-6   11/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHERNYAHOVSKIY Oct24 Oct03 Sep16 Aug05 Jul18 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  PRINCE OF MAYHEM Oct24 Sep16 Sep02 Aug08 Jul22 (castro isid)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
3  ZARMAE Oct21 Oct03 Sep16 Aug15 Jul25 (bahena fer)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 5.00    
4  ONE WAY HOME Oct24 Sep19 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00    
5  BOURBON DELIGHT Oct31 Sep30 Aug16 Jul08 Jun21 (castro isidro)DIEGO JAVIER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  KEEN RESPONSE Oct24 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug08 (mosier harold)LOPEZ A 126 4.50    
 
FAN-7   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRY TRY AGAIN Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 Aug23 Jul27 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 126 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  ONE PUTT RICHIE Oct24 Sep23 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
3  TALIS PARK GRAD Oct31 Aug19 Jul22 Jun27 Jun06 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50 17% 4.90    
4  MON AMI FUZZIE Oct21 Oct03 Sep12 Aug26 Jul22 (ackerman kelly)ORM CORY 124 4.50    
5  CAMPISI Sep30 Sep12 Sep02 Aug15 Jun14 (jansen ken)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 6.00    
6  FEVER NATION Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
7  VIOLENZA D'ORO Oct21 Jun20 May27 May09 Apr25 (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
 
FAN-8   11/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINK BLUE Oct21 Oct10 Sep19 Sep02 Aug01 (mullins d)ORM CORY 124 3.00 47% 1.20    
2  JERSEY GOLD Oct21 Aug28 Jul31 Jul08 Jun18 (nesbitt amy)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
3  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Oct31 Sep26 Aug29 Aug08 Jul22 (martinez r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  CLOSE TO ME Oct24 Sep23 Sep09 May04 Apr16 (rednou)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
SCR  AH LEAH Oct17 Oct10 Sep09 Jul16 Jun20 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HARD LIKE HOLLY Aug24 Jun07 May25 Dec31 Dec18 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
7  MIKE'S LADY Oct21 Sep02 Jul25 Jul08 Jun13 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 126 3.50    
8  BEIRUT BEAUTY Oct10 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
 
FAN-9   11/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-12:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONESOME DREAM Oct31 Oct14 Sep26 Sep16 Jul29 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 10.00    
SCR  UPBEAT MELODY Oct21 Sep12 Aug26 Aug01 Jul19 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  SANTINO'S FANTASY Oct26 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
4  CRANKSHAFT Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
5  BLOOMING GARDEN Nov04 Aug20 Aug03 Jun25 Jun04 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
6  BEEASY Oct24 Aug30 Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 126 6.00 10% 9.30    
7  LAYTON THE DAY Oct21 Oct03 Jul25 Jul11 Jun17 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 4.50    
8  BUREAU Oct31 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Aug19 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.