Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/1/6)-(4/3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(4/3/2)-(7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3)-(8/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(5/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(5/3/4/2)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2)-(5/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/2)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY GALE Aug28 Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 May31 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
2  GEORGIE'S LADIES Sep06 Aug23 Jul04 May31 May18 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
3  BRISKY FROLIC Aug31 Jul27 Jul09 Jun22 May28 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  TASTY WAVE Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 (ashley j)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
5  LADY QUINN Sep06 Aug14 Jul25 Apr27 Apr06 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 5.00 7% 12.90    
6  THIN LEGS Aug21 Jul12 May17 Apr25 Oct31 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
FL-2   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUBACHUBACHOCHOO Aug30 Jul31       (englehart jef)DAVILA R 121 6.00    
2  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Sep12 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Aug31 (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 5.00    
SCR  BUSTINROXY Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 Jun05 May12 (ferraro )DAVIS A 121 6.00    
4  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Sep06 Aug08 Jul25 Jun26 May29 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
5  ROLL'OVA Jun06 Aug08 Jul18     (progno christophe)BAEZ JOSE 124 3.50    
6  BOY IS SHE A LADY Aug22 Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 Sep02 (dixon k)COA J 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
FL-3   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OUCH THAT HURT Jul19 Jul04 Nov21 Oct31 Oct18 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  NO STONE UNTURNED Jul04 Jun06 Nov08 Oct12 Sep26 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 1.80    
2  CHRISTMAS DINNER Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jun27 May24 (breed a)ROHENA JR 122 6.00    
3  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
4  FUNNY PURSUIT Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jun19 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
5  BAYOU MELODY Aug23 Jul24 Jul04 May24 Apr30 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
6  BANKERS DAUGHTER Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jun26 May29 (d'alessandro)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 2.50 12% 7.70    
 
FL-4   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUPLES THERAPY Jul05 Jun14 May24 May08 Nov02 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
2  MISAWA Aug22 Aug08 Jul04 Dec08 Sep04 (chamber)NAVARRO J 118 6.00 5% 18.00    
3  DEE'S WISEGUY Aug17 Jun26 Jun12 May09 Apr24 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
4  CLINGMAN Aug28 Aug14 Jul12 Jun12 Nov22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
5  HOLEY MATRIMONY Sep04 Aug23 Mar19 Feb20 Jan07 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 118 5.00    
SCR  WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Sep04 Jul19 Jun28 Jan12 Dec02 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 8.00    
7  BEACH BOY AL Sep04 Aug14 Jun28 Nov09 Aug31 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 122 2.50    
 
FL-5   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVALUABLE WILL Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 Jun14 (breed a)ROHENA JR 120 5.00    
2  MIAMI CHROME Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 Jul24 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORWARD MOTION Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 May30 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.50    
SCR  N Y ANTHEM Aug16 Jul31 Jul12 Jun05 May15 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 4.00    
5  PREPARE FOR GLORY Aug21 Aug07 Jul12 Jun26 May30 (lecesse mich)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
SCR  SAMAY (PER) Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Jul31 Jul18 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
7  FIERY HEART Aug28 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 Jun05 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
FL-6   09/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASAP RESTORATION Aug28 Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 Jun27 (ronen assaf)HARKIE K 124 10.00    
2  CIVIL SERVICE Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun27 Nov23 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
3  DON'T POKE THE CAT Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50 10% 9.10    
4  LOBSTA Aug13 Jul24 May29 May20 Apr30 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 124 5.00    
5  AMERICA'S JUSTICE Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 Oct17 Sep27 (miller-saul be)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
SCR  UNFLAPPABLE MAX Aug23 Jun26 May17 Apr22 Mar10 (ferraro )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
7  JITTER JUICE Sep05 Jun12 Nov01 Sep28 Aug22 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 8.00    
8  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Sep04 Aug16 Jul12 Jun26 May29 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
FL-7   09/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUPS DE PARTY Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 15.00    
2  LA CAFETERA Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAY HOME MAMA Aug28 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
4  INOUAINTALKINTOME Sep11 Aug28 Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
5  HOLIDAY JAZZ Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jun27 May31 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  TRUE DESTINY Aug30 Aug14 Jun28 Jun14 Jun05 (progno christo)COA J 119 8.00    
7  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jun12 May29 (marino e)ROHENA JR 119 6.00    
8  GUIDANCE Aug28 Jul25 Jun27 Feb08 Jan22 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 6.00    
 
FL-8   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAGIC PRO Sep12 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (lopez)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
SCR  RILEY BEE Sep12 Aug29 Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 (lopez)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 20.00    
2  B C GLORY DAYS Sep12 Aug22 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 8.00    
3  GONNA BE DANCING Aug29 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 May09 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 124 6.00 6% 16.80    
4  BUMBLE MONSTER Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  HANGOUT Sep12 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 (mastin kathleen)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
6  CRUNCH B B B Aug29 Jul31 Jun12 May23   (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
7  ADIOS DINERO Jul29 Jun30 Jul23     (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
SCR  N Y RIESLING Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jun21 May24 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 2.50 7% 13.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.