Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Timonium
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TIM-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4/5/6)-(2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-2   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(2/6/5)-(4/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/3/1)-(3/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(3/1/4)-(7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(7/1)-(5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-6   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(5/2/6)-(1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-7   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(1/5/2)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-8   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TIM-9   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TIM-1   09/01/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANDINGINTHEFIRE         (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  WATCH THE TRAMCAR         (boniface ke)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
SCR  GABRIEL SEVEN         (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
DREAM RIVER         (robb gina)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 6% 14.40    
BIGDADDYSBOY         (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00    
SCR  BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH         (robb j)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
SUGAR HOOF         (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 6.00    
HECTOR BARBOSSA         (felicia)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
 
TIM-2   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN TAPITURE Aug04 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 Jun02 (serey j)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
CLOSERTOTHEHEART Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 Oct27 Sep11 (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 6.00    
SPENCERIAN Aug05 Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 May04 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00    
LOVING CUP (JPN) Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun16 Oct07 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 2.50 32% 2.10    
SKYLAR'S SISTER Jul15 Jun25 Jun02 May14 Dec03 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
SANSA ARIEL Jul19 Jun24 May25 Sep22 Aug10 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
FIVECOMMATWO Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 May29 May13 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 8.00    
 
TIM-3   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 35 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURF CITY GOLD Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 May13 Jan20 (mckenzie da)CHATRIE E 116 15.00    
PRINS FIRE Aug20 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 0.80 50% 1.00    
BAND TOUR Jul28 Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Apr13 (stettinius )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
GREAT CALL Jul14 Jun09 May19 Nov04 Sep24 (meyers ma)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00    
THUNDERHOUSE Aug05 Jul07 Jun18 May19 May04 (milosevic milan)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 11% 8.10    
RUN ROCKY RUN Aug04 Jan27 Jan14     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.80 12% 7.20    
 
TIM-4   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 2 F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST THE THING Jun10 May25 May07     (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of JUST SAY GOODBYE by NOT FOR LOVE)
SHOCKING FACTS Aug21         (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of BLANKET BAY by SMART STRIKE)
BUCKIN' LUCKY Aug26 Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 May05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.80 19% 4.20    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of RIMANISEMPREFORTE by ESKENDEREYA)
TROUBLED DREAMS Aug05 Jul13 Jun03 May01   (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CARPE CASANOVA by CARPE DIEM (FR))
MOMMA'S LINO         (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of BEST MOM EVER by AFTER MARKET)
SEVERN SPIRT Aug11 Jul22       (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of WHIMMYDIDDLE by BLAME)
LILLY LIGHTNING         (jenkins rod)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 8.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of THUNDER LILLY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
TIM-5   09/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLDING COURT Jul23 Jun10 Mar25 Mar04 Feb03 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 5.00 11% 8.20    
MERGER OF EQUALS Jul20 Jul05 Jun18 Apr07 Mar31 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 126 5.00    
WATER WITCH Jul23 Jul07 Jun17 May28 May13 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.50 52% 0.90    
VICTORIAN RIVIERA Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 May31 May07 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 9% 10.50    
ONE LAS OLAS Aug12 Jun17 May28 May05 Mar19 (robb j)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 3.50    
RATIONALMILLENNIAL Aug09 Jul23 Jul05 Jun17 May20 (c)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 116 12.00    
VOODOO MAMA JUJU Aug19 Aug03 Jul15 Jul06 Apr07 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 6.00    
 
TIM-6   09/01/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 35 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY CADET         (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  HIALEAH NATIVE Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 May19 Apr30 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50    
BASHDAFLASH Aug05 Jul15 Jul06 Jun09 Apr21 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 119 15.00    
GLASTONBURY Apr21 Mar23 Mar11 Feb02 Nov25 (roadcap)BRICENO GREGOR 126 5.00    
SCR  GOLDEN ADAGE Jul29 Jul01 Jun16 Apr28 Apr08 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
SCR  CAPTAIN MIDNIGHT         (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
SWEET SYNTAX Aug20 Aug04 Jul16     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.00 54% 0.90    
 
TIM-7   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CAGE FIGHTER Aug04 Jul08 May28 Jun12 May29 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 15.00    
CHASING ARTEMIS Aug18 Aug03 Jul19 Nov21 Oct28 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  ELLIE VICTORINA Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 (s)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 112 4.50    
SCR  CONNECTING FLIGHT Aug25 Aug10 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
I HAVE COURAGE Aug25 Aug03 Jul14 Jun18 May29 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.00 38% 1.70    
MARTHARITA Mar25 Feb11 Jan20 Dec10 Nov27 (horner )BRICENO GREGOR 126 20.00 13% 6.50    
LUV U MARY JANE Aug11 Jul21 Jun18 Nov25 Nov06 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
GRASS CUTTER Aug04 Jul05 Jun09 May28 Apr13 (robb gina)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
SCR  OJITOS BELLOS Aug18 Aug05 Jul12 Jun24 Apr06 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00    
SCR  SHAKE IT GIRL Aug03 Jul08 Jun22 Jun02 May12 (pickett cry)CHATRIE E 112 20.00    
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE Jul12 May05 Feb11 Nov04 Oct21 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 126 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLE JUSTICE Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 May24 May05 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 126 15.00    
 
TIM-8   09/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYO Aug02 Jun11 May14 Mar19 Nov09 (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
BROTHER CONWAY Jul23 Jun24 Sep05 Jul22 Jun24 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 5.00 11% 7.70    
MANOLITO Jul14 Jun11 May25 Mar26 Mar05 (klesaris robert )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
CARBONITE Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 May29 Jan14 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
STREET HUSTLE Jul29 Jul09 Jun16 May26 May04 (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80 17% 4.80    
SCR  THE LAST SCIP Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 May26 Jan20 (stettin)BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00    
CASANOVA KITTEN Aug16 Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun17 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 117 10.00    
 
TIM-9   09/01/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 2 F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DISCREET OPS         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 122 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SEAMS DISCREET by DISCREET CAT)
A THOUSAND PLANS Aug21         (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 44% 1.20    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
FAINOR'S FILETS         (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of TOWN GRAD by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ERIC BROWN'S GIRL         (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ASTERN out of HEAVEN KNOWS WHAT by HOLY BULL)
HONEY B B Aug11         (feliciano b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALPHA TAMMY by GOLDEN MISSILE)
MIDCENTURY MODERN         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLEOPATTY by CAIRO PRINCE)
FACE IT ALONE Aug23         (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HARD ON THE HEART by FAIRBANKS)
BROWN SUGA BABE         (jones e)HO WESLEY 122 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ITSMYHONOR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  LESLIE'S LOOT Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 May04   (chapman james )PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.60    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.