Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAN-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(3/7/6/4)-(1/2/5/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FAN-2   WIN (3/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4)-(3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/4)-(1/2/5/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/4)-(1/2/5/9/4)-(4/5/9/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FAN-3   WIN (1/2/5/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/9/4)-(1/2/5/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/9/4)-(1/2/5/9/4)-(1/2/5/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/5/9/4)-(4/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/9/4)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/2/9/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FAN-4   WIN (4/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/9/1)-(4/2/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/9/1)-(4/2/9/8)-(2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-5   WIN (4/2/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/9/8)-(4/2/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/9/8)-(4/2/9/8)-(4/2/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/9/8)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9/8)-(2/4/5)-(5/7/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/7/1/8)-(1/7/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-7   WIN (5/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/8)-(1/7/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FAN-8   WIN (1/7/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8)-(1/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETHY Aug01 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May31 (burdess terry)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00    
GHAALEB'S APPEAL Aug29 Aug15 Jun04 May06 Sep20 (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 124 6.00    
APOLLO U ANYWHERE Aug16 Jul06 Jun18 Jun01 May18 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  SMILE AT THE STORM Aug15 May25 May07 Mar26 Mar09 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.50    
LIL BIT TIPSEY Aug29 Aug19 Jul22 Jul01 Jun13 (mcewen j)ORM CORY 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
ORDAINED KISS Aug15 Jul12 Jun22 Oct09 Sep13 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 6.00    
BEIRUT BEAUTY Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (retana gabe)REYES FRANK 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
FAN-2   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABRIELLA ATTACK Aug27 Jun20 May30 May02   (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
DRAGONFLY KISSES Aug15 Jul18 Jun10 May23 May09 (straub mar)MOLINA F 124 12.00    
COWGIRL FRANKIE Jul30 Jul06 Jun18 May31 May21 (rednour jr)ORM CORY 124 4.50 39% 1.60    
HEAVENLY SCENT Sep04 Aug17 Aug06 Jul20 Oct16 (pompell ro)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
LUTION Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 Jul09 Jun13 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 110 8.00    
LOVEYOULIKECRAZY Aug24 Jul20 Jun25 Jun07 Dec03 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 120 4.00 18% 4.40    
COMMISSIONER GULCH Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 Jun13 May30 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
FREEDOM ATTACK Aug27 Aug10 Jul20 Jun21 Jun07 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.50    
 
FAN-3   09/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH TUESDAY Aug08         (watkins m)ORM CORY 117 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MY LITTLE DARLINGS by PURIM)
MS KS DYNASTY         (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of GRABIT by TAPIT)
STANCE Aug15 Jul23 Jul09     (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS         (becker sco)SIMPSON M 120 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by TAPIZAR out of MISS BLUE JEANS by GIANT OAK)
BAR MONEY         (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 117 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by FIRING LINE out of BAR HOPPIN by ANIMO DE VALEROSO)
IT'S ON Aug29 Aug15 Aug01     (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 117 6.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of LEI IT ON ME by BENNY THE BULL)
JILL ATTACK Aug19 Aug01 Jul15     (childe)ORTEGA JOSEPH 110 4.50    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ALASKAN PARADOX by ALASKAN FROST)
DANCIN' MOLLY Aug08 Jul09       (bentler do)MOLINA F 117 12.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
C C RITHMS         (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of C C EINSTEIN by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
10  PETE'S LEGACY Aug29         (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 120 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of AROSEFORMINESHAFT by MINESHAFT)
 
FAN-4   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAST OF INDIA May26 Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 Dec14 (howard ann)BAYS BROOKE 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
CAMPISI Sep02 Aug15 Jun14 Mar30 Mar11 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
MODAZZLE Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 Jun07 May18 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.00    
CYCLONE ATTACK Jul30 Jun15 May31 Dec30 Nov25 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.50 31% 2.30    
KING DOODLE Jul29 Jun27 Jun13 May27 Apr16 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00 24% 3.30    
MAJESTIC ATTACK May02 Apr18 Oct22 Oct02 Aug27 (childe)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 10.00    
LORD DYLAN Aug30 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 Sep20 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 124 10.00    
SCR  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Aug18 Jul14 May06 Apr08 Mar09 (becker sco)SIMPSON M 120 3.00    
BLAME TERI Sep02 Aug12 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
FAN-5   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT PLAINES Sep02 Aug08 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 20.00    
STOSH Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul08 May27 (straub marve)GILES EMMANUEL 121 4.50 12% 7.60    
TRIPLE CHROME Sep02 Aug05 Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 (randazzo ted)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 6.00    
PERFECT WAGER Aug30 Aug23 Aug16 Aug05 Jul15 (witthauer j)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  SHANGHAI SILVER Aug29 Jul22 May16 Apr25 Mar09 (butler gerald)DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.50 7% 14.00    
HATCHET CREEK Aug16 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May04 (dizeo )BAILON JADHIR 126 4.00    
RULE FOLLOWER Aug27 Aug06 Jun24 May24 Apr23 (fridley steve)ORM CORY 126 12.00    
STEPPIN SHEP Aug08 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 May16 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLASHY RICHIE Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MADE TO FIT Aug08 Jul08 Jun20 Jun06 May20 (thurman rh)SIMPSON M 126 8.00    
 
FAN-6   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEVER NATION Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun10 May31 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 3.50    
ONE LAST HAND Aug26 Jul14 Jun15 May05 Apr29 (watkin)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
AFRICAN WARRIOR Jul09 May05 Apr08 Mar02 Jan08 (foxworth l)SIMPSON M 124 15.00    
BUREAU Aug29 Aug19 Jul25 Jul11 Jun24 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00 20% 4.00    
LASTFORTINOFAMILY Aug29 Aug12 Jul25 Jul08 Jun24 (durham mik)WEATHERLY BAILEY 116 8.00 16% 5.20    
MAC PANDOWDY Aug29 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 (juarez)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 10.00    
SCR  TIZ APPROVED Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 May20 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.00    
SCR  PATH TO SUCCESS Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 May31 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
MY LITTLE TIPSY Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 May27 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
FAN-7   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONYS MORNING LINE Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun06 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00 9% 10.00    
MEDAL OF FACT Aug02 Jul16 Jul05 Jun15 May09 (rodriguez j)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 6.00    
MON AMI FUZZIE Aug26 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May30 (ackerman kell)REYES FRANK 126 4.50    
GIRLOLAMO'GLORY Jun24 Jun03 May20 Apr22 Nov04 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 124 3.50    
BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Aug19 Jul23 Apr18 Feb11 Jan19 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 40% 1.50    
MKAR THE FAST Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun20 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 124 12.00    
UPBEAT MELODY Aug26 Aug01 Jul19 May23 May09 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
FASTNFURIOUS Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 May16 May02 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-8   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MIA Aug15 Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May31 (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
HUQOOQ Aug29 Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 Jun03 (retana gab)MOLINA F 124 20.00    
ROARINGLIKETHUNDER Aug29 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 113 8.00    
DART ATTACK Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 10.00    
ENVEY N ICE Aug29 Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 Jun13 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.50    
CAT TALE BREEZE Aug19 Jul20 Jul05 Jun29 Jun08 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 8.00 9% 10.60    
BUMPER GIRL Aug15 Jul29 May25 May07 Apr06 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
HEY MA Aug03 Jul16 May25 May07 Apr16 (witthauer j)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
JEMEZ FALLS Aug29 Aug15 Jun03 May25 May09 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.