Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - November 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/3/4)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(2/5)-(3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/4/5)-(4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DEL-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(4/2)-(6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DEL-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/5/2)-(4/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/8/3/1)-(1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (4/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1)-(4/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/1)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   11/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMORIES ETERNAL Oct23 Sep27 Sep23 Aug27 Jul27 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 10.00    
PEACE PACT Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 (hendriks rich)CHAVEZ ANDRES 108 4.00 21% 3.80    
SHAYMYNAME Oct12 Sep15 Jul08 Jun25 May27 (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 113 3.50    
EXAGERADORA Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 Aug13 Jul28 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
PAUL'S TRICKY TALE Oct12 Sep22 Sep07 Aug09 Jul20 (yovanovich dona)MENA E 123 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN ODALISQUE Jun23 Jun08 Mar01 Feb10 Jan06 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 1.80    
 
DEL-2   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI MOON Oct18 Sep30 Jan01 Dec04 Oct21 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 1.80    
LADY LANCER Oct18 Oct06 Aug24 Aug05 Jul05 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 119 10.00    
LONDON LADY Oct08 Sep21 Sep10 Aug20 Jul28 (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
CHASING ARTEMIS Oct21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 (sanchez-salom)CHAVEZ ANDRES 108 10.00 5% 19.00    
COMODA Sep10 Aug12 Jul28 Jul16 Jun18 (gayle webst)BELL BARRINGTON 115 12.00    
FOR CRYIN OUT LOUD Oct09 Sep19 Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.50 47% 1.10    
 
DEL-3   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DORSODURO Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 Aug18 Jul02 (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 123 3.50    
LEAOFLITTLEFAITH Oct07 Sep04 Aug17 Jul23 Jun28 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
SPRITZER Oct25 Oct07 Sep01 Aug18 Aug03 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 12.00    
MOON CONNECTION Oct18 Jul30 Jul02 May28 Apr29 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 120 1.80    
BRIGHT FORECAST Oct07 Sep16 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 (nazario pedro)MENA E 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
KITTEN'S CLOWN Sep16 Sep08 Aug25 Aug17 Jun27 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 8.00    
 
DEL-4   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAVA Oct11 Sep10 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 (woolley tim)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
YAHOO OMAR Oct13 Sep27 Aug30     (simoff andrew)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50    
BATI KING Oct13 Sep22 Jun10     (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
WAR MASTER Oct15         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
FINICKY Oct13 Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (nambo ce)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
TAPORICAL Oct19 Aug30 Aug03 Jul15 Jun28 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
 
DEL-5   11/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO NESSROUNDONKERN Oct24 Sep13 Aug21 Aug13 Jul02 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
WHERE PARADISE LAY Aug30 Jul30 Jun03 May04 Mar29 (downing will)ARROYO S 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SPIKEZONE Jan18 Dec13 Nov16 Oct20 Sep26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
CHIEF RON Sep09 Aug05 Jul01 Jun14 May25 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 1.50 45% 1.20    
CARBONITE Oct22 Oct05 Sep15 Sep01 Aug20 (ginter raymond )GOMEZ KEVIN 118 5.00    
SCR  POWER AGENDA Oct17 Oct09 Sep23 Aug30 Aug17 (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 120 10.00    
SCR  MY DANNY BOY Oct20 Oct04 Sep16 Aug16 Aug03 (strauss )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 15.00    
 
DEL-6   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE COD SUMMER Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 (simone m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 116 6.00    
VENTILATOR Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul05 Jun18 (lake a)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
MAKOTO Sep16 Aug30 Aug19 Aug02 Jul08 (saleem gord)BELL BARRINGTON 123 12.00    
MY HANDSOME MAN Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 Jul14 Jun21 (ovando melv)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 12.00    
NICK'S LITTLE BOY Oct07 Sep21 Aug25 Jul07 Jun16 (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
THE GREAT GAZOO Oct21 Oct04 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 1.80 34% 1.90    
SIMPSON BAY Sep29 Sep15 Jul23 Jun14 Jul07 (robertson)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
 
DEL-7   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD JET Sep25 Jul26 Jun26 May29 Sep14 (gonzalez-mili)OCASIO M 125 8.00 7% 12.80    
NO SABE NADA Sep28 Sep09 Aug03 Jul01 Jun03 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 3.50    
SIR WELLINGTON Oct20 Jul29 Jul01 May25 May06 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
RUNAWAY JACK Aug30 Jun21 May25 Apr01 Mar03 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
PIRATE RICK Oct07 Sep09 May04 Apr15 Mar18 (ginter raymo)ARROYO S 125 2.50    
SPUN AND WON Sep24 Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 May02 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
THREES OVER DEUCES Jul29 Jun14 May20 Mar19 Feb25 (capuano gary )ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00    
CHICKS DIG SCARS Jul01 Jun14 May25 Apr26 Apr05 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 10.00 23% 3.30    
 
DEL-8   11/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST PLAIN ORNERY Oct12 Sep07 Aug10 Jun30 Jun17 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
BOMBOLONI Oct12 Sep22 Aug20 Aug03 Jun24 (capuano phil)ARROYO S 123 5.00    
SCR  MONEY MIKE Sep13 Aug30 Aug04 May19 Mar24 (sullivan el)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 1.80    
GRAND MANNER Oct21 Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Aug26 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 6.00 10% 8.90    
TAP FIRST Sep09 Aug20 Aug13 Jul22 Jul02 (ramirez silvin)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50    
MOGALU Aug24 Jul07 Jun16 Apr30 Dec24 (deiter ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.